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Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis

RANK #822025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF272025-26 9-CAT #678-CAT #60F · Chicago BullsAge 216' 8"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
16.3
Points / game
5.8
Rebounds
2.1
Assists
29.2
Minutes
46.3%
FG%
30.9
FPTS / game
-1.0
vs F median
TIER 6 · #82 OVERALLDepth piece — #27 among forwards

Matas Buzelis is ranked #27 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.6 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile83%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Matas Buzelis 2026-27 fantasy outlook

31.8Proj FPTS/G · ~2512 / 79 games
24.538.1Typical game · middle 50%
#72Projected rank
117.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #72 versus an ADP of 117.9 — the market drafts him 63 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (29.2 minutes/gm), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Matas Buzelis consistency and floor

77 GAMES
15.2
Floor (p10)
30.9
Average
43.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered78%
Boom rate125%+ of average25%
Bust rateunder half of average10%
30.9
Season avg FPTS
33.3
Last 10 FPTS
35.6
Last 5 FPTS

Buzelis vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points16.381
Rebounds5.883
Assists2.165
Steals0.753
Blocks1.597
Minutes29.277
Fantasy PPG30.983
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Buzelis fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 30.941.6@SAC62.2@GS40.7@LAL32.2@LAC46.9MEM35.9TOR35CLE26.3HOU30.6@PHI27.8@OKC53.5@MEM32.2@SA38.8IND15.2@NY38.1ORL
SEASON HIGH 62.2SEASON LOW 5.8LAST 5 AVG 35.5

Matas Buzelis game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 11ORLL 127-1032714831326-170-938.1
Apr 3@NYL 136-962311600034-91-515.2
Apr 2INDL 145-1262917962045-113-738.8
Mar 31@SAL 129-1142812621325-121-632.2
Mar 29@MEML 125-124392910313410-213-1053.5
Mar 28@OKCL 131-1133415900116-131-727.8
Mar 25@PHIL 157-1373018820136-154-1030.6
Mar 24HOUW 132-1243523410038-165-926.3
Mar 20CLEL 115-1103313503325-132-935
Mar 19TORL 139-1093119712126-153-835.9
Mar 17MEMW 132-10732297103112-225-1346.9
Mar 14@LACL 119-10834181120026-182-1032.2
Mar 13@LALL 142-1303522612227-194-1140.7
Mar 11@GSW 130-124 OT45416222116-285-1562.2
Mar 9@SACL 126-1103020840335-122-641.6
Mar 4OKCL 116-1082011530013-92-520.5
Mar 1MILW 120-973220730337-154-938.9
Feb 27PORL 121-1123620742146-162-839.4
Feb 25CHAL 131-9933327210213-196-1144.4
Feb 23NYL 105-992615400034-123-916.8
Feb 22DETL 126-1103015632645-102-746.7
Feb 20TORL 110-101314610042-100-78.7
Feb 12@BOSL 124-1052915841226-133-737.6
Feb 10@BKNL 123-1152618410435-153-733.3
Feb 8DENL 136-1203021831037-134-835.1
Feb 6@TORL 123-1073318631137-112-632.7
Feb 4@MILL 131-1153622210518-165-1039.9
Feb 1@MIAL 134-91212320331-70-514.6
Feb 1@MIAW 125-1183321840187-153-731.6
Jan 30MIAL 116-1133416941116-152-537.8
Jan 29@INDL 113-1103220800117-114-631.6
Jan 27LALL 129-1182211540034-82-620
Jan 25BOSW 114-1113214850125-134-1032.1
Jan 23@MINW 120-1152812631003-82-326.7
Jan 21LACW 138-1103021241228-144-836.4
Jan 19BKNW 124-1022717550226-133-634.5
Jan 17@BKNL 112-1093215631404-152-741.7
Jan 15UTAHW 128-126197220003-71-412.4
Jan 14@HOUL 119-1133719620027-142-727.2
Jan 11DALW 125-1072515620217-161-730.2
Jan 8@DETL 108-933320311427-154-738.1
Jan 6@BOSL 115-1013126320129-123-433.6
Jan 4CHAL 112-993417830036-162-828.1
Jan 3ORLW 121-1143021971226-142-849.3
Jan 1NOW 134-1182719621008-172-932.2
Dec 30MINL 136-1012413520125-143-823
Dec 28MILL 112-103228321032-51-314.6
Dec 27PHIW 109-1022010800333-102-625.6
Dec 24@ATLW 126-1231815200206-82-323.4
Dec 21@ATLW 152-15029283012010-117-840.6
Dec 20@CLEW 136-1253324512209-152-843.5
Dec 18CLEW 127-111229110113-70-213.7
Dec 15NOL 114-104249631003-51-323.7
Dec 13@CHAW 129-1262410010205-80-217.5
Dec 8GSL 123-912516313127-122-531.1
Dec 6INDL 120-10535191221165-80-336.4
Dec 4BKNL 113-1033314531036-141-524.5
Dec 2@ORLL 125-1203621642307-162-749.2
Nov 30@INDL 103-1013481121333-92-533.2
Nov 29@CHAL 123-116308231023-80-515.9
Nov 25@NOL 143-1302110400224-82-518.8
Nov 23WSHW 121-1202913611314-111-632.7
Nov 22MIAL 143-107196511222-80-320.5
Nov 20@PORW 122-1211911540224-61-227
Nov 18@DENW 130-1272913420215-142-525.8
Nov 17@UTAHL 150-147 2OT3318611207-132-535.7
Nov 13@DETL 124-11334211420247-142-542.8
Nov 11SAL 121-1172515501115-92-326
Nov 9@CLEL 128-122184400031-60-35.8
Nov 8@MILL 126-1103620832138-132-640.1
Nov 5PHIW 113-1113010511224-112-424.5
Nov 3@NYL 128-1163114801015-114-625.6
Nov 1NYW 135-1252913011114-102-519.5
Oct 30SACW 126-11334275221311-184-642
Oct 28ATLW 128-1233216530016-142-725.5
Oct 25@ORLW 110-98123301021-50-27.6
Oct 23DETW 115-1113421610337-120-335.7
QIs Matas Buzelis a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #82 overall, #27 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Matas Buzelis be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 117.9 (roughly round 12 in a 10-team league). We rank him #72, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Matas Buzelis score in 2026-27?

We project 31.8 points per game across an expected 79 games — approximately 2512 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 24.5 and 38.1 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #72 in projected scoring.

QHow does Matas Buzelis rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Matas Buzelis finished #67 in 9-cat and #60 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #82 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Matas Buzelis for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 78% of games, with a floor of 15.2 and a ceiling of 43.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 25% of games and busted (under half his average) in 10%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.