NBA / Rankings / Jimmy Butler III

Jimmy Butler III

RANK #12025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF12025-26 9-CAT #1 8-CAT #1F · Golden State WarriorsAge 376' 6"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

20.0

Points / game

5.6

Rebounds

4.9

Assists

31.1

Minutes

51.9%

FG%

37.3

FPTS / game

+23.7

vs F median

TIER 1 · #1 OVERALL2025-26's top overall producer in points leagues

Jimmy Butler III is ranked #1 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. Build around him. He closed the season hot — 1.8 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile99%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27

VALUE PICK

Jimmy Butler III 2026-27 fantasy outlook

OUT

37.6Proj FPTS/G · ~1918 / 51 games

30.7–45Typical game · middle 50%

#1Projected rank

138.2ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #1 versus an ADP of 138.2 — the market drafts him 206 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (27.2 minutes/gm late vs 31.2 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High^?ROLE SECURITY Elite^?How we grade risk

Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

GS 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED

Oct 22

@LAL

Oct 24

MEM

Oct 25

@PHX

Oct 27

@DEN

Oct 29

@MIN

Oct 31

LAL

Nov 2

LAC

Nov 3

PHX

Nov 6

MIA

Nov 8

ORL

Nov 10

Nov 12

@HOU

Jimmy Butler III consistency and floor

38 GAMES

26.6

Floor (p10)

37.3

Average

51.4

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered87%

Boom rate125%+ of average18%

Bust rateunder half of average5%

37.4

Season avg FPTS

38.2

Last 10 FPTS

39.1

Last 5 FPTS

Butler vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED

Points20.089

Rebounds5.678

Assists4.995

Steals1.486

Blocks0.243

Minutes31.185

Fantasy PPG37.392

Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Butler fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 56.2SEASON LOW 8.8LAST 5 AVG 39.1

Jimmy Butler III game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Jan 20	MIA	W 135-112	21	17	3	4	2	0	2	6-11	0-1	30.6
Jan 16	NY	W 126-113	32	32	8	4	2	0	0	14-22	1-3	53.6
Jan 14	POR	W 119-97	26	16	6	5	0	0	0	5-7	1-2	30.7
Jan 12	ATL	L 124-111	34	30	7	6	2	0	2	10-19	2-6	51.4
Jan 10	SAC	W 137-103	23	15	6	6	0	0	2	6-10	0-1	29.2
Jan 8	MIL	W 120-113	32	21	5	3	1	0	2	6-15	1-5	32.5
Jan 6	@LAC	L 103-102	33	24	6	2	4	1	2	7-16	1-4	47.2
Jan 4	UTAH	W 123-114	34	15	3	7	3	0	2	4-9	1-2	36.1
Dec 31	@CHA	W 132-125	31	19	5	7	1	0	3	4-8	0-1	35.5
Dec 30	@BKN	W 120-107	31	21	5	4	1	0	1	5-9	0-0	35
Dec 28	@TOR	L 141-127 OT	38	19	6	5	0	0	3	6-16	0-4	30.7
Dec 25	DAL	W 126-116	32	14	9	9	1	0	4	5-10	1-3	37.3
Dec 23	ORL	W 120-97	30	21	3	4	0	1	1	7-9	1-1	32.6
Dec 21	PHX	W 119-116	35	25	1	2	0	1	1	10-21	2-6	31.2
Dec 19	@PHX	L 99-98	34	31	3	3	1	0	2	11-17	1-1	40.1
Dec 15	@POR	L 136-131	35	16	7	4	3	0	3	3-11	0-0	36.4
Dec 13	MIN	L 127-120	37	15	8	5	1	0	1	6-11	0-2	34.1
Dec 8	@CHI	W 123-91	29	19	8	6	2	0	2	5-10	2-2	41.6
Dec 3	OKC	L 124-112	15	6	3	1	0	0	0	2-7	1-2	11.1
Nov 30	NO	W 104-96	37	24	8	10	0	0	2	7-15	0-2	46.6
Nov 27	HOU	L 104-100	33	21	5	5	2	0	0	6-11	2-4	40.5
Nov 25	UTAH	W 134-117	29	18	6	7	1	0	0	8-11	0-0	38.7
Nov 22	POR	L 127-123	34	20	8	5	2	1	0	5-15	0-0	46.1
Nov 19	@ORL	L 121-113	38	33	7	4	3	0	3	10-16	0-1	53.4
Nov 17	@NO	W 124-106	31	18	3	10	3	0	6	6-8	1-1	39.6
Nov 15	@SA	W 109-108	35	21	8	1	2	0	1	7-14	0-1	37.1
Nov 13	@SA	W 125-120	34	28	6	8	3	0	0	7-12	5-7	56.2
Nov 12	@OKC	L 126-102	22	12	3	2	3	0	1	2-3	0-1	26.6
Nov 10	IND	W 114-83	30	21	9	7	2	1	1	10-15	0-0	50.3
Nov 8	@DEN	L 129-104	31	16	3	3	1	0	0	5-10	0-3	27.1
Nov 5	PHX	W 118-107	14	2	4	2	0	0	1	1-5	0-1	8.8
Nov 1	@IND	L 114-109	34	20	6	7	3	2	2	6-14	0-2	50.7
Oct 31	@MIL	L 120-110	37	23	10	3	1	1	2	7-18	1-2	43.5
Oct 29	LAC	W 98-79	32	21	5	5	0	0	1	9-12	3-4	33.5
Oct 28	MEM	W 131-118	31	20	5	5	0	0	5	6-8	2-2	28.5
Oct 25	@POR	L 139-119	27	14	3	4	1	0	1	3-7	0-2	25.6
Oct 24	DEN	W 137-131 OT	39	21	5	6	3	0	0	6-16	2-4	45
Oct 22	@LAL	W 119-109	35	31	5	4	1	0	1	7-14	1-2	45

More on Butler and the F board

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QIs Jimmy Butler III a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Jimmy Butler III ranks #1 overall and #1 among forwards at 37.3 fantasy points per game. 2025-26's top overall producer in points leagues.

QWhat round should Jimmy Butler III be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 138.2 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #1, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Jimmy Butler III score in 2026-27?

We project 37.6 points per game across an expected 51 games — approximately 1918 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 30.7 and 45 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #1 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jimmy Butler III rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jimmy Butler III finished #1 in 9-cat and #1 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #1 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Jimmy Butler III for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 87% of games, with a floor of 26.6 and a ceiling of 51.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 18% of games and busted (under half his average) in 5%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.