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Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

RANK #252025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF102025-26 9-CAT #98-CAT #20F · Utah JazzAge 297' 1"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
26.7
Points / game
6.9
Rebounds
2.1
Assists
34.4
Minutes
47.7%
FG%
41.1
FPTS / game
+9.2
vs F median
TIER 5 · #25 OVERALLDepth piece — #10 among forwards

Lauri Markkanen is ranked #10 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 7.9 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 25.6 minutes/game over that stretch vs 34.4 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile94%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Lauri Markkanen 2026-27 fantasy outlook

39.7Proj FPTS/G · ~2144 / 54 games
33.845Typical game · middle 50%
#33Projected rank
82.3ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #33 versus an ADP of 82.3 — the market drafts him 48 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (25.6 minutes/gm late vs 34.4 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Lauri Markkanen consistency and floor

42 GAMES
28.2
Floor (p10)
41.1
Average
52.2
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered86%
Boom rate125%+ of average12%
Bust rateunder half of average0%
41.2
Season avg FPTS
36.9
Last 10 FPTS
33.2
Last 5 FPTS

Markkanen vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points26.799
Rebounds6.993
Assists2.165
Steals1.083
Blocks0.569
Minutes34.496
Fantasy PPG41.194
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Markkanen fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
60300AVG 41.144.8BOS42.7@GS39.8@POR45.1@OKC50.4DAL50.4@CLE35LAC32.6GS52.2@TOR32.6@IND27.5@ATL36.9@ORL27.1@MIA34.9SAC39.6@HOU
SEASON HIGH 73.7SEASON LOW 26.4LAST 5 AVG 33.2

Lauri Markkanen game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Feb 24@HOUL 125-10532293220210-231-1039.6
Feb 12SACW 121-932119731007-141-434.9
Feb 10@MIAW 115-1112517810015-143-827.1
Feb 8@ORLL 120-11727277101312-213-636.9
Feb 6@ATLL 121-1192318511016-123-527.5
Feb 4@INDW 131-12227273200110-192-732.6
Feb 1@TORL 107-10039271122109-232-952.2
Jan 29GSL 140-1243318322116-141-632.6
Jan 28LACL 115-1032919540225-153-635
Jan 13@CLEW 123-11236281221118-163-850.4
Jan 9DALW 116-11440337402314-262-850.4
Jan 8@OKCL 129-125 OT442913110411-193-745.1
Jan 6@PORL 137-1173222443158-173-539.8
Jan 4@GSL 123-11441356100115-272-842.7
Dec 31BOSL 129-1193822922106-162-644.8
Dec 28@SAW 127-11434295131111-165-647.5
Dec 27DETW 131-1293830441028-184-741.8
Dec 23@DENL 135-11236278100310-202-935.1
Dec 16DALW 140-133 OT403316541111-231-673.7
Dec 13@MEMW 130-1263626921159-223-1040.8
Dec 6@NYL 146-1122618920005-132-631.8
Dec 5@BKNW 123-11035308100111-182-540.1
Dec 2HOUW 133-1253729801009-172-341.6
Nov 30HOUL 129-1013018810015-121-528.1
Nov 29SACW 128-1193928720019-232-1338.4
Nov 25@GSL 134-1173317640026-191-528.2
Nov 24LALL 108-1063620721118-192-736.4
Nov 22OKCL 144-1123519632014-82-435.7
Nov 19@LALL 140-12632315220112-213-945
Nov 17CHIW 150-147 2OT46477222115-336-1769.4
Nov 14ATLL 132-12236407210415-256-1250.4
Nov 12INDW 152-12835353201013-195-744.6
Nov 11MINL 120-1133521831016-154-737.1
Nov 8@MINL 137-972112223004-140-426.4
Nov 6@DETL 114-1034025402028-223-1233.8
Nov 4@BOSW 105-1033720920047-172-629.8
Nov 2@CHAL 126-10333297300012-283-1041.9
Nov 1@PHXL 118-9635334001210-204-1138.8
Oct 30PORL 136-13438325233110-192-758
Oct 28PHXW 138-134 OT455114300114-326-1371.3
Oct 25@SACL 105-10436334100112-234-1338.3
Oct 23LACW 129-1083320650018-134-733.7
QIs Lauri Markkanen a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #25 overall, #10 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Lauri Markkanen be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 82.3 (roughly round 9 in a 10-team league). We rank him #33, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Lauri Markkanen score in 2026-27?

We project 39.7 points per game across an expected 54 games — approximately 2144 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 33.8 and 45 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #33 in projected scoring.

QHow does Lauri Markkanen rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Lauri Markkanen finished #9 in 9-cat and #20 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #25 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Lauri Markkanen for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 86% of games, with a floor of 28.2 and a ceiling of 52.2 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 12% of games and busted (under half his average) in 0%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.