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Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis

RANK #632025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF232025-26 9-CAT #498-CAT #45F · Chicago BullsAge 226' 8"2026-27 seasonPROP GUIDE →
13.0
Points / game
4.3
Rebounds
1.9
Assists
25.0
Minutes
40.0%
FG%
21.3
FPTS / game
+7.7
vs F median
TIER 6 · #63 OVERALLDepth piece — #23 among forwards

Matas Buzelis is ranked #23 among 20 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.6 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (29.2/game vs 29.2 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile-10%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated November 5
VALUE PICK

Matas Buzelis 2026-27 fantasy outlook

31.8Proj FPTS/G · ~2512 / 79 games
24.5–38.1Typical game · middle 50%
#55Projected rank
105.1ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #55 versus an ADP of 105.1 — the market drafts him 35 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (29.2 minutes/gm), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated November 5 · ESPN ADP updated November 5 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

CHI 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
@TOR
Oct 23
@MIL
Oct 25
WSH
Oct 26
@BOS
Oct 29
NY
Oct 30
@BOS
Nov 3
@PHI
Nov 5
@NY
Nov 8
PHI
Nov 12
SA
Nov 14
ATL
Nov 15
@MIN

Matas Buzelis consistency and floor

8 GAMES
15.2
Floor (p10)
21.3
Average
43.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered78%
Boom rate125%+ of average25%
Bust rateunder half of average10%
21.8
Season avg FPTS
21.8
Last 10 FPTS
19.7
Last 5 FPTS

Buzelis vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 159 RANKED
Points13.074
Rebounds4.360
Assists1.968
Steals0.440
Blocks0.781
Minutes25.062
Fantasy PPG21.363
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Buzelis fantasy points, last 8 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
40200AVG 21.327.2@TOR18.5@MIL30WSH16.2@BOS29.5NY19.5@BOS8.6@PHI24.5@NY
SEASON HIGH 30SEASON LOW 8.6LAST 5 AVG 19.7

Matas Buzelis game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Nov 5@NYL 135-1052612531015-111-624.5
Nov 3@PHIL 126-107234320152-50-18.6
Oct 30@BOSL 125-1112014510025-112-519.5
Oct 29NYL 133-1273317531145-133-629.5
Oct 26@BOSL 134-992211121023-62-416.2
Oct 25WSHL 124-1203521521037-132-730
Oct 23@MILW 132-125177530122-90-418.5
Oct 21@TORL 135-922517600232-80-427.2
QIs Matas Buzelis a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #63 overall, #23 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Matas Buzelis be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 105.1 (roughly round 11 in a 10-team league). We rank him #55, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Matas Buzelis score in 2026-27?

We project 31.8 points per game across an expected 79 games — approximately 2512 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 24.5 and 38.1 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #55 in projected scoring.

QHow does Matas Buzelis rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Matas Buzelis finished #49 in 9-cat and #45 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #63 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Matas Buzelis for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 78% of games, with a floor of 15.2 and a ceiling of 43.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 25% of games and busted (under half his average) in 10%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.