HOOPSPLIT

Anthony Davis Lands 13th in Worst-Contract Rankings as Wizards Stall on Extension

Davis became extension-eligible Aug. 6, but Washington's plan to wait carries real fantasy weight for a 33-year-old who played just 20 games last season.

Anthony Davis Lands 13th in Worst-Contract Rankings as Wizards Stall on Extension
SELL HIGH
Anthony Davis

Elite per-game output, but 20 games and a stalled extension scream risk.

Key numbers
  • Davis: our #13 overall, #5 at position
  • 20 games played in 2025-26
  • Extension-eligible since Aug. 6
  • Last 5 games: -7.3 FPTS vs season avg
  • Wizards waiting into the season to decide

Anthony Davis sits at No. 13 on our refreshed list of the NBA's most problematic contracts, and the reasoning is simple: he became extension-eligible on Aug. 6, and the Wizards have reportedly decided to wait until the season starts before committing to anything long-term. For a soon-to-be 33-year-old who logged just 20 games in 2025-26, that hesitation is the smart play — and a flashing warning light for anyone drafting him.

The tension is real because the per-game production hasn't dropped. Davis posted 20.4 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists last season (2025-26), good for 44.2 fantasy points per game and a top-five ranking at his position on our board. The problem was never the rate. It was availability. Twenty games is a fraction of a season, and the Wizards' front office is essentially telling us they need to see him stay upright before they hand over guaranteed years.

This update landed alongside a broader reshuffle of the worst-contract rankings, where star guards near the end of their primes dominated the top five — De'Aaron Fox among them. Fox, now in San Antonio, sits at our #54 overall (#25 at his position) after averaging 18.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists for 34.7 fantasy points per game last season (2025-26). Solid fantasy value, questionable contract value. The two rarely line up.

What the Delay Actually Tells Us

Teams don't stall on max-adjacent extensions for players they trust to stay healthy. Washington's caution is a public admission that Davis's body is the variable that matters most. His form backs that up — over his last five games last season, he ran 7.3 fantasy points below his own season average, the kind of dip that tends to precede a shutdown for a veteran on a rebuilding roster.

For redraft managers, that's the whole ballgame. On a per-game basis Davis is a fringe first-round talent; on a total-value basis he's a coin flip you're praying doesn't land on "20 games again." If your league punishes injuries with games-played caps or you can't stomach a mid-season hole, temper the draft-day price accordingly.

The Fantasy Move

If you already roster Davis or can grab him in a dynasty format where a manager is dazzled by that 44.2 FPTS/G, this is a sell-high window — the number looks elite until you attach the sample size to it. In redraft, he's a talented gamble, not a foundation. Let someone else pay the ceiling. You want the floor, and right now nobody, including the Wizards, is willing to guarantee it.