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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

RANK #82025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF32025-26 9-CAT #258-CAT #16F · Atlanta HawksAge 246' 8"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
22.5
Points / game
10.3
Rebounds
7.9
Assists
35.2
Minutes
48.9%
FG%
48.1
FPTS / game
+16.2
vs F median
TIER 3 · #8 OVERALLCore starter — #3 among forwards

Jalen Johnson is ranked #3 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. His final five games came in 10.1 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 32.4 minutes/game over that stretch vs 34.4 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile99%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Jalen Johnson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

44.6Proj FPTS/G · ~3390 / 76 games
39.757.1Typical game · middle 50%
#9Projected rank
29.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #9 versus an ADP of 29.9 — the market drafts him 33 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (32.4 minutes/gm late vs 34.4 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Jalen Johnson consistency and floor

74 GAMES
28.2
Floor (p10)
48.1
Average
64.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered78%
Boom rate125%+ of average20%
Bust rateunder half of average7%
47.2
Season avg FPTS
39.7
Last 10 FPTS
38.0
Last 5 FPTS

Johnson vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points22.595
Rebounds10.399
Assists7.999
Steals1.294
Blocks0.456
Minutes35.299
Fantasy PPG48.199
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Johnson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 48.155.4DAL49.3BKN50MIL60.5ORL45.7@DAL23.5@HOU49.6@DET49.2@BOS46SAC38.9BOS49.8@ORL38.7@BKN39.7NY35.2@CLE26.8CLE
SEASON HIGH 88.6SEASON LOW 8.6LAST 5 AVG 38.0

Jalen Johnson game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 10CLEW 124-1022518920056-122-326.8
Apr 8@CLEL 122-11634121161024-160-535.2
Apr 6NYL 108-10541211151058-193-539.7
Apr 3@BKNW 141-10728181151036-121-238.7
Apr 1@ORLW 130-10134181481138-170-449.8
Mar 30BOSW 112-10236201250037-131-238.9
Mar 28SACW 123-113372651010411-214-1146
Mar 27@BOSL 109-1023729661129-215-1149.2
Mar 25@DETW 130-129 OT42278120059-182-649.6
Mar 21@HOUL 117-953214531046-122-623.5
Mar 19@DALW 135-12037171192047-192-745.7
Mar 16ORLW 124-1123724151310410-192-660.5
Mar 14MILW 122-993523101200310-202-550
Mar 12BKNW 108-973621992027-154-749.3
Mar 10DALW 124-11238277812110-182-555.4
Mar 7PHIW 125-116393510720512-192-458.5
Mar 5@MILW 131-1133420592037-171-242.5
Mar 1PORW 135-101308881033-90-229.6
Feb 25WSHW 119-9865302002-40-014.6
Feb 22BKNW 115-104382612401411-220-345.4
Feb 21MIAL 128-97351616110036-222-548.7
Feb 20@PHIW 117-10738321053149-220-559.5
Feb 16@STRIPESW 47-2165300002-41-28.6
Feb 15@STRIPESL 42-4065112022-21-111.7
Feb 12@CHAL 110-10734191394137-151-460.1
Feb 8CHAL 126-11940319830210-182-560.8
Feb 6UTAHW 121-119392216150249-190-565.7
Feb 4@MIAW 127-1153629111100212-203-756.7
Feb 1@INDL 129-1243633111030412-293-666.2
Jan 29@BOSW 117-10633191470036-163-543.3
Jan 26INDW 132-1163515764145-191-743.4
Jan 24PHXW 110-103392318900510-181-353.1
Jan 22@MEMW 124-122393215810410-212-661
Jan 19MILL 112-110402816601211-243-657.2
Jan 18BOSL 132-1063512851044-142-628.1
Jan 16@PORL 117-10138121160064-90-328.2
Jan 14@LALL 141-1163013361005-171-728.6
Jan 12@GSW 124-11133231161209-161-454.2
Jan 10@DENW 110-8735299611212-185-652.8
Jan 8NOW 117-1003619850169-180-533.1
Jan 6@TORL 118-10037131471165-150-440.3
Jan 4@TORL 134-11737307900410-214-947.9
Jan 3@NYW 111-99381810112047-141-348.5
Dec 31MINW 126-102323410621315-223-661
Dec 28NYL 128-12537209120227-161-352.8
Dec 27MIAL 126-111382491010410-171-648.8
Dec 24CHIL 126-123392491012511-231-753.8
Dec 21CHIL 152-150363611900212-202-660.7
Dec 20SAL 126-9831171161076-111-135.2
Dec 19@CHAL 133-126394311911416-274-971.7
Dec 14PHIW 120-117351210121125-170-146
Dec 13@DETL 142-115341911122067-191-650.2
Dec 7@WSHW 131-1163930121220310-182-565.4
Dec 6DENL 134-133382118162039-201-469.6
Dec 2@DETL 99-9838291370049-174-851.1
Nov 30@PHIW 142-134 2OT454114711610-214-868.3
Nov 29CLEW 130-123392912122039-183-764.4
Nov 26@WSHL 132-113307771253-120-429.9
Nov 23CHAW 113-110402881110011-222-457.1
Nov 23@NOW 115-9834181191146-152-446.7
Nov 21@SAL 135-126382612710410-152-349.9
Nov 19DETL 120-1123925893148-183-856.1
Nov 17@PHXW 124-12239251071059-132-345.5
Nov 14@UTAHW 132-1224131181470610-194-588.6
Nov 13@SACW 133-10024241081019-102-350
Nov 11@LACW 105-10235161081117-160-345
Nov 8TORL 109-973321741068-142-532.4
Nov 5ORLW 127-1123317651036-111-231.7
Nov 2@CLEL 117-109352313510410-161-245.1
Oct 31@INDW 128-10833221382119-160-357.6
Oct 29@BKNW 117-11229237510210-161-339.9
Oct 28@CHIL 128-12332256330111-180-344.7
Oct 24@ORLW 111-1072612811035-100-023.1
Oct 22TORL 138-1183522781137-130-245.4
QIs Jalen Johnson a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Jalen Johnson ranks #8 overall and #3 among forwards at 48.1 fantasy points per game. Core starter — #3 among forwards.

QWhat round should Jalen Johnson be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 29.9 (roughly round 3 in a 10-team league). We rank him #9, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Jalen Johnson score in 2026-27?

We project 44.6 points per game across an expected 76 games — approximately 3390 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 39.7 and 57.1 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #9 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jalen Johnson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jalen Johnson finished #25 in 9-cat and #16 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #8 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #16 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Jalen Johnson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 78% of games, with a floor of 28.2 and a ceiling of 64.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 20% of games and busted (under half his average) in 7%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.