NBA / Rankings / Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero

RANK #272025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF112025-26 9-CAT #112 8-CAT #69F · Orlando MagicAge 236' 10"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

22.2

Points / game

8.4

Rebounds

5.2

Assists

34.8

Minutes

45.9%

FG%

40.9

FPTS / game

+9.0

vs F median

TIER 5 · #27 OVERALLDepth piece — #11 among forwards

Paolo Banchero is ranked #11 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.6 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 32.6 minutes/game over that stretch vs 34.7 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile93%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Paolo Banchero 2026-27 fantasy outlook

39.9Proj FPTS/G · ~3032 / 76 games

34.4–50.2Typical game · middle 50%

#32Projected rank

35.5ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 35.5) lines up with our rank (#32). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (32.6 minutes/gm late vs 34.7 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Paolo Banchero consistency and floor

74 GAMES

22.9

Floor (p10)

40.9

Average

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered80%

Boom rate125%+ of average19%

Bust rateunder half of average7%

40.7

Season avg FPTS

38.6

Last 10 FPTS

39.3

Last 5 FPTS

Banchero vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED

Points22.294

Rebounds8.497

Assists5.296

Steals0.753

Blocks0.676

Minutes34.897

Fantasy PPG40.993

Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Banchero fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 61.2SEASON LOW 14.5LAST 5 AVG 39.3

Paolo Banchero game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 17	CHA	W 121-90	33	25	5	6	2	1	2	9-17	2-6	47
Apr 15	@PHI	L 109-97	36	18	5	4	0	1	6	7-22	0-5	27
Apr 12	@BOS	L 113-108	38	23	10	11	0	0	6	7-22	0-5	45.5
Apr 11	@CHI	W 127-103	27	14	9	7	2	0	4	5-10	1-4	37.3
Apr 8	MIN	W 132-120	29	20	8	6	1	0	2	8-11	1-1	39.6
Apr 6	DET	W 123-107	38	31	5	3	3	0	2	10-16	1-2	48.5
Apr 5	@NO	W 112-108	38	23	16	6	2	1	5	6-14	0-3	55.2
Apr 4	@DAL	W 138-127	31	10	7	5	0	0	3	4-10	1-1	22.9
Apr 1	ATL	L 130-101	26	11	8	3	1	0	3	3-9	0-1	25.1
Mar 31	PHX	W 115-111	37	19	9	8	0	0	4	6-14	1-3	37.8
Mar 29	@TOR	L 139-87	30	9	5	3	0	0	5	3-14	0-5	14.5
Mar 26	SAC	W 121-117	38	30	9	7	0	0	1	11-22	1-4	50.3
Mar 25	@CLE	L 136-131	40	36	6	5	1	1	5	10-19	3-7	51.7
Mar 23	IND	L 128-126	37	39	4	6	1	0	5	13-27	4-9	50.8
Mar 21	LAL	L 105-104	36	16	5	6	3	1	3	4-14	0-3	40
Mar 19	@CHA	L 130-111	28	20	3	7	1	1	3	6-16	1-5	37.1
Mar 17	OKC	L 113-108	36	32	10	5	1	0	4	12-21	3-6	50.5
Mar 16	@ATL	L 124-112	33	18	10	3	0	2	2	3-13	1-2	38.5
Mar 15	@MIA	W 121-117	37	27	8	7	0	0	4	8-14	1-3	43.1
Mar 12	WSH	W 136-131 OT	42	18	10	5	0	0	3	4-13	0-2	34.5
Mar 11	CLE	W 128-122	37	25	8	7	0	0	2	8-18	2-6	43.1
Mar 9	@MIL	W 130-91	29	33	5	3	0	1	1	12-16	3-6	45.5
Mar 7	@MIN	W 119-92	35	25	15	3	0	0	5	10-18	1-5	42.5
Mar 6	DAL	W 115-114	36	16	12	6	2	0	6	7-17	1-6	39.4
Mar 4	WSH	W 126-109	32	37	5	6	0	0	2	15-21	1-2	50
Mar 1	DET	L 106-92	38	24	11	2	1	0	9	5-10	1-4	34.2
Feb 27	HOU	L 113-108	37	19	8	9	1	1	0	6-16	0-2	48.1
Feb 25	@LAL	W 110-109	38	36	10	6	0	0	4	12-22	2-6	53
Feb 23	@LAC	W 111-109	37	16	7	8	0	0	2	6-16	0-1	34.4
Feb 21	@PHX	L 113-110 2OT	47	26	14	8	0	4	6	11-28	0-2	60.8
Feb 20	@SAC	W 131-94	32	30	5	6	1	1	3	10-21	5-7	48
Feb 12	MIL	L 116-108	39	17	4	2	0	0	0	5-16	2-6	24.8
Feb 10	MIL	W 118-99	33	11	9	3	0	0	2	3-10	2-4	24.3
Feb 8	UTAH	W 120-117	38	23	7	8	3	1	5	6-17	2-7	50.4
Feb 6	BKN	W 118-98	31	22	5	4	0	2	1	8-13	0-2	39
Feb 4	@OKC	L 128-92	33	17	3	4	0	0	2	6-17	1-4	24.6
Feb 2	@SA	L 112-103	35	19	10	4	1	0	4	6-12	1-1	36
Jan 31	TOR	W 130-120	41	20	9	6	2	1	3	5-11	1-1	45.8
Jan 29	@MIA	W 133-124	38	31	12	4	1	1	1	11-23	1-3	56.4
Jan 27	@CLE	L 114-98	40	37	10	4	0	0	2	13-21	2-5	53
Jan 25	CLE	L 119-105	38	27	5	2	0	0	2	7-14	3-6	34
Jan 23	CHA	L 124-97	30	23	7	5	1	0	4	6-12	2-4	37.9
Jan 18	MEM	L 126-109	36	16	8	9	0	0	4	7-20	1-4	35.1
Jan 15	MEM	W 118-111	37	26	13	4	4	0	2	9-16	4-8	57.6
Jan 11	NO	W 128-118	39	23	8	8	1	1	4	7-16	0-2	46.6
Jan 10	PHI	L 103-91	37	14	11	7	0	1	4	6-18	0-3	36.7
Jan 8	@BKN	W 104-103 OT	43	30	14	6	0	0	9	11-19	1-4	46.8
Jan 7	@WSH	L 120-112	25	14	4	4	0	0	4	5-10	1-3	20.8
Jan 4	IND	W 135-127	36	28	12	5	1	0	1	9-18	3-5	51.9
Jan 3	@CHI	L 121-114	35	31	6	6	2	1	3	13-23	2-5	53.2
Dec 31	@IND	W 112-110	35	29	10	4	1	3	5	12-21	0-1	54
Dec 30	@TOR	L 107-106	38	23	15	10	0	1	1	9-19	2-4	58
Dec 28	DEN	W 127-126	36	12	6	6	0	0	3	6-13	0-2	25.2
Dec 27	CHA	L 120-105	31	13	5	2	2	1	1	4-13	0-2	30
Dec 24	@POR	W 110-106	36	12	6	3	0	0	1	4-8	0-0	22.7
Dec 23	@GS	L 120-97	34	21	12	7	0	0	4	7-19	0-4	41.9
Dec 21	@UTAH	W 128-127 OT	42	23	9	9	0	2	2	6-18	1-4	51.3
Dec 19	@DEN	L 126-115	39	26	16	10	1	0	2	9-21	0-4	61.2
Dec 13	NY	L 132-120	35	25	8	3	1	0	5	10-22	0-7	37.1
Dec 9	MIA	W 117-108	32	18	7	4	0	1	3	5-13	2-5	32.4
Dec 7	@NY	L 106-100	24	16	1	2	0	0	1	4-11	3-6	19.2
Dec 6	MIA	W 106-105	20	9	6	2	0	0	1	3-8	1-2	18.2
Nov 13	@NY	W 124-107	12	4	4	2	1	1	1	1-4	0-0	16.8
Nov 11	POR	W 115-112	35	28	9	3	1	0	2	10-18	2-3	44.3
Nov 9	BOS	L 111-107	35	28	6	4	0	0	6	9-16	0-5	35.2
Nov 8	BOS	W 123-110	36	15	9	4	1	1	2	4-10	1-3	35.8
Nov 5	@ATL	L 127-112	37	22	11	8	1	0	3	6-16	0-4	47.2
Nov 1	@WSH	W 125-94	26	28	11	4	0	2	3	9-15	3-6	50.2
Oct 30	@CHA	W 123-107	33	20	9	9	2	0	1	8-12	2-4	49.3
Oct 29	@DET	L 135-116	35	24	11	7	1	1	4	7-16	0-3	49.7
Oct 27	@PHI	L 136-124	38	32	7	5	0	3	2	10-18	1-4	54.9
Oct 25	CHI	L 110-98	36	24	10	1	1	2	3	7-21	1-4	43.5
Oct 24	ATL	L 111-107	36	11	6	1	0	0	3	4-15	0-5	16.7
Oct 22	MIA	W 125-121	35	24	11	1	1	1	2	7-17	1-3	42.7

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QIs Paolo Banchero a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #27 overall, #11 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Paolo Banchero be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 35.5 (roughly round 4 in a 10-team league). We rank him #32, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Paolo Banchero score in 2026-27?

We project 39.9 points per game across an expected 76 games — approximately 3032 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 34.4 and 50.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #32 in projected scoring.

QHow does Paolo Banchero rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Paolo Banchero finished #112 in 9-cat and #69 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #27 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #69 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Paolo Banchero for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 80% of games, with a floor of 22.9 and a ceiling of 54 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 19% of games and busted (under half his average) in 7%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.