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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero

RANK #202025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF92025-26 9-CAT #878-CAT #49F · Orlando MagicAge 236' 10"2026-27 season
24.5
Points / game
6.5
Rebounds
7.5
Assists
34.0
Minutes
69.6%
FG%
42.6
FPTS / game
+29.0
vs F median
TIER 5 · #20 OVERALLDepth piece — #9 among forwards

Paolo Banchero is ranked #9 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.

Percentile71%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Paolo Banchero 2026-27 fantasy outlook

OUT
39.9Proj FPTS/G · ~3032 / 76 games
34.4–50.2Typical game · middle 50%
#22Projected rank
44.2ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #22 versus an ADP of 44.2 — the market drafts him 24 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (32.6 minutes/gm late vs 34.7 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

ORL 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
ATL
Oct 23
MIN
Oct 25
@NY
Oct 28
@TOR
Oct 30
@TOR
Nov 1
BOS
Nov 3
WSH
Nov 6
@PHX
Nov 8
@GS
Nov 11
@SAC
Nov 12
@UTAH
Nov 14
MIL

Paolo Banchero consistency and floor

2 GAMES
22.9
Floor (p10)
42.6
Average
54
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered80%
Boom rate125%+ of average19%
Bust rateunder half of average7%

Banchero vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED
Points24.598
Rebounds6.584
Assists7.599
Steals1.081
Blocks0.036
Minutes34.098
Fantasy PPG42.697
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Banchero fantasy points, last 2 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
80400AVG 42.655.4ATL29.7MIN
SEASON HIGH 55.4SEASON LOW 29.7LAST 5 AVG 42.6

Paolo Banchero game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 23MINL 115-932614651026-110-229.7
Oct 21ATLL 132-125413571010610-123-455.4
QIs Paolo Banchero a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #20 overall, #9 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Paolo Banchero be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 44.2 (roughly round 5 in a 10-team league). We rank him #22, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Paolo Banchero score in 2026-27?

We project 39.9 points per game across an expected 76 games — approximately 3032 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 34.4 and 50.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #22 in projected scoring.

QHow does Paolo Banchero rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Paolo Banchero finished #87 in 9-cat and #49 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #20 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #49 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Paolo Banchero for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 80% of games, with a floor of 22.9 and a ceiling of 54 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 19% of games and busted (under half his average) in 7%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.