HOOPSPLIT
NBA / Rankings / Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray

RANK #32025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG22025-26 9-CAT #38-CAT #4G · Denver NuggetsAge 296' 4"2026-27 season
24.0
Points / game
6.5
Rebounds
4.5
Assists
40.0
Minutes
38.9%
FG%
40.1
FPTS / game
+23.3
vs G median
TIER 4 · #3 OVERALLDepth piece — #2 among guards

Jamal Murray is ranked #2 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 1.4 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 38 minutes/game vs 35 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile96%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Jamal Murray 2026-27 fantasy outlook

43.4Proj FPTS/G · ~3385 / 78 games
35.6–51.2Typical game · middle 50%
#2Projected rank
32.4ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #2 versus an ADP of 32.4 — the market drafts him 26 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (38 minutes/gm late vs 35 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

DEN 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 23
@OKC
Oct 25
NO
Oct 27
GS
Oct 29
@NO
Oct 31
@PHX
Nov 3
POR
Nov 5
TOR
Nov 7
@IND
Nov 10
@HOU
Nov 12
@MEM
Nov 15
@NO
Nov 17
PHX

Jamal Murray consistency and floor

3 GAMES
25.2
Floor (p10)
40.1
Average
58.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered86%
Boom rate125%+ of average18%
Bust rateunder half of average4%

Murray vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points24.096
Rebounds6.596
Assists4.584
Steals1.071
Blocks0.583
Minutes40.099
Fantasy PPG40.195
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Murray fantasy points, last 3 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
80400AVG 40.119.5@OKC60.6NO44.2GS
SEASON HIGH 60.6SEASON LOW 19.5LAST 5 AVG 41.5

Jamal Murray game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27GSL 134-1143619683038-133-644.2
Oct 25NOW 141-135 OT43423611012-258-1660.6
Oct 23@OKCL 96-843761031062-110-119.5
QIs Jamal Murray a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #3 overall, #2 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Jamal Murray be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 32.4 (roughly round 4 in a 10-team league). We rank him #2, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Jamal Murray score in 2026-27?

We project 43.4 points per game across an expected 78 games — approximately 3385 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 35.6 and 51.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #2 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jamal Murray rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jamal Murray finished #3 in 9-cat and #4 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #3 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Jamal Murray for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 86% of games, with a floor of 25.2 and a ceiling of 58.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 18% of games and busted (under half his average) in 4%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.