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T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

RANK #1802025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG812025-26 9-CAT #1698-CAT #177G · Indiana PacersAge 346' 1"2025-26 season
9.4
Points / game
2.2
Rebounds
5.1
Assists
17.2
Minutes
53.8%
FG%
22.2
FPTS / game
-9.3
vs G median
TIER 6 · #180 OVERALLDepth piece — #81 among guards

T.J. McConnell is ranked #81 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 2.3 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile60%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
AVOID AT COST

T.J. McConnell 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY
22.9Proj FPTS/G · ~1466 / 64 games
15.428Typical game · middle 50%
#175Projected rank
118.4ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #86; we rank him #175. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: stable workload (17.2 minutes/gm), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

T.J. McConnell consistency and floor

56 GAMES
11
Floor (p10)
22.2
Average
32.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered68%
Boom rate125%+ of average25%
Bust rateunder half of average11%
22.1
Season avg FPTS
24.5
Last 10 FPTS
24.5
Last 5 FPTS

McConnell vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points9.450
Rebounds2.230
Assists5.181
Steals1.069
Blocks0.254
Minutes17.224
Fantasy PPG22.260
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

McConnell fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
40200AVG 22.214.9PHI20.9CHA16.5MEM16.1@LAC23.2@LAL15.3@POR22.6NY28.9@MIL26.6@NY29POR21.4@SA28@ORL29.9LAL10.1LAC32.9MIA
SEASON HIGH 47.8SEASON LOW 6.2LAST 5 AVG 24.5

T.J. McConnell game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Mar 29MIAW 135-1181815290116-82-332.9
Mar 27LACL 114-113132330001-10-010.1
Mar 25LALL 137-1301417231108-100-029.9
Mar 23@ORLW 128-1262013062006-61-128
Mar 22@SAL 134-119174281002-80-221.4
Mar 18PORL 127-1192075101023-50-029
Mar 17@NYL 136-11020103100025-100-126.6
Mar 15@MILL 134-1232892111023-100-128.9
Mar 13NYL 101-922010360005-90-022.6
Mar 9@PORL 131-111176430002-70-015.3
Mar 7@LALL 128-1171810142005-100-023.2
Mar 5@LACL 130-107166350013-60-016.1
Mar 1MEML 125-106148051024-60-116.5
Feb 27CHAL 133-109179270014-90-120.9
Feb 25PHIL 135-114157231023-70-014.9
Feb 21@WSHL 131-118159221024-81-215.4
Feb 11@NYW 137-134 OT1613130016-90-017.7
Feb 8@TORL 122-1041610370145-50-023.1
Feb 7@MILL 105-99148261004-60-122.4
Feb 3HOUL 118-114165021002-71-111
Feb 1ATLW 129-124166342013-70-020.6
Jan 29CHIW 113-110168461004-70-024.8
Jan 26@ATLL 132-1161816131027-110-122.7
Jan 24@OKCW 117-114196232003-90-118.9
Jan 22@BOSL 119-104144331022-60-113.1
Jan 20@PHIL 113-1041410031125-80-018.5
Jan 17NOW 127-119168290014-80-122.9
Jan 15TORL 115-101218262004-80-125.4
Jan 13BOSW 98-96155050002-50-012.5
Jan 11MIAW 123-991712171015-102-225.7
Jan 9@CHAW 114-11228234840410-171-347.8
Jan 7CLEL 120-116187062123-81-323
Jan 4@ORLL 135-1272110450025-90-020.3
Jan 3SAL 123-1131814232017-130-225.9
Dec 31ORLL 112-110174181131-40-020.2
Dec 30@HOUL 126-119166141012-70-015.2
Dec 27BOSL 140-1221413131015-61-120.7
Dec 24MILL 111-942116260027-90-025.4
Dec 21@NOL 128-1091816482028-100-236.8
Dec 19NYL 114-113188551124-60-025.5
Dec 14WSHL 108-89154440042-40-110.8
Dec 13@PHIL 115-1051715252007-111-130.9
Dec 9SACW 116-105164130012-90-08.7
Dec 6@CHIW 120-105142341011-30-013.6
Dec 4DENL 135-1201714163117-100-035.2
Dec 2CLEL 135-11964111002-30-09.7
Nov 30CHIW 103-101258363104-100-032.6
Nov 29WSHW 119-861914481117-90-035.8
Nov 27@TORL 97-952416760028-170-431.4
Nov 25DETL 122-1172216153018-120-232.7
Nov 22@CLEL 120-1091710341024-62-220.6
Nov 20CHAW 127-1181414680016-62-232.2
Nov 18@DETL 127-112150121010-40-06.2
Nov 16TORL 129-111169140004-110-216.2
Nov 14@PHXL 133-98155122002-81-215.2
Nov 12@UTAHL 152-1281112110006-120-214.7
QIs T.J. McConnell a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #180 overall, #81 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should T.J. McConnell be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 118.4 (roughly round 12 in a 10-team league). We rank him #175, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will T.J. McConnell score in 2026-27?

We project 22.9 points per game across an expected 64 games — approximately 1466 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 15.4 and 28 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #175 in projected scoring.

QHow does T.J. McConnell rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, T.J. McConnell finished #169 in 9-cat and #177 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #180 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is T.J. McConnell for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 68% of games, with a floor of 11 and a ceiling of 32.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 25% of games and busted (under half his average) in 11%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.