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Nikola Jokic vs Joel Embiid

Comparison based on 2025-26 results · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · the verdict also weighs 2026-27 projections, availability and ADP

Fantasy pts / game
62.144.5
Points
27.726.9
Rebounds
12.97.7
Assists
10.73.9
Minutes
34.831.6
Games played
6538
Floor (p10)
46.829.8
Ceiling (p90)
81.059.9
Consistency %
9187
Proj pts/game (2026-27)
62.545.7
Proj games (2026-27)
7051
ADP (lower = pricier)
2.346.9
9-Cat rank (2025-26)
#1#17
8-Cat rank (2025-26)
#1#15
POINTS PICKNikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic holds the 2025-26 edge: 17.6 fantasy points per game, finishing #1 overall vs #11. The 2026-27 projection agrees: 62.5 vs 45.7 points per game. That said, Embiid goes 45 picks later by ADP (46.9 vs 2.3), so he is the cheaper route; and Embiid closed the season hotter (+5.1 vs his average), so the gap may be tightening. Nikola Jokic remains the preferred points-league pick.

POINTS PICK Jokic9-CAT PICK Jokic8-CAT PICK JokicCategory rankings
Based on 2025-26 results plus 2026-27 projections and live ADP · Computed by HoopSplit from official box scores — not an opinion poll.
Game-by-game form · 2025-26BOTH CHARTS SHARE ONE SCALE
Nikola Jokic — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -1.7
100500AVG 62.161.3@MEM49.1TOR63.8POR66.9@PHX78.7DAL65UTAH56GS48.4@UTAH78.1SA86.3POR52.2MEM37.1@SA
Joel Embiid — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG +5.1
100500AVG 44.559SAC63.2NO36.5@LAC59.9@LAL49.3@PHX40.7@IND46.2MIA52.7CHI45.2@CHA38.9@MIA53.1MIN57.9@SA