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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis

RANK #2872025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG1362025-26 9-CAT #2218-CAT #243G · Brooklyn NetsAge 266' 4"2025-26 season
6.7
Points / game
1.9
Rebounds
1.0
Assists
20.5
Minutes
44.0%
FG%
15.3
FPTS / game
-16.2
vs G median
TIER 6 · #287 OVERALLDepth piece — #136 among guards

Keon Ellis is ranked #136 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 2.4 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 24.6 minutes/game vs 20.5 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile32%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
AVOID AT COST

Keon Ellis 2026-27 fantasy outlook

16.1Proj FPTS/G · ~1208 / 75 games
8.523.4Typical game · middle 50%
#283Projected rank
140ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #169; we rank him #283. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: growing workload (24.6 minutes/gm late vs 20.5 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Keon Ellis consistency and floor

72 GAMES
2
Floor (p10)
15.3
Average
26.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered63%
Boom rate125%+ of average38%
Bust rateunder half of average25%
15.2
Season avg FPTS
17.8
Last 10 FPTS
17.7
Last 5 FPTS

Ellis vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points6.729
Rebounds1.922
Assists1.013
Steals1.282
Blocks0.692
Minutes20.539
Fantasy PPG15.332
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Ellis fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
50250AVG 15.326.1@DAL16.5DAL13.1@MIL22.9@CHI12.9@NO11.6ORL26.9MIA16MIA23.9@UTAH11.4@LAL13.6@GS22IND37.6@MEM10.7ATL4.6@ATL
SEASON HIGH 37.6SEASON LOW -1LAST 5 AVG 17.7

Keon Ellis game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 10@ATLL 124-102192300011-40-24.6
Apr 8ATLW 122-116225110101-41-410.7
Apr 7@MEMW 142-1262719381007-113-537.6
Apr 5INDW 117-1083313501005-93-722
Apr 3@GSW 118-111224321002-70-213.6
Apr 1@LALL 127-113197201012-61-411.4
Mar 31@UTAHW 122-1133213212126-101-323.9
Mar 27MIAW 149-1282510021004-52-316
Mar 25MIAL 120-1033717212005-121-726.9
Mar 25ORLW 136-131202301101-10-011.6
Mar 21@NOW 111-106237211012-60-312.9
Mar 20@CHIW 115-110278233142-60-322.9
Mar 18@MILW 123-116248310003-42-213.1
Mar 15DALL 130-120315530122-71-516.5
Mar 13@DALW 138-1052613311215-93-526.1
Mar 11@ORLL 128-1223120411106-95-832.3
Mar 9PHIW 115-1012619201005-94-724.4
Mar 8BOSL 109-98240301100-10-19.6
Mar 4DETW 113-109277422102-50-323.8
Mar 1@BKNW 106-102314323502-50-134.6
Feb 26@MILL 118-1162914432125-94-830.3
Feb 25NYW 109-94164010102-30-18.5
Feb 22@OKCL 121-113239132014-71-419.7
Feb 21@CHAW 118-113244432112-20-021.3
Feb 20BKNW 112-84207301303-61-422.6
Feb 12WSHW 138-113276431112-41-320.3
Feb 10@DENW 119-117202311121-50-411.1
Feb 8@SACW 132-126176333102-42-426.1
Feb 5@LACW 124-91196302012-52-414.6
Jan 31@BOSL 112-93206221212-42-319.4
Jan 30@PHIL 113-1112010001104-72-516
Jan 28@NYL 103-87223110001-41-45.7
Jan 25@DETL 139-1162114000015-93-613
Jan 15NYW 112-10150000000-10-10
Jan 13LALW 124-112123000001-11-13
Jan 12HOUW 111-9870100000-00-01.2
Jan 10@GSL 137-103255211101-41-314.9
Jan 7DALL 100-98235203102-81-419.4
Jan 5MILL 115-9850200000-10-12.4
Jan 3@PHXL 129-1023514301234-113-623.6
Jan 2BOSL 120-1062716111016-103-620.7
Dec 31@LACL 131-90192220111-50-39.4
Dec 29@LALL 125-101222000101-50-25
Dec 27DALW 113-1073221103218-155-1036.2
Dec 24DETL 136-12740100000-20-11.2
Dec 22HOUW 125-124 OT90200100-30-15.4
Dec 21PORL 98-93100000000-00-00
Dec 19@PORL 134-133 OT3210436033-91-634.3
Dec 12DENL 136-105318244113-91-730.4
Dec 9@INDL 116-105153100001-31-34.2
Dec 7@MIAW 127-11193101101-31-210.2
Dec 4@HOUL 121-95200000000-40-40
Dec 1MEML 115-10760010000-00-01.5
Nov 29@UTAHL 128-11972000000-20-22
Nov 27PHXL 112-100236213312-52-426.9
Nov 25MINW 117-112 OT50000010-00-0-1
Nov 21@MEML 137-96165110102-51-310.7
Nov 20@OKCL 113-99112301011-40-27.6
Nov 16@SAL 123-110152100001-30-23.2
Nov 15@MINL 124-110229104113-83-724.2
Nov 13ATLL 133-1003120012017-146-1126.5
Nov 12DENL 122-108143001201-11-112
Nov 10MINL 144-117125320001-41-211.6
Nov 8OKCL 132-101123100001-51-44.2
Nov 6GSW 121-116170222010-10-010.4
Nov 4@DENL 130-1242515300005-85-818.6
Nov 1@MILW 135-133163112001-21-211.7
Oct 30@CHIL 126-113238111003-61-413.7
Oct 29@OKCL 107-1012712202104-102-523.4
Oct 27LALL 127-120186212012-51-414.9
Oct 25UTAHW 105-104174313021-31-216.1
Oct 23@PHXL 120-116139101004-51-213.2
QIs Keon Ellis a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #287 overall, #136 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Keon Ellis be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #283, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will Keon Ellis score in 2026-27?

We project 16.1 points per game across an expected 75 games — approximately 1208 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 8.5 and 23.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #283 in projected scoring.

QHow does Keon Ellis rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Keon Ellis finished #221 in 9-cat and #243 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #287 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Keon Ellis for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 63% of games, with a floor of 2 and a ceiling of 26.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 38% of games and busted (under half his average) in 25%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.