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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

RANK #152025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF72025-26 9-CAT #108-CAT #5F · Houston RocketsAge 386' 11"2026-27 season
24.0
Points / game
5.7
Rebounds
3.7
Assists
37.0
Minutes
56.1%
FG%
36.4
FPTS / game
+22.8
vs F median
TIER 5 · #15 OVERALLDepth piece — #7 among forwards

Kevin Durant is ranked #7 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 2.9 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile79%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Kevin Durant 2026-27 fantasy outlook

42.9Proj FPTS/G · ~3389 / 79 games
34.8–48.6Typical game · middle 50%
#11Projected rank
20.5ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #11 versus an ADP of 20.5 — the market drafts him 12 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (36.4 minutes/gm), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

HOU 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
DAL
Oct 24
@SA
Oct 25
@ATL
Oct 27
ATL
Oct 29
@MIL
Oct 31
@DAL
Nov 1
OKC
Nov 3
BOS
Nov 5
MIN
Nov 8
@PHX
Nov 10
DEN
Nov 12
GS

Kevin Durant consistency and floor

4 GAMES
29.5
Floor (p10)
36.4
Average
54.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered88%
Boom rate125%+ of average14%
Bust rateunder half of average4%

Durant vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED
Points24.097
Rebounds5.780
Assists3.793
Steals0.337
Blocks0.785
Minutes37.099
Fantasy PPG36.491
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Durant fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 36.443.7DAL34.4@SA30.8@ATL48.3ATL
SEASON HIGH 48.3SEASON LOW 30.8LAST 5 AVG 39.3

Kevin Durant game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27ATLW 120-1103022931446-131-448.3
Oct 25@ATLW 121-1143722420128-153-730.8
Oct 24@SAW 114-1103720760035-102-234.4
Oct 22DALW 128-11037306311410-162-443.7

More on Durant and the F board

Forwards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Kevin Durant a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #15 overall, #7 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Kevin Durant be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 20.5 (roughly round 3 in a 10-team league). We rank him #11, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Kevin Durant score in 2026-27?

We project 42.9 points per game across an expected 79 games — approximately 3389 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 34.8 and 48.6 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #11 in projected scoring.

QHow does Kevin Durant rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Kevin Durant finished #10 in 9-cat and #5 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #15 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #5 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Kevin Durant for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 88% of games, with a floor of 29.5 and a ceiling of 54.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 14% of games and busted (under half his average) in 4%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.