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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

RANK #42025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG22025-26 9-CAT #38-CAT #3G · Oklahoma City ThunderAge 286' 6"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
31.1
Points / game
4.3
Rebounds
6.6
Assists
33.2
Minutes
55.3%
FG%
50.6
FPTS / game
+19.1
vs G median
TIER 3 · #4 OVERALLCore starter — #2 among guards

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is ranked #2 among 198 eligible NBA guards. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. His final five games came in 6.0 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 30.6 minutes/game over that stretch vs 33.3 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile99%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
SOLID PICK

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2026-27 fantasy outlook

48.5Proj FPTS/G · ~3492 / 72 games
42.558.5Typical game · middle 50%
#4Projected rank
3.3ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 3.3) lines up with our rank (#4). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (30.6 minutes/gm late vs 33.3 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander consistency and floor

68 GAMES
38.6
Floor (p10)
50.6
Average
64.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered94%
Boom rate125%+ of average13%
Bust rateunder half of average0%
50.4
Season avg FPTS
44.9
Last 10 FPTS
44.5
Last 5 FPTS

Gilgeous-Alexander vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points31.199
Rebounds4.383
Assists6.692
Steals1.491
Blocks0.898
Minutes33.290
Fantasy PPG50.699
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Gilgeous-Alexander fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
100500AVG 50.674.3DEN66.7BOS46.6MIN58@ORL41.6@BKN54.1@WSH39.5@PHI51.4@BOS42.9CHI38.6NY59.5DET45.9LAL35.3UTAH41.2@LAL40.7@LAC
SEASON HIGH 79.1SEASON LOW 29.4LAST 5 AVG 44.6

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 9@LACW 128-11030201111139-172-640.7
Apr 8@LALW 123-8728251820310-152-241.2
Apr 5UTAHW 146-1112420471037-102-335.3
Apr 3LALW 139-9630287700112-251-445.9
Mar 31DETW 114-110 OT41475320412-192-359.5
Mar 29NYW 111-1003730341048-181-338.6
Mar 28CHIW 131-1132925250318-240-1042.9
Mar 25@BOSL 119-10937332820210-123-451.4
Mar 23@PHIW 123-1032922551259-131-439.5
Mar 21@WSHW 132-11132403710317-271-254.1
Mar 18@BKNW 121-922620363008-90-041.6
Mar 17@ORLW 113-10836405240314-273-558
Mar 15MINW 116-10333203102117-222-446.6
Mar 13BOSW 104-10239356923413-182-566.7
Mar 9DENW 129-126393591511014-213-774.3
Mar 8GSW 104-973527551146-151-442.5
Mar 5@NYW 103-1003526381039-161-141.6
Mar 2@DALW 100-8733304540312-201-551.3
Feb 28DENW 127-121 OT34363922112-290-364.1
Feb 4ORLW 128-922820592038-221-342.5
Feb 2@DENW 121-111333451321411-161-264.5
Jan 30@MINL 123-11131306810512-181-247.2
Jan 28NOW 104-953629640038-220-339.2
Jan 26TORL 103-1013524361228-110-143.6
Jan 24INDL 117-11435474411117-281-462.8
Jan 22@MILW 122-102334071110216-192-265.9
Jan 19@CLEW 136-10434301312012-201-444.7
Jan 18@MIAL 122-12036394310212-192-349.3
Jan 16@HOUW 111-913320240256-111-329.4
Jan 14SAW 119-9834345504211-231-457.5
Jan 12MIAW 124-11232295811310-192-650
Jan 8UTAHW 129-125 OT42466611014-261-868.2
Jan 6CHAL 124-973021260127-211-633.4
Jan 5@PHXL 108-1053625060038-221-531
Jan 3@GSW 131-9428301700310-203-538.7
Jan 1PORW 124-9529302640011-151-253.4
Dec 30ATLW 140-12936396620315-242-558.2
Dec 28PHIW 129-10429272520110-130-241.9
Dec 25SAL 117-1023622641007-191-638.2
Dec 24@SAL 130-11036333800214-221-446.6
Dec 23MEMW 119-103363110841511-203-465
Dec 20@MINL 112-10737355722312-263-760.5
Dec 19LACW 122-10129327622113-242-660.4
Dec 14SAL 111-10937294501512-231-739.3
Dec 11PHXW 138-8927282821411-153-447.4
Dec 6DALW 132-11129335601210-122-249
Dec 3@GSW 124-11236383410013-215-650.6
Nov 30@PORW 123-1153626451038-150-338.3
Nov 29PHXW 123-11936373810110-203-554.6
Nov 27MINW 113-10537406630112-191-264.2
Nov 24PORW 122-9530375720113-182-358.5
Nov 22@UTAHW 144-1123031281129-143-349.4
Nov 20SACW 113-9936338320312-241-350.1
Nov 18@NOW 126-1092923283135-93-546.4
Nov 16@CHAW 109-9629334720113-193-453.3
Nov 13LALW 121-9229305920110-182-754.5
Nov 12GSW 126-10228285113129-193-660.5
Nov 9@MEMW 114-10035357620111-223-957.4
Nov 8@SACW 132-10129301321112-202-643.7
Nov 6@PORL 121-11938359400010-263-551.8
Nov 5@LACW 126-10729304120329-144-559.8
Nov 2NOW 137-1063030271038-141-542.9
Oct 31WSHW 127-10829313701011-203-648.1
Oct 29SACW 107-10136319413114-261-558.8
Oct 28@DALW 101-9435234810410-221-338.8
Oct 25@ATLW 117-10029305511212-172-647.5
Oct 23@INDW 141-135 2OT45558521215-312-779.1
Oct 21HOUW 125-124 2OT47355522312-261-957.5
QIs Shai Gilgeous-Alexander a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks #4 overall and #2 among guards at 50.6 fantasy points per game. Core starter — #2 among guards.

QWhat round should Shai Gilgeous-Alexander be drafted in?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should be selected within the first three picks — his ADP in ESPN drafts is 3.3 and we rank him #4.

QHow many fantasy points will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score in 2026-27?

We project 48.5 points per game across an expected 72 games — approximately 3492 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 42.5 and 58.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #4 in projected scoring.

QHow does Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished #3 in 9-cat and #3 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #4 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 94% of games, with a floor of 38.6 and a ceiling of 64.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 13% of games and busted (under half his average) in 0%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.