NBA / Rankings / Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr.

RANK #3542025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF1262025-26 9-CAT #359 8-CAT #360F · Indiana PacersAge 336' 6"2025-26 season

3.7

Points / game

2.7

Rebounds

1.0

Assists

12.8

Minutes

41.9%

FG%

10.2

FPTS / game

-21.7

vs F median

TIER 6 · #354 OVERALLDepth piece — #126 among forwards

Larry Nance Jr. is ranked #126 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 5.6 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 18.2 minutes/game vs 12.9 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile16%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

AVOID AT COST

Larry Nance Jr. 2026-27 fantasy outlook

10.3Proj FPTS/G · ~505 / 49 games

4.2–16.5Typical game · middle 50%

#356Projected rank

139.7ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #264; we rank him #356. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: growing workload (18.2 minutes/gm late vs 12.9 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Larry Nance Jr. consistency and floor

35 GAMES

2.2

Floor (p10)

10.2

Average

17.7

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered54%

Boom rate125%+ of average40%

Bust rateunder half of average29%

10.1

Season avg FPTS

10.5

Last 10 FPTS

15.9

Last 5 FPTS

Nance vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED

Points3.713

Rebounds2.722

Assists1.030

Steals0.641

Blocks0.226

Minutes12.817

Fantasy PPG10.216

Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Nance fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 24.7SEASON LOW -1LAST 5 AVG 15.8

Larry Nance Jr. game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 12	WSH	W 130-117	20	10	6	3	0	1	0	4-6	1-3	24.7
Apr 10	@ATL	L 124-102	16	4	1	0	0	0	3	2-2	0-0	2.2
Apr 7	@MEM	W 142-126	21	10	3	1	1	0	1	5-8	0-2	17.1
Apr 5	IND	W 117-108	22	6	3	1	3	1	2	2-6	1-3	21.1
Apr 1	@LAL	L 127-113	12	2	4	1	2	0	0	1-4	0-2	14.3
Mar 27	MIA	W 149-128	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	1-1	1-1	5.7
Mar 13	@DAL	W 138-105	7	6	4	1	0	0	0	2-2	2-2	12.3
Mar 9	PHI	W 115-101	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	-1
Feb 26	@MIL	L 118-116	8	0	2	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	3.9
Feb 20	BKN	W 112-84	12	0	5	0	0	0	1	0-3	0-2	5
Feb 12	WSH	W 138-113	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	1-2	1-1	6.9
Feb 5	@LAC	W 124-91	8	8	1	1	0	0	0	3-4	2-3	10.7
Feb 2	@POR	W 130-111	9	0	3	0	1	0	1	0-2	0-1	5.6
Jan 31	@PHX	L 126-113	10	9	3	2	2	0	0	3-5	1-1	21.6
Jan 29	LAL	W 129-99	12	0	3	0	1	0	1	0-3	0-2	5.6
Jan 27	ORL	W 114-98	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-1	3.2
Jan 24	SAC	W 123-118	14	2	3	0	1	0	0	1-4	0-3	8.6
Jan 22	@CHA	W 94-87	13	5	2	1	1	0	0	2-3	1-1	11.9
Jan 15	@PHI	W 133-107	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	1-2	4.2
Nov 29	@ATL	L 130-123	10	0	3	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	5.1
Nov 25	@TOR	L 110-99	18	6	1	2	2	0	0	2-4	2-3	16.2
Nov 23	LAC	W 120-105	13	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-3	1-2	4.2
Nov 22	IND	W 120-109	19	4	2	1	1	2	0	2-4	0-1	16.9
Nov 15	MEM	W 108-100	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0-2	-1
Nov 14	TOR	L 126-113	7	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	0-0	-0.5
Nov 13	@MIA	W 130-116	19	3	5	2	2	0	1	1-3	1-2	17
Nov 8	@WSH	W 148-115	14	5	2	1	0	1	0	2-3	1-2	11.9
Nov 6	PHI	W 132-121	15	7	5	1	1	0	1	3-6	1-3	16.5
Nov 2	ATL	W 117-109	25	2	4	4	1	0	1	1-9	0-4	14.8
Oct 31	TOR	L 112-101	20	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-6	0-4	2.4
Oct 29	@BOS	L 125-105	14	0	2	2	0	0	0	0-3	0-3	5.4
Oct 27	@DET	W 116-95	18	3	4	2	0	1	1	1-3	1-2	12.8
Oct 26	MIL	W 118-113	12	5	5	1	1	0	1	2-3	1-1	14.5
Oct 24	@BKN	W 131-124	16	9	3	1	1	0	0	4-8	0-1	17.1
Oct 22	@NY	L 119-111	17	10	6	1	0	0	1	4-7	2-2	17.7

More on Nance and the F board

Forwards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs Larry Nance Jr. a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #354 overall, #126 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Larry Nance Jr. be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.7 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #356, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will Larry Nance Jr. score in 2026-27?

We project 10.3 points per game across an expected 49 games — approximately 505 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 4.2 and 16.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #356 in projected scoring.

QHow does Larry Nance Jr. rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Larry Nance Jr. finished #359 in 9-cat and #360 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #354 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Larry Nance Jr. for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 54% of games, with a floor of 2.2 and a ceiling of 17.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 40% of games and busted (under half his average) in 29%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.