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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro

RANK #442025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG192025-26 9-CAT #328-CAT #39G · Milwaukee BucksAge 266' 5"2026-27 season
23.7
Points / game
4.3
Rebounds
5.3
Assists
31.7
Minutes
45.8%
FG%
36.2
FPTS / game
+19.4
vs G median
TIER 6 · #44 OVERALLDepth piece — #19 among guards

Tyler Herro is ranked #19 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 3.3 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile36%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
LATE FLIER

Tyler Herro 2026-27 fantasy outlook

33.0Proj FPTS/G · ~1584 / 48 games
28–39.9Typical game · middle 50%
#46Projected rank
66.6ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 66.6) lines up with our rank (#46). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: stable workload (31.3 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

MIL 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
@WSH
Oct 23
CHI
Oct 24
@PHI
Oct 27
IND
Oct 29
HOU
Nov 1
CLE
Nov 3
@MIN
Nov 5
@BOS
Nov 7
TOR
Nov 9
BOS
Nov 11
@NY
Nov 12
LAL

Tyler Herro consistency and floor

4 GAMES
24.8
Floor (p10)
36.2
Average
41.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered85%
Boom rate125%+ of average9%
Bust rateunder half of average0%

Herro vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points23.795
Rebounds4.384
Assists5.389
Steals0.756
Blocks0.043
Minutes31.788
Fantasy PPG36.292
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Herro fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 36.238.9@WSH48CHI21.7@PHI49.5IND
SEASON HIGH 49.5SEASON LOW 21.7LAST 5 AVG 39.5

Tyler Herro game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27INDW 110-10232231071127-143-649.5
Oct 24@PHIL 127-1163113630036-141-321.7
Oct 23CHIL 132-12532345410112-245-1048
Oct 21@WSHL 128-1163224291049-214-1138.9

More on Herro and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Tyler Herro a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #44 overall, #19 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Tyler Herro be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 66.6 (roughly round 7 in a 10-team league). We rank him #46, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Tyler Herro score in 2026-27?

We project 33 points per game across an expected 48 games — approximately 1584 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 28 and 39.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #46 in projected scoring.

QHow does Tyler Herro rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Tyler Herro finished #32 in 9-cat and #39 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #44 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Tyler Herro for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 85% of games, with a floor of 24.8 and a ceiling of 41.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 9% of games and busted (under half his average) in 0%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.