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Mouhamed Gueye

Mouhamed Gueye

RANK #3152025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF1132025-26 9-CAT #2808-CAT #304F · Atlanta HawksAge 236' 11"2025-26 season
4.4
Points / game
3.6
Rebounds
0.9
Assists
15.3
Minutes
45.2%
FG%
13.6
FPTS / game
-18.3
vs F median
TIER 6 · #315 OVERALLDepth piece — #113 among forwards

Mouhamed Gueye is ranked #113 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 2.3 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 12.8 minutes/game over that stretch vs 15.3 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile25%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
LATE FLIER

Mouhamed Gueye 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY
12.8Proj FPTS/G · ~1011 / 79 games
6.617.6Typical game · middle 50%
#332Projected rank
140ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 140) lines up with our rank (#332). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (12.8 minutes/gm late vs 15.3 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Mouhamed Gueye consistency and floor

77 GAMES
3
Floor (p10)
13.6
Average
27.1
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered57%
Boom rate125%+ of average29%
Bust rateunder half of average26%
13.5
Season avg FPTS
11.4
Last 10 FPTS
11.3
Last 5 FPTS

Gueye vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points4.419
Rebounds3.642
Assists0.926
Steals0.864
Blocks0.569
Minutes15.323
Fantasy PPG13.625
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Gueye fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
50250AVG 13.611.2BKN8.4MIL1.5ORL8.4@HOU38GS17.3MEM0@DET10.2@BOS21.4SAC8.3BOS8.4@ORL14.3@BKN1.2NY19.5@CLE13.1CLE
SEASON HIGH 46.9SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 11.3

Mouhamed Gueye game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 10CLEW 124-102125310102-41-313.1
Apr 8@CLEL 122-116163511201-31-219.5
Apr 6NYL 108-10580100000-10-11.2
Apr 3@BKNW 141-107175411002-30-014.3
Apr 1@ORLW 130-101110221000-30-38.4
Mar 30BOSW 112-102122410001-30-18.3
Mar 28SACW 123-1133210720004-82-321.4
Mar 27@BOSL 109-102103101101-31-210.2
Mar 25@DETW 130-129 OT10000000-00-00
Mar 23MEMW 146-107223432011-41-417.3
Mar 22GSW 126-11026161020326-64-438
Mar 21@HOUL 117-95180201100-20-18.4
Mar 16ORLW 124-11280010000-10-11.5
Mar 14MILW 122-99130202000-20-18.4
Mar 12BKNW 108-9754102001-10-011.2
Mar 10DALW 124-112109500003-40-115
Mar 7PHIW 125-11692200101-20-07.4
Mar 5@MILW 131-113148500003-32-214
Mar 1PORW 135-10142200011-20-13.4
Feb 27WSHW 126-96182602111-10-017.2
Feb 25WSHW 119-981861112002-40-226.7
Feb 22BKNW 115-104100011000-10-14.5
Feb 21MIAL 128-97130101000-00-04.2
Feb 20@PHIW 117-107100111100-20-08.7
Feb 12@CHAL 110-10796300012-22-28.6
Feb 10@MINL 138-1162010700004-81-218.4
Feb 6UTAHW 121-11992400001-20-16.8
Feb 4@MIAW 127-115226623112-41-227.2
Feb 1@INDL 129-1243215403104-90-231.8
Jan 30HOUL 104-86212320101-80-311.6
Jan 29@BOSW 117-106195420002-31-212.8
Jan 26INDW 132-116137611003-41-218.7
Jan 24PHXW 110-10391310000-10-16.1
Jan 22@MEMW 124-122187120003-71-411.2
Jan 19MILL 112-110102301011-30-17.6
Jan 18BOSL 132-106195732012-71-222.9
Jan 16@PORL 117-101216322102-62-521.6
Jan 14@LALL 141-116225415001-41-226.3
Jan 12@GSW 124-111245500002-31-111
Jan 10@DENW 110-87190200100-20-15.4
Jan 8NOW 117-10031101164253-101-445.2
Jan 6@TORL 118-10030200000-00-02.4
Jan 4@TORL 134-117200412000-20-012.3
Dec 31MINW 126-10240111000-10-05.7
Dec 30@OKCL 140-129100532000-10-016.5
Dec 28NYL 128-12510000000-00-00
Dec 27MIAL 126-111114500000-00-010
Dec 21CHIL 152-150132201301-20-116.4
Dec 20SAL 126-98144400002-60-48.8
Dec 19@CHAL 133-126104000002-30-04
Dec 14PHIW 120-117111101120-10-16.2
Dec 13@DETL 142-115178200102-51-213.4
Dec 7@WSHW 131-11694100002-20-05.2
Dec 6DENL 134-133103300011-41-45.6
Dec 4LACL 115-92230601010-20-09.2
Dec 2@DETL 99-98231103100-30-014.2
Nov 30@PHIW 142-134 2OT2313402116-81-225.8
Nov 29CLEW 130-1232412321205-70-227.6
Nov 26@WSHL 132-113187510013-60-113.5
Nov 23CHAW 113-110174110202-50-112.7
Nov 23@NOW 115-98273602001-31-316.2
Nov 21@SAL 135-12640000100-10-03
Nov 19DETL 120-11221111110115-101-527.7
Nov 17@PHXW 124-122100100010-20-20.2
Nov 14@UTAHW 132-122158210024-90-29.9
Nov 13@SACW 133-100202322001-40-314.6
Nov 11@LACW 105-10282321011-10-010.6
Nov 9LALW 122-1023421772128-124-546.9
Nov 8TORL 109-97192710001-60-311.9
Nov 5ORLW 127-112185300302-41-317.6
Nov 2@CLEL 117-10984300011-10-06.6
Oct 31@INDW 128-108166600003-50-213.2
Oct 29@BKNW 117-112149421014-61-218.8
Oct 28@CHIL 128-123104000002-30-14
Oct 25OKCL 117-1002311620214-102-626.2
Oct 24@ORLW 111-1073013830135-92-527.1
Oct 22TORL 138-11850000100-00-03
QIs Mouhamed Gueye a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #315 overall, #113 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Mouhamed Gueye be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #332, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Mouhamed Gueye score in 2026-27?

We project 12.8 points per game across an expected 79 games — approximately 1011 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 6.6 and 17.6 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #332 in projected scoring.

QHow does Mouhamed Gueye rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Mouhamed Gueye finished #280 in 9-cat and #304 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #315 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Mouhamed Gueye for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 57% of games, with a floor of 3 and a ceiling of 27.1 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 29% of games and busted (under half his average) in 26%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.