Chet Holmgren vs Alex Sarr
Comparison based on 2025-26 results · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · the verdict also weighs 2026-27 projections, availability and ADP
Fantasy pts / game
36.235.9
36.2Fantasy pts / game35.9
Points
17.116.3
17.1Points16.3
Rebounds
8.97.4
8.9Rebounds7.4
Assists
1.72.7
1.7Assists2.7
Minutes
28.927.2
28.9Minutes27.2
Games played
6948
69Games played48
Floor (p10)
20.916.0
20.9Floor (p10)16.0
Ceiling (p90)
49.951.2
49.9Ceiling (p90)51.2
Consistency %
7775
77Consistency %75
Proj pts/game (2026-27)
35.432.9
35.4Proj pts/game (2026-27)32.9
Proj games (2026-27)
7458
74Proj games (2026-27)58
ADP (lower = pricier)
43.590.4
43.5ADP (lower = pricier)90.4
9-Cat rank (2025-26)
#19#46
#199-Cat rank (2025-26)#46
8-Cat rank (2025-26)
#28#57
#288-Cat rank (2025-26)#57
POINTS PICKChet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren holds the 2025-26 edge: 0.3 fantasy points per game, finishing #46 overall vs #47. The 2026-27 projection agrees: 35.4 vs 32.9 points per game. That said, Sarr goes 47 picks later by ADP (90.4 vs 43.5), so he is the cheaper route. Chet Holmgren remains the preferred points-league pick.
Based on 2025-26 results plus 2026-27 projections and live ADP · Computed by HoopSplit from official box scores — not an opinion poll.
Game-by-game form · 2025-26BOTH CHARTS SHARE ONE SCALE
Chet Holmgren — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG +4.4
Alex Sarr — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -10.0