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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles

RANK #2812025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF1012025-26 9-CAT #2768-CAT #291F · Minnesota TimberwolvesAge 306' 9"2024-25 season
6.5
Points / game
4.6
Rebounds
1.2
Assists
19.6
Minutes
42.0%
FG%
15.9
FPTS / game
-16.0
vs F median
TIER 6 · #281 OVERALLDepth piece — #101 among forwards

Trey Lyles is ranked #101 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 3.4 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 29.8 minutes/game vs 19.5 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile33%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
LATE FLIER

Trey Lyles 2026-27 fantasy outlook

16.6Proj FPTS/G · ~1228 / 74 games
8.922Typical game · middle 50%
#275Projected rank
139.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 139.9) lines up with our rank (#275). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: growing workload (29.8 minutes/gm late vs 19.5 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Trey Lyles consistency and floor

70 GAMES
4.8
Floor (p10)
15.9
Average
29.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered63%
Boom rate125%+ of average34%
Bust rateunder half of average19%
16.0
Season avg FPTS
17.6
Last 10 FPTS
19.3
Last 5 FPTS

Lyles vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points6.532
Rebounds4.658
Assists1.238
Steals0.641
Blocks0.340
Minutes19.638
Fantasy PPG15.934
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Lyles fantasy points, last 15 games

2024-25 · BOOM · BUST
40200AVG 15.930.9CLE35.7CHI20.5MIL4.8BOS4.2POR18.9@ORL6@IND9.3@WSH21.6@CHA24.1@CLE16.7@DET32.8DEN16.4LAC17.9PHX12.7DAL
SEASON HIGH 35.7SEASON LOW 0.4LAST 5 AVG 19.3

Trey Lyles game log — 2024-25

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 17DALL 120-106185610012-41-212.7
Apr 13PHXW 109-982511211004-102-717.9
Apr 12LACL 101-100309700014-51-216.4
Apr 10DENL 124-1163817940016-92-332.8
Apr 7@DETW 127-117387610123-81-516.7
Apr 6@CLEW 120-113407812002-61-424.1
Apr 4@CHAW 125-1022012321004-53-421.6
Apr 2@WSHL 116-111181411010-30-29.3
Mar 31@INDL 111-109153001001-21-26
Mar 29@ORLL 121-91254711111-40-318.9
Mar 28PORW 128-107143100001-31-34.2
Mar 25BOSL 113-9590400000-10-14.8
Mar 23MILL 114-108217531003-121-720.5
Mar 21CHIL 128-1162422630116-114-735.7
Mar 20CLEW 123-1193013751015-91-430.9
Mar 18MEMW 132-122205901012-40-117.8
Mar 14@GSL 130-1042211502014-62-322
Mar 11NYL 133-104143110021-41-33.7
Mar 10@LACL 111-110 OT112510001-40-29.5
Mar 8SAW 127-109166350002-51-317.1
Mar 6@DENL 116-110194511012-60-213.5
Mar 4@DALW 122-98209960004-41-128.8
Mar 2@HOUW 113-103175521102-61-220
Feb 25CHAW 130-88138411003-32-217.3
Feb 22GSL 132-10880200020-00-00.4
Feb 14@NOL 140-133 OT98430013-41-116.3
Feb 13@NOW 119-11191200000-50-43.4
Feb 11@DALW 129-128 OT103100001-31-24.2
Feb 9NOW 123-118105210002-61-58.9
Feb 7@PORL 108-102142211001-30-18.9
Feb 6ORLL 130-111158001002-52-311
Feb 4@MINW 116-114235832202-41-331.1
Feb 2@OKCL 144-110130301000-40-36.6
Jan 30@PHIL 117-104154520002-30-113
Jan 28@BKNW 110-96154501112-30-115
Jan 26@NYL 143-120136400002-70-210.8
Jan 24@DENL 132-1232212911014-93-726.3
Jan 23GSW 123-117177210102-21-113.9
Jan 20WSHW 123-100204501012-60-312
Jan 17HOUW 132-127195520012-81-613
Jan 15@MILL 130-115125100002-41-36.2
Jan 12@CHIW 124-119186820103-100-621.6
Jan 11@BOSW 114-972871131112-51-429.7
Jan 7MIAW 123-118 2OT236610012-81-513.7
Jan 6@GSW 129-99247912021-31-223.3
Jan 4MEMW 138-1332216611216-64-432.7
Jan 2PHIW 113-1073112722024-94-827.4
Dec 31DALW 110-1002214411005-93-623.3
Dec 29@LALL 132-122236500012-80-511
Dec 27DETL 114-1132520800015-84-728.6
Dec 22INDL 122-95198310003-72-413.1
Dec 21LALL 103-99173301001-41-29.6
Nov 26OKCL 130-10962021001-10-08
Nov 25BKNL 108-103190600220-10-111.2
Nov 23@LACL 104-88183401001-41-410.8
Nov 19ATLL 109-10838121041004-113-733
Nov 17UTAHW 121-1173517310126-95-723.1
Nov 16MINL 130-126 OT417811012-81-520.1
Nov 14PHXW 127-1042213530005-73-523.5
Nov 12@SAL 116-96278401203-82-621.8
Nov 11@PHXW 127-118 OT178600112-61-417.2
Nov 9LACL 107-9870200000-30-22.4
Nov 7TORW 122-107110110000-10-12.7
Nov 5@MIAW 111-110165100012-41-35.2
Nov 2@TORL 131-128 OT135400012-51-28.8
Nov 1@ATLW 123-115195521111-71-619
Oct 30@UTAHW 113-96202712201-20-123.9
Oct 29PORW 111-98153000111-41-35
Oct 27@LALL 131-127195411101-61-617.3
Oct 25MINL 117-115113111001-41-38.7
QIs Trey Lyles a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #281 overall, #101 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Trey Lyles be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.9 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #275, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Trey Lyles score in 2026-27?

We project 16.6 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 1228 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 8.9 and 22 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #275 in projected scoring.

QHow does Trey Lyles rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Trey Lyles finished #276 in 9-cat and #291 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #281 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Trey Lyles for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 63% of games, with a floor of 4.8 and a ceiling of 29.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 34% of games and busted (under half his average) in 19%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.