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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill

RANK #382025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG192025-26 9-CAT #278-CAT #32G · Cleveland CavaliersAge 306' 4"2026-27 season
6.0
Points / game
3.5
Rebounds
2.5
Assists
22.5
Minutes
44.4%
FG%
15.5
FPTS / game
-1.3
vs G median
TIER 6 · #38 OVERALLDepth piece — #19 among guards

Sam Merrill is ranked #19 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 1.5 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile36%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Sam Merrill 2026-27 fantasy outlook

22.1Proj FPTS/G · ~1348 / 61 games
15–27.2Typical game · middle 50%
#38Projected rank
140.1ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #38 versus an ADP of 140.1 — the market drafts him 217 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (26.5 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

CLE 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
@PHI
Oct 24
BKN
Oct 26
MIN
Oct 28
WSH
Oct 30
@ATL
Nov 1
@MIL
Nov 3
OKC
Nov 5
@OKC
Nov 7
PHI
Nov 8
NY
Nov 10
@CHA
Nov 12
@NY

Sam Merrill consistency and floor

3 GAMES
11.2
Floor (p10)
15.5
Average
31.3
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered69%
Boom rate125%+ of average25%
Bust rateunder half of average8%

Merrill vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points6.036
Rebounds3.571
Assists2.559
Steals0.543
Blocks0.043
Minutes22.557
Fantasy PPG15.547
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Merrill fantasy points, last 3 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
30150AVG 15.517@PHI13.9BKN19.8MIN
SEASON HIGH 19.8SEASON LOW 13.9LAST 5 AVG 17.0

Sam Merrill game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 26MINW 127-125 OT319421003-81-619.8
Oct 24BKNW 125-121217230002-41-313.9
Oct 22@PHIL 114-106245521002-51-317

More on Merrill and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Sam Merrill a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #38 overall, #19 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Sam Merrill be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140.1 (roughly round 15 in a 10-team league). We rank him #38, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Sam Merrill score in 2026-27?

We project 22.1 points per game across an expected 61 games — approximately 1348 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 15 and 27.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #38 in projected scoring.

QHow does Sam Merrill rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Sam Merrill finished #27 in 9-cat and #32 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #38 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Sam Merrill for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 69% of games, with a floor of 11.2 and a ceiling of 31.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 25% of games and busted (under half his average) in 8%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.