HOOPSPLIT
NBA / Rankings / Jalen Johnson
Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

RANK #42025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF22025-26 9-CAT #188-CAT #11F · Atlanta HawksAge 246' 8"2026-27 season
21.7
Points / game
10.0
Rebounds
10.0
Assists
31.7
Minutes
44.4%
FG%
52.4
FPTS / game
+38.8
vs F median
TIER 3 · #4 OVERALLCore starter — #2 among forwards

Jalen Johnson is ranked #2 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. His final five games came in 1.7 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 32.4 minutes/game over that stretch vs 34.4 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile96%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
SOLID PICK

Jalen Johnson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

44.6Proj FPTS/G · ~3390 / 76 games
39.7–57.1Typical game · middle 50%
#4Projected rank
8.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 8.9) lines up with our rank (#4). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (32.4 minutes/gm late vs 34.4 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

ATL 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
@ORL
Oct 23
@CHA
Oct 25
HOU
Oct 27
@HOU
Oct 28
MIA
Oct 30
CLE
Oct 31
@NO
Nov 3
@IND
Nov 5
@WSH
Nov 7
WSH
Nov 8
BKN
Nov 10
LAL

Jalen Johnson consistency and floor

4 GAMES
28.2
Floor (p10)
52.4
Average
64.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered78%
Boom rate125%+ of average20%
Bust rateunder half of average7%

Johnson vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED
Points21.795
Rebounds10.099
Assists10.099
Steals1.790
Blocks0.362
Minutes31.790
Fantasy PPG52.499
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Johnson fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
80400AVG 52.443.8@ORL48.4@CHA64.8HOU45.8@HOU
SEASON HIGH 64.8SEASON LOW 43.8LAST 5 AVG 50.7

Jalen Johnson game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27@HOUL 120-1103621942245-141-545.8
Oct 25HOUL 121-11438269162028-192-764.8
Oct 23@CHAW 128-812919783139-160-348.4
Oct 21@ORLW 132-12528201460027-190-443.8

More on Johnson and the F board

Forwards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Jalen Johnson a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Jalen Johnson ranks #4 overall and #2 among forwards at 52.4 fantasy points per game. Core starter — #2 among forwards.

QWhat round should Jalen Johnson be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 8.9 (roughly round 1 in a 10-team league). We rank him #4, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Jalen Johnson score in 2026-27?

We project 44.6 points per game across an expected 76 games — approximately 3390 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 39.7 and 57.1 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #4 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jalen Johnson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jalen Johnson finished #18 in 9-cat and #11 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #4 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #11 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Jalen Johnson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 78% of games, with a floor of 28.2 and a ceiling of 64.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 20% of games and busted (under half his average) in 7%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.