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Paul Reed

Paul Reed

RANK #2152025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF772025-26 9-CAT #1788-CAT #192F · Detroit PistonsAge 276' 9"2025-26 season
7.8
Points / game
4.5
Rebounds
1.2
Assists
13.9
Minutes
61.7%
FG%
19.5
FPTS / game
-12.4
vs F median
TIER 6 · #215 OVERALLDepth piece — #77 among forwards

Paul Reed is ranked #77 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 7.1 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 15.8 minutes/game vs 13.8 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile49%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Paul Reed 2026-27 fantasy outlook

22.0Proj FPTS/G · ~1540 / 70 games
9.426.2Typical game · middle 50%
#190Projected rank
139.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #190 versus an ADP of 139.9 — the market drafts him 115 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (15.8 minutes/gm late vs 13.8 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Paul Reed consistency and floor

65 GAMES
5
Floor (p10)
19.5
Average
36.1
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered60%
Boom rate125%+ of average34%
Bust rateunder half of average26%
19.5
Season avg FPTS
26.6
Last 10 FPTS
26.6
Last 5 FPTS

Reed vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points7.840
Rebounds4.557
Assists1.238
Steals0.977
Blocks0.991
Minutes13.919
Fantasy PPG19.550
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Reed fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 19.516.3@WSH31.3@WSH35.7GS17.3LAL13.5ATL15.1NO29.9@MIN48@OKC24.9TOR15.3MIN26.4@PHI21.2@ORL18.1MIL11.4@CHA55.7@IND
SEASON HIGH 63.6SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 26.6

Paul Reed game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 12@INDW 133-12122266333011-110-055.7
Apr 10@CHAW 118-100104700012-40-111.4
Apr 8MILW 137-1111010310104-40-018.1
Apr 6@ORLL 123-107199620114-71-221.2
Apr 4@PHIW 116-931810702114-50-126.4
Apr 2MINW 113-108164411112-40-015.3
Apr 1TORW 127-1161310251115-60-024.9
Mar 31@OKCL 114-110 OT34211021437-131-248
Mar 28@MINW 109-871712731114-70-029.9
Mar 26NOW 129-108148311013-30-015.1
Mar 25ATLL 130-129 OT116011103-70-113.5
Mar 23LALW 113-110158411004-70-017.3
Mar 20GSW 115-1012315632106-120-335.7
Mar 19@WSHW 117-952117430217-110-031.3
Mar 17@WSHW 130-1171310410004-50-016.3
Mar 15@TORL 119-108114600322-40-018.2
Mar 13MEMW 126-11040101110-10-06.2
Mar 12PHIW 131-109126210213-50-014.9
Mar 10@BKNW 138-10088400012-20-011.8
Mar 8@MIAL 121-110610412103-61-125.3
Mar 6@SAL 121-10696401013-40-012.8
Mar 1@ORLW 106-92145600111-10-014.2
Feb 28CLEW 122-119 OT114611002-40-115.7
Feb 26OKCW 124-116178600413-70-026.2
Feb 24SAL 114-1032010501215-80-124
Feb 22@CHIW 126-1101915901117-110-030.8
Feb 20@NYW 126-1112918721307-90-141.4
Feb 12@TORW 113-9533225334210-171-251.5
Feb 10@CHAW 110-1041812312113-51-125.1
Feb 7NYW 118-802712641104-81-331.2
Feb 6WSHL 126-117137500013-40-012
Feb 1BKNW 130-7784410002-30-010.3
Jan 30@PHXL 114-9642001001-20-05
Jan 25SACW 139-11652410011-20-07.3
Jan 18INDW 121-78103501021-10-010
Jan 11LACL 98-92228735253-60-136.9
Jan 8CHIW 108-93269661004-101-328.2
Jan 6NYW 121-90268810114-70-121.1
Jan 4@CLEW 114-110308841014-90-125.6
Jan 2MIAL 118-112129712014-40-023.9
Dec 31@LALW 128-10683201011-30-07.4
Dec 29@LACL 112-9963201001-30-18.4
Dec 27@UTAHL 131-12940210200-20-09.9
Dec 23@PORW 110-10240000000-00-00
Dec 21CHAW 112-8620000110-00-02
Dec 19@DALL 116-114 OT64101002-30-08.2
Dec 13ATLW 142-11554300012-30-06.6
Dec 7MILW 124-1121561030013-80-121.5
Dec 4@MILL 113-10979410124-51-216.3
Nov 30@MIAW 138-13519131021025-91-229
Nov 29ORLL 112-10961100100-00-05.2
Nov 23@MILW 129-11652100000-10-03.2
Nov 19@ATLW 120-11294201002-20-09.4
Nov 18INDW 127-112137231112-30-118.9
Nov 15PHIW 114-1052510832335-90-136.1
Nov 13CHIW 124-113312813641411-132-263.6
Nov 11WSHW 137-135 OT138901104-50-024.8
Nov 10@PHIW 111-108114500202-30-116
Nov 8@BKNW 125-107156622003-30-022.2
Nov 6UTAHW 114-10372000011-20-01
Nov 4@MEMW 114-10650102000-10-07.2
Oct 29ORLW 135-11630010000-10-01.5
Oct 27CLEL 116-9584201022-30-17.4
Oct 25@HOUW 115-1111913910226-101-129.3
Oct 23@CHIL 115-11133000111-11-15
QIs Paul Reed a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #215 overall, #77 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Paul Reed be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.9 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #190, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Paul Reed score in 2026-27?

We project 22 points per game across an expected 70 games — approximately 1540 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 9.4 and 26.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #190 in projected scoring.

QHow does Paul Reed rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Paul Reed finished #178 in 9-cat and #192 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #215 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Paul Reed for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 60% of games, with a floor of 5 and a ceiling of 36.1 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 34% of games and busted (under half his average) in 26%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.