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Pelle Larsson

Pelle Larsson

RANK #1542025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG662025-26 9-CAT #1758-CAT #168G · Miami HeatAge 256' 5"2026-27 season
8.0
Points / game
4.0
Rebounds
3.0
Assists
29.7
Minutes
33.3%
FG%
20.2
FPTS / game
+3.4
vs G median
TIER 6 · #154 OVERALLDepth piece — #66 among guards

Pelle Larsson is ranked #66 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 1.8 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile-132%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
LATE FLIER

Pelle Larsson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

23.1Proj FPTS/G · ~1709 / 74 games
13.6–28.4Typical game · middle 50%
#140Projected rank
—ADP (ESPN drafts)

No live market price for him yet — we rank him #140. Projection drivers: stable workload (26.4 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

MIA 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
MIN
Oct 24
DET
Oct 24
@CHA
Oct 26
DAL
Oct 28
@ATL
Oct 31
IND
Nov 3
@LAL
Nov 5
@LAC
Nov 6
@GS
Nov 9
@SAC
Nov 11
@UTAH
Nov 14
CLE

Pelle Larsson consistency and floor

4 GAMES
8.6
Floor (p10)
20.2
Average
34.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered70%
Boom rate125%+ of average34%
Bust rateunder half of average17%

Larsson vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points8.053
Rebounds4.081
Assists3.069
Steals1.071
Blocks0.375
Minutes29.781
Fantasy PPG20.261
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Larsson fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
40200AVG 20.217.6MIN12.9DET30.4@CHA27DAL
SEASON HIGH 30.4SEASON LOW 12.9LAST 5 AVG 22.0

Pelle Larsson game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 26DALL 113-1093412043003-61-327
Oct 24@CHAL 115-1103615741025-91-330.4
Oct 24DETL 128-111297211011-71-412.9
Oct 21MINL 131-106242341100-20-117.6
QIs Pelle Larsson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #154 overall, #66 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Pelle Larsson be drafted in?

Late rounds or waivers — he finished #154, so treat him as a flier.

QHow many fantasy points will Pelle Larsson score in 2026-27?

We project 23.1 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 1709 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 13.6 and 28.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #140 in projected scoring.

QHow does Pelle Larsson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Pelle Larsson finished #175 in 9-cat and #168 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #154 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Pelle Larsson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 70% of games, with a floor of 8.6 and a ceiling of 34.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 34% of games and busted (under half his average) in 17%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.