Luka Doncic vs Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Comparison based on 2025-26 results · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · the verdict also weighs 2026-27 projections, availability and ADP
Fantasy pts / game
57.550.6
57.5Fantasy pts / game50.6
Points
33.531.1
33.5Points31.1
Rebounds
7.74.3
7.7Rebounds4.3
Assists
8.36.6
8.3Assists6.6
Minutes
35.833.2
35.8Minutes33.2
Games played
6468
64Games played68
Floor (p10)
39.938.6
39.9Floor (p10)38.6
Ceiling (p90)
74.364.5
74.3Ceiling (p90)64.5
Consistency %
8494
84Consistency %94
Proj pts/game (2026-27)
58.748.5
58.7Proj pts/game (2026-27)48.5
Proj games (2026-27)
6972
69Proj games (2026-27)72
ADP (lower = pricier)
53.2
5ADP (lower = pricier)3.2
9-Cat rank (2025-26)
#6#3
#69-Cat rank (2025-26)#3
8-Cat rank (2025-26)
#4#3
#48-Cat rank (2025-26)#3
POINTS PICKLuka Doncic
Luka Doncic holds the 2025-26 edge: 6.9 fantasy points per game, finishing #2 overall vs #4. The 2026-27 projection agrees: 58.7 vs 48.5 points per game. That said, Gilgeous-Alexander offered slightly better availability (68 games to 64) and greater consistency (94% vs 84%) in 2025-26. Luka Doncic remains the preferred points-league pick.
Based on 2025-26 results plus 2026-27 projections and live ADP · Computed by HoopSplit from official box scores — not an opinion poll.
Game-by-game form · 2025-26BOTH CHARTS SHARE ONE SCALE
Luka Doncic — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -3.0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -6.0