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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

RANK #42025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG22025-26 9-CAT #38-CAT #3G · Oklahoma City ThunderAge 286' 6"2026-27 season
27.7
Points / game
4.7
Rebounds
4.0
Assists
35.7
Minutes
44.4%
FG%
48.2
FPTS / game
+31.4
vs G median
TIER 3 · #4 OVERALLCore starter — #2 among guards

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is ranked #2 among 28 eligible NBA guards. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. His final five games came in 3.3 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 30.6 minutes/game over that stretch vs 33.3 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile96%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
SOLID PICK

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2026-27 fantasy outlook

48.5Proj FPTS/G · ~3492 / 72 games
42.5–58.5Typical game · middle 50%
#4Projected rank
2.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 2.9) lines up with our rank (#4). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (30.6 minutes/gm late vs 33.3 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

OKC 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
@SA
Oct 23
DEN
Oct 25
LAC
Oct 27
PHX
Oct 29
@DAL
Nov 1
@HOU
Nov 3
@CLE
Nov 5
CLE
Nov 7
@MEM
Nov 8
WSH
Nov 11
@POR
Nov 12
@POR

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander consistency and floor

4 GAMES
38.6
Floor (p10)
48.2
Average
64.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered94%
Boom rate125%+ of average13%
Bust rateunder half of average0%

Gilgeous-Alexander vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points27.798
Rebounds4.788
Assists4.081
Steals1.788
Blocks1.799
Minutes35.797
Fantasy PPG48.299
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Gilgeous-Alexander fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
80400AVG 48.261.2@SA26.9DEN55.7LAC36.1PHX
SEASON HIGH 61.2SEASON LOW 26.9LAST 5 AVG 44.9

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27PHXW 125-11430263302411-181-536.1
Oct 25LACW 108-10136346521213-261-555.7
Oct 23DENW 96-843517230106-193-1126.9
Oct 21@SAW 116-10436326433213-273-761.2

More on Gilgeous-Alexander and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Shai Gilgeous-Alexander a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks #4 overall and #2 among guards at 48.2 fantasy points per game. Core starter — #2 among guards.

QWhat round should Shai Gilgeous-Alexander be drafted in?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should be selected within the first three picks — his ADP in ESPN drafts is 2.9 and we rank him #4.

QHow many fantasy points will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score in 2026-27?

We project 48.5 points per game across an expected 72 games — approximately 3492 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 42.5 and 58.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #4 in projected scoring.

QHow does Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished #3 in 9-cat and #3 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #4 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 94% of games, with a floor of 38.6 and a ceiling of 64.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 13% of games and busted (under half his average) in 0%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.