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Chet Holmgren vs Alex Sarr

Comparison based on 2025-26 results · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · the verdict also weighs 2026-27 projections, availability and ADP

36.2Fantasy pts / game35.9
17.1Points16.3
8.9Rebounds7.4
1.7Assists2.7
28.9Minutes27.2
69Games played48
20.9Floor (p10)16.0
49.9Ceiling (p90)51.2
77Consistency %75
35.4Proj pts/game (2026-27)32.9
74Proj games (2026-27)58
44ADP (lower = pricier)89.4
#199-Cat rank (2025-26)#46
#288-Cat rank (2025-26)#57
POINTS PICKChet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren holds the 2025-26 edge: 0.3 fantasy points per game, finishing #46 overall vs #47. The 2026-27 projection agrees: 35.4 vs 32.9 points per game. That said, Sarr goes 45 picks later by ADP (89.4 vs 44), so he is the cheaper route. Chet Holmgren remains the preferred points-league pick.

POINTS PICK Holmgren9-CAT PICK Holmgren8-CAT PICK HolmgrenCategory rankings
Based on 2025-26 results plus 2026-27 projections and live ADP · Computed by HoopSplit from official box scores — not an opinion poll.
Game-by-game form · 2025-26BOTH CHARTS SHARE ONE SCALE
Chet Holmgren — fantasy points, last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG +4.4
80400AVG 36.246.8MIN38.9@ORL17.9@BKN35@WSH47.8@PHI15@BOS31.8NY34.3DET19.8LAL41.9UTAH37@LAL70.3@LAC
Alex Sarr — fantasy points, last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -10.0
80400AVG 35.946.4MIL35.7LAL27.3NY22.7@DET35.9MIA15.3@NO41.7@MIA40.8@ORL16@BOS12.6DET35OKC25.3@GS