Luka Doncic
Luka Doncic is ranked #1 among 28 eligible NBA guards. Build around him.
Luka Doncic 2026-27 fantasy outlook
Market price (ADP 3.7) lines up with our rank (#2). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.8 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.
LAL 2026-27 opening schedule
80 GAMES SCHEDULEDLuka Doncic consistency and floor
3 GAMESDoncic vs other guards
PERCENTILE · 214 RANKEDDoncic fantasy points, last 3 games
2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUSTLuka Doncic game log — 2026-27
■ BOOM · ■ BUST| DATE | OPP | RESULT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @UTAH | W 132-123 | 38 | 52 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17-30 | 8-18 | 78.6 |
| Oct 24 | LAC | W 125-117 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8-21 | 2-8 | 32.7 |
| Oct 22 | GS | W 127-105 | 30 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 51.1 |
More on Doncic and the G board
Yes. Luka Doncic ranks #2 overall and #1 among guards at 54.1 fantasy points per game. Elite draft target — the top guard.
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 3.7 (roughly round 1 in a 10-team league). We rank him #2, so he is fairly priced.
We project 58.7 points per game across an expected 69 games — approximately 4050 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 49.7 and 67 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #2 in projected scoring.
Based on 2025-26 production, Luka Doncic finished #3 in 9-cat and #2 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #2 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #2 when turnovers are excluded.
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 39.9 and a ceiling of 74.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 13% of games and busted (under half his average) in 5%.
Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.