NBA / Rankings / T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

RANK #162025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG62025-26 9-CAT #15 8-CAT #17G · Indiana PacersAge 346' 1"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

9.4

Points / game

2.2

Rebounds

5.1

Assists

17.2

Minutes

53.8%

FG%

22.2

FPTS / game

+5.4

vs G median

TIER 6 · #16 OVERALLDepth piece — #6 among guards

T.J. McConnell is ranked #6 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 2.3 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile82%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27

VALUE PICK

T.J. McConnell 2026-27 fantasy outlook

OUT

22.9Proj FPTS/G · ~1466 / 64 games

15.4–28Typical game · middle 50%

#15Projected rank

140.5ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #15 versus an ADP of 140.5 — the market drafts him 148 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (17.2 minutes/gm), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

IND 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED

Oct 22

@NO

Oct 23

DAL

Oct 25

@BKN

Oct 27

@MIL

Oct 28

PHI

Oct 31

@MIA

Nov 1

BKN

Nov 3

ATL

Nov 5

@MEM

Nov 7

DEN

Nov 10

@DAL

Nov 12

WSH

T.J. McConnell consistency and floor

56 GAMES

Floor (p10)

22.2

Average

32.7

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered68%

Boom rate125%+ of average25%

Bust rateunder half of average11%

22.1

Season avg FPTS

24.5

Last 10 FPTS

24.5

Last 5 FPTS

McConnell vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED

Points9.461

Rebounds2.244

Assists5.188

Steals1.071

Blocks0.257

Minutes17.237

Fantasy PPG22.267

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

McConnell fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 47.8SEASON LOW 6.2LAST 5 AVG 24.5

T.J. McConnell game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Mar 29	MIA	W 135-118	18	15	2	9	0	1	1	6-8	2-3	32.9
Mar 27	LAC	L 114-113	13	2	3	3	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	10.1
Mar 25	LAL	L 137-130	14	17	2	3	1	1	0	8-10	0-0	29.9
Mar 23	@ORL	W 128-126	20	13	0	6	2	0	0	6-6	1-1	28
Mar 22	@SA	L 134-119	17	4	2	8	1	0	0	2-8	0-2	21.4
Mar 18	POR	L 127-119	20	7	5	10	1	0	2	3-5	0-0	29
Mar 17	@NY	L 136-110	20	10	3	10	0	0	2	5-10	0-1	26.6
Mar 15	@MIL	L 134-123	28	9	2	11	1	0	2	3-10	0-1	28.9
Mar 13	NY	L 101-92	20	10	3	6	0	0	0	5-9	0-0	22.6
Mar 9	@POR	L 131-111	17	6	4	3	0	0	0	2-7	0-0	15.3
Mar 7	@LAL	L 128-117	18	10	1	4	2	0	0	5-10	0-0	23.2
Mar 5	@LAC	L 130-107	16	6	3	5	0	0	1	3-6	0-0	16.1
Mar 1	MEM	L 125-106	14	8	0	5	1	0	2	4-6	0-1	16.5
Feb 27	CHA	L 133-109	17	9	2	7	0	0	1	4-9	0-1	20.9
Feb 25	PHI	L 135-114	15	7	2	3	1	0	2	3-7	0-0	14.9
Feb 21	@WSH	L 131-118	15	9	2	2	1	0	2	4-8	1-2	15.4
Feb 11	@NY	W 137-134 OT	16	13	1	3	0	0	1	6-9	0-0	17.7
Feb 8	@TOR	L 122-104	16	10	3	7	0	1	4	5-5	0-0	23.1
Feb 7	@MIL	L 105-99	14	8	2	6	1	0	0	4-6	0-1	22.4
Feb 3	HOU	L 118-114	16	5	0	2	1	0	0	2-7	1-1	11
Feb 1	ATL	W 129-124	16	6	3	4	2	0	1	3-7	0-0	20.6
Jan 29	CHI	W 113-110	16	8	4	6	1	0	0	4-7	0-0	24.8
Jan 26	@ATL	L 132-116	18	16	1	3	1	0	2	7-11	0-1	22.7
Jan 24	@OKC	W 117-114	19	6	2	3	2	0	0	3-9	0-1	18.9
Jan 22	@BOS	L 119-104	14	4	3	3	1	0	2	2-6	0-1	13.1
Jan 20	@PHI	L 113-104	14	10	0	3	1	1	2	5-8	0-0	18.5
Jan 17	NO	W 127-119	16	8	2	9	0	0	1	4-8	0-1	22.9
Jan 15	TOR	L 115-101	21	8	2	6	2	0	0	4-8	0-1	25.4
Jan 13	BOS	W 98-96	15	5	0	5	0	0	0	2-5	0-0	12.5
Jan 11	MIA	W 123-99	17	12	1	7	1	0	1	5-10	2-2	25.7
Jan 9	@CHA	W 114-112	28	23	4	8	4	0	4	10-17	1-3	47.8
Jan 7	CLE	L 120-116	18	7	0	6	2	1	2	3-8	1-3	23
Jan 4	@ORL	L 135-127	21	10	4	5	0	0	2	5-9	0-0	20.3
Jan 3	SA	L 123-113	18	14	2	3	2	0	1	7-13	0-2	25.9
Dec 31	ORL	L 112-110	17	4	1	8	1	1	3	1-4	0-0	20.2
Dec 30	@HOU	L 126-119	16	6	1	4	1	0	1	2-7	0-0	15.2
Dec 27	BOS	L 140-122	14	13	1	3	1	0	1	5-6	1-1	20.7
Dec 24	MIL	L 111-94	21	16	2	6	0	0	2	7-9	0-0	25.4
Dec 21	@NO	L 128-109	18	16	4	8	2	0	2	8-10	0-2	36.8
Dec 19	NY	L 114-113	18	8	5	5	1	1	2	4-6	0-0	25.5
Dec 14	WSH	L 108-89	15	4	4	4	0	0	4	2-4	0-1	10.8
Dec 13	@PHI	L 115-105	17	15	2	5	2	0	0	7-11	1-1	30.9
Dec 9	SAC	W 116-105	16	4	1	3	0	0	1	2-9	0-0	8.7
Dec 6	@CHI	W 120-105	14	2	3	4	1	0	1	1-3	0-0	13.6
Dec 4	DEN	L 135-120	17	14	1	6	3	1	1	7-10	0-0	35.2
Dec 2	CLE	L 135-119	6	4	1	1	1	0	0	2-3	0-0	9.7
Nov 30	CHI	W 103-101	25	8	3	6	3	1	0	4-10	0-0	32.6
Nov 29	WSH	W 119-86	19	14	4	8	1	1	1	7-9	0-0	35.8
Nov 27	@TOR	L 97-95	24	16	7	6	0	0	2	8-17	0-4	31.4
Nov 25	DET	L 122-117	22	16	1	5	3	0	1	8-12	0-2	32.7
Nov 22	@CLE	L 120-109	17	10	3	4	1	0	2	4-6	2-2	20.6
Nov 20	CHA	W 127-118	14	14	6	8	0	0	1	6-6	2-2	32.2
Nov 18	@DET	L 127-112	15	0	1	2	1	0	1	0-4	0-0	6.2
Nov 16	TOR	L 129-111	16	9	1	4	0	0	0	4-11	0-2	16.2
Nov 14	@PHX	L 133-98	15	5	1	2	2	0	0	2-8	1-2	15.2
Nov 12	@UTAH	L 152-128	11	12	1	1	0	0	0	6-12	0-2	14.7

More on McConnell and the G board

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QIs T.J. McConnell a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #16 overall, #6 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should T.J. McConnell be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140.5 (roughly round 15 in a 10-team league). We rank him #15, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will T.J. McConnell score in 2026-27?

We project 22.9 points per game across an expected 64 games — approximately 1466 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 15.4 and 28 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #15 in projected scoring.

QHow does T.J. McConnell rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, T.J. McConnell finished #15 in 9-cat and #17 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #16 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is T.J. McConnell for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 68% of games, with a floor of 11 and a ceiling of 32.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 25% of games and busted (under half his average) in 11%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.