NBA / Rankings / Mouhamed Gueye

Mouhamed Gueye

RANK #382025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF142025-26 9-CAT #31 8-CAT #36F · Atlanta HawksAge 236' 11"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

4.4

Points / game

3.6

Rebounds

0.9

Assists

15.3

Minutes

45.2%

FG%

13.6

FPTS / game

+0.0

vs F median

TIER 6 · #38 OVERALLDepth piece — #14 among forwards

Mouhamed Gueye is ranked #14 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 2.3 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 12.8 minutes/game over that stretch vs 15.3 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile54%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27

VALUE PICK

Mouhamed Gueye 2026-27 fantasy outlook

OUT

12.8Proj FPTS/G · ~1011 / 79 games

6.6–17.6Typical game · middle 50%

#47Projected rank

140ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #47 versus an ADP of 140 — the market drafts him 242 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (12.8 minutes/gm late vs 15.3 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

ATL 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED

Oct 21

@ORL

Oct 23

@CHA

Oct 25

HOU

Oct 27

@HOU

Oct 28

MIA

Oct 30

CLE

Oct 31

@NO

Nov 3

@IND

Nov 5

@WSH

Nov 7

WSH

Nov 8

BKN

Nov 10

LAL

Mouhamed Gueye consistency and floor

77 GAMES

Floor (p10)

13.6

Average

27.1

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered57%

Boom rate125%+ of average29%

Bust rateunder half of average26%

13.5

Season avg FPTS

11.4

Last 10 FPTS

11.3

Last 5 FPTS

Gueye vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED

Points4.434

Rebounds3.653

Assists0.937

Steals0.865

Blocks0.575

Minutes15.340

Fantasy PPG13.643

Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Gueye fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 46.9SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 11.3

Mouhamed Gueye game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 10	CLE	W 124-102	12	5	3	1	0	1	0	2-4	1-3	13.1
Apr 8	@CLE	L 122-116	16	3	5	1	1	2	0	1-3	1-2	19.5
Apr 6	NY	L 108-105	8	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	1.2
Apr 3	@BKN	W 141-107	17	5	4	1	1	0	0	2-3	0-0	14.3
Apr 1	@ORL	W 130-101	11	0	2	2	1	0	0	0-3	0-3	8.4
Mar 30	BOS	W 112-102	12	2	4	1	0	0	0	1-3	0-1	8.3
Mar 28	SAC	W 123-113	32	10	7	2	0	0	0	4-8	2-3	21.4
Mar 27	@BOS	L 109-102	10	3	1	0	1	1	0	1-3	1-2	10.2
Mar 25	@DET	W 130-129 OT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Mar 23	MEM	W 146-107	22	3	4	3	2	0	1	1-4	1-4	17.3
Mar 22	GS	W 126-110	26	16	10	2	0	3	2	6-6	4-4	38
Mar 21	@HOU	L 117-95	18	0	2	0	1	1	0	0-2	0-1	8.4
Mar 16	ORL	W 124-112	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	1.5
Mar 14	MIL	W 122-99	13	0	2	0	2	0	0	0-2	0-1	8.4
Mar 12	BKN	W 108-97	5	4	1	0	2	0	0	1-1	0-0	11.2
Mar 10	DAL	W 124-112	10	9	5	0	0	0	0	3-4	0-1	15
Mar 7	PHI	W 125-116	9	2	2	0	0	1	0	1-2	0-0	7.4
Mar 5	@MIL	W 131-113	14	8	5	0	0	0	0	3-3	2-2	14
Mar 1	POR	W 135-101	4	2	2	0	0	0	1	1-2	0-1	3.4
Feb 27	WSH	W 126-96	18	2	6	0	2	1	1	1-1	0-0	17.2
Feb 25	WSH	W 119-98	18	6	11	1	2	0	0	2-4	0-2	26.7
Feb 22	BKN	W 115-104	10	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-1	0-1	4.5
Feb 21	MIA	L 128-97	13	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	0-0	4.2
Feb 20	@PHI	W 117-107	10	0	1	1	1	1	0	0-2	0-0	8.7
Feb 12	@CHA	L 110-107	9	6	3	0	0	0	1	2-2	2-2	8.6
Feb 10	@MIN	L 138-116	20	10	7	0	0	0	0	4-8	1-2	18.4
Feb 6	UTAH	W 121-119	9	2	4	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-1	6.8
Feb 4	@MIA	W 127-115	22	6	6	2	3	1	1	2-4	1-2	27.2
Feb 1	@IND	L 129-124	32	15	4	0	3	1	0	4-9	0-2	31.8
Jan 30	HOU	L 104-86	21	2	3	2	0	1	0	1-8	0-3	11.6
Jan 29	@BOS	W 117-106	19	5	4	2	0	0	0	2-3	1-2	12.8
Jan 26	IND	W 132-116	13	7	6	1	1	0	0	3-4	1-2	18.7
Jan 24	PHX	W 110-103	9	1	3	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	6.1
Jan 22	@MEM	W 124-122	18	7	1	2	0	0	0	3-7	1-4	11.2
Jan 19	MIL	L 112-110	10	2	3	0	1	0	1	1-3	0-1	7.6
Jan 18	BOS	L 132-106	19	5	7	3	2	0	1	2-7	1-2	22.9
Jan 16	@POR	L 117-101	21	6	3	2	2	1	0	2-6	2-5	21.6
Jan 14	@LAL	L 141-116	22	5	4	1	5	0	0	1-4	1-2	26.3
Jan 12	@GS	W 124-111	24	5	5	0	0	0	0	2-3	1-1	11
Jan 10	@DEN	W 110-87	19	0	2	0	0	1	0	0-2	0-1	5.4
Jan 8	NO	W 117-100	31	10	11	6	4	2	5	3-10	1-4	45.2
Jan 6	@TOR	L 118-100	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	2.4
Jan 4	@TOR	L 134-117	20	0	4	1	2	0	0	0-2	0-0	12.3
Dec 31	MIN	W 126-102	4	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-1	0-0	5.7
Dec 30	@OKC	L 140-129	10	0	5	3	2	0	0	0-1	0-0	16.5
Dec 28	NY	L 128-125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Dec 27	MIA	L 126-111	11	4	5	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	10
Dec 21	CHI	L 152-150	13	2	2	0	1	3	0	1-2	0-1	16.4
Dec 20	SA	L 126-98	14	4	4	0	0	0	0	2-6	0-4	8.8
Dec 19	@CHA	L 133-126	10	4	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	0-0	4
Dec 14	PHI	W 120-117	11	1	1	0	1	1	2	0-1	0-1	6.2
Dec 13	@DET	L 142-115	17	8	2	0	0	1	0	2-5	1-2	13.4
Dec 7	@WSH	W 131-116	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	0-0	5.2
Dec 6	DEN	L 134-133	10	3	3	0	0	0	1	1-4	1-4	5.6
Dec 4	LAC	L 115-92	23	0	6	0	1	0	1	0-2	0-0	9.2
Dec 2	@DET	L 99-98	23	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-3	0-0	14.2
Nov 30	@PHI	W 142-134 2OT	23	13	4	0	2	1	1	6-8	1-2	25.8
Nov 29	CLE	W 130-123	24	12	3	2	1	2	0	5-7	0-2	27.6
Nov 26	@WSH	L 132-113	18	7	5	1	0	0	1	3-6	0-1	13.5
Nov 23	CHA	W 113-110	17	4	1	1	0	2	0	2-5	0-1	12.7
Nov 23	@NO	W 115-98	27	3	6	0	2	0	0	1-3	1-3	16.2
Nov 21	@SA	L 135-126	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-1	0-0	3
Nov 19	DET	L 120-112	21	11	11	1	0	1	1	5-10	1-5	27.7
Nov 17	@PHX	W 124-122	10	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-2	0-2	0.2
Nov 14	@UTAH	W 132-122	15	8	2	1	0	0	2	4-9	0-2	9.9
Nov 13	@SAC	W 133-100	20	2	3	2	2	0	0	1-4	0-3	14.6
Nov 11	@LAC	W 105-102	8	2	3	2	1	0	1	1-1	0-0	10.6
Nov 9	LAL	W 122-102	34	21	7	7	2	1	2	8-12	4-5	46.9
Nov 8	TOR	L 109-97	19	2	7	1	0	0	0	1-6	0-3	11.9
Nov 5	ORL	W 127-112	18	5	3	0	0	3	0	2-4	1-3	17.6
Nov 2	@CLE	L 117-109	8	4	3	0	0	0	1	1-1	0-0	6.6
Oct 31	@IND	W 128-108	16	6	6	0	0	0	0	3-5	0-2	13.2
Oct 29	@BKN	W 117-112	14	9	4	2	1	0	1	4-6	1-2	18.8
Oct 28	@CHI	L 128-123	10	4	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	0-1	4
Oct 25	OKC	L 117-100	23	11	6	2	0	2	1	4-10	2-6	26.2
Oct 24	@ORL	W 111-107	30	13	8	3	0	1	3	5-9	2-5	27.1
Oct 22	TOR	L 138-118	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	0-0	3

More on Gueye and the F board

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QIs Mouhamed Gueye a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #38 overall, #14 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Mouhamed Gueye be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #47, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Mouhamed Gueye score in 2026-27?

We project 12.8 points per game across an expected 79 games — approximately 1011 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 6.6 and 17.6 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #47 in projected scoring.

QHow does Mouhamed Gueye rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Mouhamed Gueye finished #31 in 9-cat and #36 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #38 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Mouhamed Gueye for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 57% of games, with a floor of 3 and a ceiling of 27.1 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 29% of games and busted (under half his average) in 26%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.