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James Harden

James Harden

RANK #192025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG102025-26 9-CAT #238-CAT #12G · Cleveland CavaliersAge 366' 5"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
23.6
Points / game
4.8
Rebounds
8.0
Assists
34.8
Minutes
43.4%
FG%
42.4
FPTS / game
+10.9
vs G median
TIER 4 · #19 OVERALLDepth piece — #10 among guards

James Harden is ranked #10 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 11.1 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 31.6 minutes/game over that stretch vs 34.9 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile95%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
AVOID AT COST

James Harden 2026-27 fantasy outlook

40.8Proj FPTS/G · ~3019 / 74 games
35.148.9Typical game · middle 50%
#25Projected rank
18ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #12; we rank him #25. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (31.6 minutes/gm late vs 34.9 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High?ROLE SECURITY Contested?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

James Harden consistency and floor

70 GAMES
29.5
Floor (p10)
42.4
Average
60
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered81%
Boom rate125%+ of average16%
Bust rateunder half of average3%
42.4
Season avg FPTS
37.9
Last 10 FPTS
31.2
Last 5 FPTS

Harden vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points23.693
Rebounds4.890
Assists8.097
Steals1.176
Blocks0.482
Minutes34.895
Fantasy PPG42.495
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Harden fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 42.444@ORL34.9@DAL26.5DAL46@MIL61.9@CHI46.2@NO44.1ORL37.3MIA49MIA46.2@UTAH18.5@LAL24.9@GS53.3IND37ATL22.5@ATL
SEASON HIGH 80.3SEASON LOW 12.9LAST 5 AVG 31.3

James Harden game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 10@ATLL 124-1022520050056-132-622.5
Apr 8ATLW 122-1163421542026-234-1037
Apr 5INDW 117-1083428473128-175-1153.3
Apr 3@GSW 118-1113719250047-113-624.9
Apr 1@LALL 127-1132817030036-132-518.5
Mar 31@UTAHW 122-11339136141114-91-546.2
Mar 27MIAW 149-12830175142014-112-649
Mar 25MIAL 120-1034318970154-103-937.3
Mar 25ORLW 136-1313726371128-164-644.1
Mar 21@NOW 111-10636206101128-174-946.2
Mar 20@CHIW 115-11037367921510-237-1361.9
Mar 18@MILW 123-1163427562027-102-446
Mar 15DALL 130-1203813571064-121-526.5
Mar 13@DALW 138-1052917771046-113-734.9
Mar 11@ORLL 128-12237305800411-165-944
Mar 9PHIW 115-1012921550126-113-835.5
Mar 8BOSL 109-9838194100006-163-838.8
Mar 4DETW 113-1093518570055-172-929.5
Mar 1@BKNW 106-1023622980055-94-739.8
Feb 25NYW 109-943220240038-184-725.4
Feb 22@OKCL 121-1133420591158-143-740.5
Feb 21@CHAW 118-1133418481026-142-335.8
Feb 20BKNW 112-842816593026-83-542.5
Feb 12WSHW 138-11328134110161-41-431.3
Feb 10@DENW 119-11736221070327-162-751.5
Feb 8@SACW 132-1263223281037-135-837.4
Jan 31@DENL 122-1093425590148-174-1043.5
Jan 28@UTAHW 115-10331163104025-143-844.6
Jan 26BKNW 126-893119681153-83-539.2
Jan 23LALW 112-10438187102076-212-640.4
Jan 21@CHIL 138-1103124560069-253-933
Jan 19@WSHW 110-1063736791139-170-560.9
Jan 17@TORW 121-117 OT423121011410-272-1550.4
Jan 15WSHW 119-1053722580025-172-938
Jan 13CHAW 117-109383241040111-283-1162.8
Jan 11@DETW 98-923719773054-201-741.9
Jan 10@BKNW 121-10535314612610-133-447.8
Jan 8@NYL 123-1113823391036-174-740.1
Jan 4BOSL 146-11534183121027-151-640.6
Jan 2UTAHW 118-1012920370015-141-633.1
Dec 31SACW 131-903021351006-141-635.1
Dec 29DETW 112-994028470037-233-940.3
Dec 27@PORW 119-10339342600310-173-942.4
Dec 24HOUW 128-1083529462047-143-844.8
Dec 21LALW 103-8841214102036-204-1243.8
Dec 16MEML 121-1033113363034-104-631.6
Dec 12@HOUL 115-1134022373047-184-1041.1
Dec 7@MINL 109-10639345641410-181-560
Dec 6@MEML 107-983618270146-133-729.9
Dec 4@ATLW 115-9237274930111-245-1453.3
Dec 2@MIAL 140-1232011230052-61-412.9
Nov 30DALL 114-11037298110175-172-651.1
Nov 29MEML 112-10740237112056-184-1348.9
Nov 26@LALL 135-1183729592059-213-1249.5
Nov 23@CLEL 120-1053219261035-160-830.4
Nov 22@CHAW 131-11635553710217-2610-1670.1
Nov 21@ORLL 129-1013131582058-165-1150
Nov 18@PHIL 110-1083728651247-252-1247.7
Nov 16@BOSL 121-1183837781039-225-1157.4
Nov 15@DALW 133-127 2OT5141141112313-256-1280.3
Nov 13DENL 130-1163023850026-151-638.1
Nov 11ATLL 105-1023935101102612-236-1463.5
Nov 9PHXL 114-10341130130034-152-1029.5
Nov 5OKCL 126-1073025661027-175-942.2
Nov 4MIAL 120-1193929781078-156-1045.4
Nov 1NOW 126-12439245142048-194-1353
Oct 29@GSL 98-793220412036-151-529.3
Oct 27PORW 114-10738206133076-122-748.7
Oct 25PHXW 129-1022830770148-125-747.9
Oct 23@UTAHL 129-10829152110025-122-931.9
QIs James Harden a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #19 overall, #10 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should James Harden be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 18 (roughly round 2 in a 10-team league). We rank him #25, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will James Harden score in 2026-27?

We project 40.8 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 3019 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 35.1 and 48.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #25 in projected scoring.

QHow does James Harden rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, James Harden finished #23 in 9-cat and #12 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #19 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #12 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is James Harden for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 81% of games, with a floor of 29.5 and a ceiling of 60 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.