NBA / Rankings / Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro

RANK #592025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG282025-26 9-CAT #43 8-CAT #51G · Milwaukee BucksAge 266' 5"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

20.5

Points / game

4.8

Rebounds

4.1

Assists

31.3

Minutes

48.0%

FG%

33.8

FPTS / game

+2.3

vs G median

TIER 6 · #59 OVERALLDepth piece — #28 among guards

Tyler Herro is ranked #28 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 4.3 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (30.8/game vs 31.3 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile86%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Tyler Herro 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

33.0Proj FPTS/G · ~1584 / 48 games

28–39.9Typical game · middle 50%

#61Projected rank

74.4ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 74.4) lines up with our rank (#61). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: stable workload (31.3 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Tyler Herro consistency and floor

34 GAMES

24.8

Floor (p10)

33.8

Average

41.4

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered85%

Boom rate125%+ of average9%

Bust rateunder half of average0%

33.7

Season avg FPTS

31.6

Last 10 FPTS

29.5

Last 5 FPTS

Herro vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points20.590

Rebounds4.890

Assists4.177

Steals0.745

Blocks0.482

Minutes31.383

Fantasy PPG33.886

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Herro fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 60.3SEASON LOW 21.1LAST 5 AVG 29.5

Tyler Herro game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 14	@CHA	L 127-126 OT	34	23	3	6	0	0	2	7-18	3-6	33.6
Apr 12	ATL	W 143-117	22	5	10	8	1	0	3	2-9	1-6	29
Apr 9	@TOR	L 128-114	28	15	4	4	0	0	1	6-12	3-5	24.8
Apr 7	@TOR	L 121-95	30	14	5	6	0	0	1	5-8	1-4	28
Apr 1	BOS	L 147-129	40	18	3	7	0	1	3	5-15	4-10	32.1
Mar 30	PHI	W 119-109	42	30	4	3	1	2	3	12-24	3-10	45.3
Mar 29	@IND	L 135-118	36	31	3	4	0	0	0	12-22	5-13	40.6
Mar 27	@CLE	L 149-128	31	11	3	5	0	0	1	4-13	1-4	21.1
Mar 25	@CLE	W 120-103	30	18	2	4	3	0	2	6-11	4-8	33.4
Mar 23	SA	L 136-111	26	18	5	2	0	1	2	6-11	2-6	28
Mar 22	@HOU	L 123-122	39	25	6	4	1	0	0	10-22	2-9	41.2
Mar 20	LAL	L 134-126	33	21	8	5	0	0	4	8-19	4-10	34.1
Mar 17	@CHA	L 136-106	31	20	8	5	1	0	4	5-11	1-2	36.1
Mar 15	ORL	L 121-117	31	10	6	5	0	1	2	4-14	2-8	25.7
Mar 8	DET	W 121-110	30	25	6	3	1	0	1	8-16	4-8	38.7
Mar 7	@CHA	W 128-120	37	33	9	9	1	0	0	11-20	8-10	60.3
Mar 6	BKN	W 126-110	31	25	4	5	0	0	3	9-16	2-7	34.3
Mar 4	BKN	W 124-98	28	22	3	2	0	1	4	8-15	1-4	27.6
Feb 28	HOU	W 115-105	33	18	2	3	1	0	4	8-12	2-4	23.9
Feb 27	@PHI	L 124-117	32	25	4	7	1	0	2	9-18	4-10	41.3
Feb 25	@MIL	L 128-117	26	14	2	6	0	1	3	5-17	3-9	25.4
Feb 22	MEM	W 136-120	23	14	5	6	0	0	4	5-15	1-4	25
Feb 21	@ATL	W 128-97	23	24	4	3	1	0	0	9-14	2-4	36.3
Jan 16	BOS	L 119-114	31	22	2	3	3	1	1	9-15	4-7	39.9
Jan 14	PHX	W 127-121	39	23	2	3	1	0	4	8-18	2-8	28.9
Jan 12	@OKC	L 124-112	27	19	2	3	0	0	3	8-15	1-3	22.9
Jan 11	@IND	L 123-99	32	21	7	4	1	1	0	8-19	1-8	41.4
Jan 7	@MIN	L 122-94	29	17	9	3	0	0	2	7-15	1-4	30.3
Dec 9	@ORL	L 117-108	34	20	7	3	0	0	1	7-17	0-6	31.9
Dec 4	@DAL	L 118-108	33	20	4	0	2	0	2	8-17	2-7	28.8
Dec 2	LAC	W 140-123	29	22	3	2	0	1	0	8-15	4-6	31.6
Nov 30	DET	L 138-135	32	24	4	2	0	1	2	6-17	6-11	32.8
Nov 27	MIL	W 106-103	32	29	5	7	1	1	2	9-15	3-5	49.5
Nov 25	DAL	W 106-102	29	24	7	0	3	0	0	12-18	0-2	41.4

More on Herro and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Herro player props

QIs Tyler Herro a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #59 overall, #28 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Tyler Herro be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 74.4 (roughly round 8 in a 10-team league). We rank him #61, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Tyler Herro score in 2026-27?

We project 33 points per game across an expected 48 games — approximately 1584 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 28 and 39.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #61 in projected scoring.

QHow does Tyler Herro rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Tyler Herro finished #43 in 9-cat and #51 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #59 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Tyler Herro for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 85% of games, with a floor of 24.8 and a ceiling of 41.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 9% of games and busted (under half his average) in 0%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.