NBA / Rankings / Lonnie Walker IV

Lonnie Walker IV

RANK #1982025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG922025-26 9-CAT #235 8-CAT #221G · Denver NuggetsAge 276' 4"2024-25 season

12.4

Points / game

3.2

Rebounds

2.5

Assists

23.9

Minutes

42.0%

FG%

21.1

FPTS / game

-10.4

vs G median

TIER 6 · #198 OVERALLDepth piece — #92 among guards

Lonnie Walker IV is ranked #92 among 203 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 10.0 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 33.6 minutes/game vs 25.2 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile55%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 2

AVOID AT COST

Lonnie Walker IV 2026-27 fantasy outlook

23.3Proj FPTS/G · ~885 / 38 games

10.9–31.6Typical game · middle 50%

#170Projected rank

140ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #140; we rank him #170. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: growing workload (33.6 minutes/gm late vs 25.2 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated October 2 · ESPN ADP updated October 2 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Lonnie Walker IV consistency and floor

20 GAMES

2.4

Floor (p10)

21.1

Average

41.2

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered70%

Boom rate125%+ of average30%

Bust rateunder half of average25%

20.9

Season avg FPTS

25.8

Last 10 FPTS

31.1

Last 5 FPTS

Walker vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 213 RANKED

Points12.466

Rebounds3.259

Assists2.550

Steals0.522

Blocks0.372

Minutes23.956

Fantasy PPG21.158

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Walker fantasy points, last 15 games

2024-25 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 46.7SEASON LOW 1.2LAST 5 AVG 31.1

Lonnie Walker IV game log — 2024-25

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 13	CHI	L 122-102	37	31	6	2	0	0	0	11-23	8-15	41.2
Apr 11	ATL	L 124-110	24	12	5	3	1	1	3	5-14	2-6	25.5
Apr 9	@WSH	W 122-103	29	24	0	1	1	0	3	7-17	3-11	25.5
Apr 7	@MIA	L 117-105	40	29	1	2	0	0	2	10-18	6-13	31.2
Apr 5	MIN	L 114-109	38	18	3	5	0	1	0	6-12	3-8	32.1
Apr 3	MIL	L 126-113	17	4	4	4	1	0	2	2-7	0-4	15.8
Apr 1	@NY	L 105-91	33	11	7	4	0	0	1	5-12	1-6	24.4
Mar 30	TOR	L 127-109	36	23	3	7	0	0	2	10-18	3-7	35.1
Mar 29	MIA	L 118-95	21	10	1	2	1	0	0	4-9	2-6	17.2
Mar 22	@SA	L 128-120	11	3	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	1-2	9.5
Mar 12	@TOR	L 118-105	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	1.2
Mar 10	@ATL	L 132-123	30	11	5	5	0	0	2	4-14	2-7	22.5
Mar 9	UTAH	W 126-122	34	25	11	5	1	0	2	8-18	3-9	46.7
Mar 7	@BOS	L 123-105	28	17	1	3	0	0	2	6-13	5-10	20.7
Mar 5	@MIN	L 126-112	22	6	2	1	1	0	2	2-7	1-4	10.9
Mar 4	POR	L 119-102	28	13	3	2	2	2	0	4-8	3-6	31.6
Mar 2	GS	W 126-119	6	3	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	1-1	2
Feb 27	@NY	L 110-105	11	2	1	0	0	1	0	1-4	0-2	6.2
Feb 25	CHI	L 142-110	24	5	7	3	0	0	2	2-11	1-7	15.9
Feb 23	BKN	L 105-103	10	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-3	0-3	2.4

More on Walker and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs Lonnie Walker IV a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #198 overall, #92 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Lonnie Walker IV be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #170, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will Lonnie Walker IV score in 2026-27?

We project 23.3 points per game across an expected 38 games — approximately 885 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 10.9 and 31.6 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #170 in projected scoring.

QHow does Lonnie Walker IV rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Lonnie Walker IV finished #235 in 9-cat and #221 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #198 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Lonnie Walker IV for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 70% of games, with a floor of 2.4 and a ceiling of 41.2 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 30% of games and busted (under half his average) in 25%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.