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Jimmy Butler III

Jimmy Butler III

RANK #452025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF172025-26 9-CAT #218-CAT #27F · Golden State WarriorsAge 366' 6"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
20.0
Points / game
5.6
Rebounds
4.9
Assists
31.1
Minutes
51.9%
FG%
37.3
FPTS / game
+5.4
vs F median
TIER 5 · #45 OVERALLDepth piece — #17 among forwards

Jimmy Butler III is ranked #17 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 1.8 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile89%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Jimmy Butler III 2026-27 fantasy outlook

OUT
37.6Proj FPTS/G · ~1918 / 51 games
30.745Typical game · middle 50%
#42Projected rank
81.3ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #42 versus an ADP of 81.3 — the market drafts him 14 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (27.2 minutes/gm late vs 31.2 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Jimmy Butler III consistency and floor

38 GAMES
26.6
Floor (p10)
37.3
Average
51.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered87%
Boom rate125%+ of average18%
Bust rateunder half of average5%
37.4
Season avg FPTS
38.2
Last 10 FPTS
39.1
Last 5 FPTS

Butler vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points20.087
Rebounds5.677
Assists4.995
Steals1.497
Blocks0.226
Minutes31.187
Fantasy PPG37.389
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Butler fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 37.340.1@PHX31.2PHX32.6ORL37.3DAL30.7@TOR35@BKN35.5@CHA36.1UTAH47.2@LAC32.5MIL29.2SAC51.4ATL30.7POR53.6NY30.6MIA
SEASON HIGH 56.2SEASON LOW 8.8LAST 5 AVG 39.1

Jimmy Butler III game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Jan 20MIAW 135-1122117342026-110-130.6
Jan 16NYW 126-11332328420014-221-353.6
Jan 14PORW 119-972616650005-71-230.7
Jan 12ATLL 124-11134307620210-192-651.4
Jan 10SACW 137-1032315660026-100-129.2
Jan 8MILW 120-1133221531026-151-532.5
Jan 6@LACL 103-1023324624127-161-447.2
Jan 4UTAHW 123-1143415373024-91-236.1
Dec 31@CHAW 132-1253119571034-80-135.5
Dec 30@BKNW 120-1073121541015-90-035
Dec 28@TORL 141-127 OT3819650036-160-430.7
Dec 25DALW 126-1163214991045-101-337.3
Dec 23ORLW 120-973021340117-91-132.6
Dec 21PHXW 119-11635251201110-212-631.2
Dec 19@PHXL 99-9834313310211-171-140.1
Dec 15@PORL 136-1313516743033-110-036.4
Dec 13MINL 127-1203715851016-110-234.1
Dec 8@CHIW 123-912919862025-102-241.6
Dec 3OKCL 124-112156310002-71-211.1
Nov 30NOW 104-9637248100027-150-246.6
Nov 27HOUL 104-1003321552006-112-440.5
Nov 25UTAHW 134-1172918671008-110-038.7
Nov 22PORL 127-1233420852105-150-046.1
Nov 19@ORLL 121-11338337430310-160-153.4
Nov 17@NOW 124-10631183103066-81-139.6
Nov 15@SAW 109-1083521812017-140-137.1
Nov 13@SAW 125-1203428683007-125-756.2
Nov 12@OKCL 126-1022212323012-30-126.6
Nov 10INDW 114-8330219721110-150-050.3
Nov 8@DENL 129-1043116331005-100-327.1
Nov 5PHXW 118-107142420011-50-18.8
Nov 1@INDL 114-1093420673226-140-250.7
Oct 31@MILL 120-11037231031127-181-243.5
Oct 29LACW 98-793221550019-123-433.5
Oct 28MEMW 131-1183120550056-82-228.5
Oct 25@PORL 139-1192714341013-70-225.6
Oct 24DENW 137-131 OT3921563006-162-445
Oct 22@LALW 119-1093531541017-141-245
QIs Jimmy Butler III a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #45 overall, #17 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Jimmy Butler III be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 81.3 (roughly round 9 in a 10-team league). We rank him #42, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Jimmy Butler III score in 2026-27?

We project 37.6 points per game across an expected 51 games — approximately 1918 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 30.7 and 45 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #42 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jimmy Butler III rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jimmy Butler III finished #21 in 9-cat and #27 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #45 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Jimmy Butler III for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 87% of games, with a floor of 26.6 and a ceiling of 51.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 18% of games and busted (under half his average) in 5%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.