NBA / Rankings / Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

RANK #22025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG12025-26 9-CAT #6 8-CAT #4G · Los Angeles LakersAge 276' 8"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

33.5

Points / game

7.7

Rebounds

8.3

Assists

35.8

Minutes

47.6%

FG%

57.5

FPTS / game

+26.0

vs G median

TIER 1 · #2 OVERALLElite draft target — the top guard

Luka Doncic is ranked #1 among 198 eligible NBA guards. Build around him. His final five games came in 3.0 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (35.2/game vs 35.8 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile99%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

VALUE PICK

Luka Doncic 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

58.7Proj FPTS/G · ~4050 / 69 games

49.7–67Typical game · middle 50%

#2Projected rank

4.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #2 versus an ADP of 4.9 — the market drafts him 3 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.8 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Elite^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Luka Doncic consistency and floor

64 GAMES

39.9

Floor (p10)

57.5

Average

74.3

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered84%

Boom rate125%+ of average13%

Bust rateunder half of average5%

57.7

Season avg FPTS

60.4

Last 10 FPTS

54.5

Last 5 FPTS

Doncic vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points33.599

Rebounds7.799

Assists8.398

Steals1.696

Blocks0.590

Minutes35.898

Fantasy PPG57.599

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Doncic fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 93.2SEASON LOW 12.8LAST 5 AVG 54.5

Luka Doncic game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 3	@OKC	L 139-96	26	12	4	7	1	0	6	3-10	1-7	24.3
Apr 1	CLE	W 127-113	34	42	5	12	2	0	0	13-26	6-13	72
Mar 28	BKN	W 116-99	39	41	8	3	3	1	5	15-25	5-10	62.1
Mar 25	@IND	W 137-130	38	43	6	7	1	0	5	15-30	4-11	58.7
Mar 23	@DET	L 113-110	39	32	7	6	3	0	3	11-29	3-13	55.4
Mar 21	@ORL	W 105-104	38	33	5	8	4	1	4	12-30	3-13	62
Mar 20	@MIA	W 134-126	38	60	7	3	5	0	2	18-30	9-17	85.9
Mar 19	@HOU	W 124-116	38	40	9	10	1	0	5	12-25	7-17	63.8
Mar 17	@HOU	W 100-92	40	36	6	4	2	0	4	14-27	4-12	51.2
Mar 15	DEN	W 127-125 OT	43	30	11	13	1	3	6	10-26	4-14	68.7
Mar 13	CHI	W 142-130	37	51	10	9	3	1	1	17-31	9-14	87.5
Mar 11	MIN	W 120-106	35	31	11	11	2	1	4	11-24	4-12	65.7
Mar 8	NY	W 110-97	38	35	8	4	2	0	6	11-25	5-16	50.6
Mar 7	IND	W 128-117	32	44	9	5	3	2	3	14-25	7-14	74.3
Mar 6	@DEN	L 120-113	40	27	11	7	4	0	3	11-24	3-10	59.7
Mar 4	NO	W 110-101	38	27	10	7	0	1	7	10-22	3-10	45.5
Mar 2	SAC	W 128-104	29	28	5	9	1	1	1	10-16	4-8	52.5
Mar 1	@GS	W 129-101	29	26	6	8	1	1	2	9-17	4-9	49.2
Feb 27	@PHX	L 113-110	39	41	8	8	2	0	3	12-21	6-11	65.6
Feb 25	ORL	L 110-109	38	22	9	15	0	1	2	8-24	2-10	56.3
Feb 22	BOS	L 111-89	33	25	5	3	0	1	2	9-22	4-7	36.5
Feb 21	LAC	W 125-122	38	38	6	11	3	1	2	11-25	8-14	71.7
Feb 6	PHI	W 119-115	16	10	4	2	0	0	5	3-10	0-4	12.8
Feb 4	@BKN	W 125-109	29	24	6	5	1	0	5	8-18	4-11	36.7
Feb 2	@NY	L 112-100	37	30	15	8	0	0	3	10-23	5-14	57
Jan 31	@WSH	W 142-111	31	37	11	13	3	0	5	13-21	6-13	73.7
Jan 29	@CLE	L 129-99	30	29	5	6	0	0	2	12-20	3-8	42
Jan 27	@CHI	W 129-118	38	46	7	12	0	0	3	15-25	8-14	69.4
Jan 25	@DAL	W 116-110	39	33	8	11	1	1	5	8-15	3-8	60.1
Jan 23	@LAC	L 112-104	39	32	11	8	3	0	1	11-27	3-13	65.2
Jan 21	@DEN	W 115-107	36	38	13	10	2	0	3	12-21	3-9	71.6
Jan 19	TOR	W 110-93	34	25	2	7	1	1	4	8-23	5-12	39.9
Jan 16	CHA	L 135-117	36	39	3	4	0	0	1	15-26	6-11	47.6
Jan 14	ATL	W 141-116	33	27	5	12	0	1	7	7-16	5-9	47
Jan 13	@SAC	L 124-112	37	42	7	8	4	0	4	16-25	2-9	70.4
Jan 10	MIL	L 105-101	36	24	9	9	2	0	3	8-25	4-6	51.3
Jan 8	@SA	L 107-91	38	38	10	10	3	0	7	13-26	2-9	67
Jan 7	@NO	W 111-103	37	30	2	10	2	1	5	11-22	3-10	51.4
Jan 5	MEM	W 120-114	39	36	9	8	0	1	3	10-20	4-10	58.8
Jan 3	MEM	W 128-121	38	34	6	8	2	0	6	8-18	1-7	53.2
Dec 31	DET	L 128-106	36	30	5	11	0	0	8	9-22	3-11	44.5
Dec 29	SAC	W 125-101	33	34	5	7	3	1	5	11-23	5-14	57.5
Dec 26	HOU	L 119-96	34	25	5	7	1	2	6	9-17	3-8	44.5
Dec 21	@LAC	L 103-88	20	12	5	2	0	0	4	4-13	1-6	17
Dec 19	@UTAH	W 143-135	40	45	11	14	5	0	1	14-28	4-12	93.2
Dec 15	@PHX	W 116-114	38	29	3	6	1	0	6	7-25	2-14	38.6
Dec 11	SA	L 132-119	41	35	5	8	1	0	3	11-24	3-8	53
Dec 8	@PHI	W 112-108	39	31	15	11	0	2	5	9-24	2-9	66.5
Dec 2	PHX	L 125-108	32	38	11	5	0	0	9	15-26	3-8	49.7
Dec 1	NO	W 133-121	35	34	12	7	1	1	2	9-22	4-12	62.9
Nov 29	DAL	W 129-119	40	35	5	11	0	1	4	10-18	4-9	56.5
Nov 26	LAC	W 135-118	38	43	9	13	1	1	3	14-28	7-12	76.3
Nov 24	@UTAH	W 108-106	40	33	11	8	3	0	6	10-24	3-12	61.2
Nov 19	UTAH	W 140-126	34	37	5	10	4	0	8	11-22	2-10	62
Nov 16	@MIL	W 119-95	38	41	9	6	1	2	3	9-19	5-11	66.8
Nov 15	@NO	W 118-104	40	24	7	12	2	1	3	6-16	3-8	56.4
Nov 13	@OKC	L 121-92	33	19	7	7	2	0	4	7-20	1-7	39.9
Nov 11	@CHA	W 121-111	38	38	6	7	1	0	2	14-28	5-15	56.7
Nov 9	@ATL	L 122-102	27	22	5	11	1	0	5	7-17	4-10	42.5
Nov 6	SA	W 118-116	42	35	9	13	5	2	4	9-27	4-11	82.3
Nov 3	MIA	W 130-120	38	29	11	10	3	0	5	9-22	1-11	61.2
Nov 1	@MEM	W 117-112	39	44	12	6	0	0	5	14-27	6-15	62.4
Oct 25	MIN	W 128-110	35	49	11	8	0	0	3	14-23	5-12	71.2
Oct 22	GS	L 119-109	41	43	12	9	2	1	3	17-27	2-10	76.9

More on Doncic and the G board

Doncic vs Gilgeous-Alexander Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Doncic player props

QIs Luka Doncic a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Luka Doncic ranks #2 overall and #1 among guards at 57.5 fantasy points per game. Elite draft target — the top guard.

QWhat round should Luka Doncic be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 4.9 (roughly round 1 in a 10-team league). We rank him #2, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Luka Doncic score in 2026-27?

We project 58.7 points per game across an expected 69 games — approximately 4050 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 49.7 and 67 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #2 in projected scoring.

QHow does Luka Doncic rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Luka Doncic finished #6 in 9-cat and #4 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #2 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #4 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Luka Doncic for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 39.9 and a ceiling of 74.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 13% of games and busted (under half his average) in 5%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.