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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

RANK #102025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG52025-26 9-CAT #538-CAT #29G · Philadelphia 76ersAge 306' 6"2026-27 season
20.8
Points / game
5.8
Rebounds
4.8
Assists
36.8
Minutes
42.5%
FG%
37.9
FPTS / game
+21.1
vs G median
TIER 4 · #10 OVERALLDepth piece — #5 among guards

Jaylen Brown is ranked #5 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.

Percentile86%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Jaylen Brown 2026-27 fantasy outlook

45.1Proj FPTS/G · ~3337 / 74 games
38.4–51.8Typical game · middle 50%
#7Projected rank
32.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #7 versus an ADP of 32.8 — the market drafts him 34 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (34.4 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Contested?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

PHI 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 20
@NY
Oct 22
CLE
Oct 24
MIL
Oct 25
DET
Oct 28
@IND
Oct 30
NY
Oct 31
@CHA
Nov 3
CHI
Nov 5
@DET
Nov 7
@CLE
Nov 8
@CHI
Nov 11
BOS

Jaylen Brown consistency and floor

4 GAMES
31.3
Floor (p10)
37.9
Average
58
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered85%
Boom rate125%+ of average13%
Bust rateunder half of average3%

Brown vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points20.892
Rebounds5.894
Assists4.886
Steals1.379
Blocks0.583
Minutes36.899
Fantasy PPG37.993
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Brown fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 37.941.6@NY35.6CLE44.1MIL28.8DET
SEASON HIGH 44.1SEASON LOW 28.8LAST 5 AVG 37.6

Jaylen Brown game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 25DETL 106-934016440115-202-628.8
Oct 24MILW 127-1163527353039-193-644.1
Oct 22CLEW 114-10638218410410-201-335.6
Oct 20@NYW 106-1003519861127-142-441.6
QIs Jaylen Brown a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #10 overall, #5 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Jaylen Brown be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 32.8 (roughly round 4 in a 10-team league). We rank him #7, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Jaylen Brown score in 2026-27?

We project 45.1 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 3337 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 38.4 and 51.8 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #7 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jaylen Brown rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jaylen Brown finished #53 in 9-cat and #29 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #10 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #29 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Jaylen Brown for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 85% of games, with a floor of 31.3 and a ceiling of 58 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 13% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.