NBA / Rankings / Jaden Hardy

Jaden Hardy

RANK #3252025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG1562025-26 9-CAT #362 8-CAT #342G · Los Angeles LakersAge 246' 3"2025-26 season

9.2

Points / game

1.5

Rebounds

1.0

Assists

15.8

Minutes

42.4%

FG%

12.6

FPTS / game

-18.9

vs G median

TIER 6 · #325 OVERALLDepth piece — #156 among guards

Jaden Hardy is ranked #156 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.2 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 20.4 minutes/game vs 15.8 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile22%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Jaden Hardy 2026-27 fantasy outlook

14.2Proj FPTS/G · ~923 / 65 games

5.7–17.4Typical game · middle 50%

#312Projected rank

139.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 139.9) lines up with our rank (#312). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: growing workload (20.4 minutes/gm late vs 15.8 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Jaden Hardy consistency and floor

57 GAMES

1.2

Floor (p10)

12.6

Average

25.3

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered63%

Boom rate125%+ of average42%

Bust rateunder half of average26%

12.6

Season avg FPTS

17.3

Last 10 FPTS

16.8

Last 5 FPTS

Hardy vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points9.247

Rebounds1.511

Assists1.013

Steals0.38

Blocks0.132

Minutes15.819

Fantasy PPG12.622

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Hardy fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 29.1SEASON LOW -2LAST 5 AVG 16.8

Jaden Hardy game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 12	@CLE	L 130-117	16	6	1	3	0	0	0	2-6	2-4	11.7
Apr 5	@BKN	L 121-115	14	8	0	3	0	0	2	2-8	1-4	10.5
Apr 4	@MIA	L 152-136	25	19	2	2	1	1	2	7-15	5-10	28.4
Apr 1	PHI	L 153-131	25	7	0	5	1	0	1	3-12	1-8	16.5
Mar 31	@LAL	L 120-101	22	11	5	0	0	0	0	4-8	2-5	17
Mar 28	@GS	L 131-126	12	14	0	0	0	0	1	4-5	4-5	13
Mar 26	@UTAH	W 133-110	27	21	2	0	0	0	3	8-18	5-13	20.4
Mar 22	@NY	L 145-113	29	25	3	1	0	0	1	9-18	7-13	29.1
Mar 21	OKC	L 132-111	19	10	1	2	0	0	1	4-6	2-2	13.2
Mar 19	DET	L 117-95	25	13	0	2	0	0	3	5-10	3-7	13
Mar 17	DET	L 130-117	32	16	2	2	2	1	2	6-15	4-9	28.4
Mar 16	GS	L 125-117	12	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	0-0	-2
Mar 14	@BOS	L 111-100	15	12	3	1	1	0	1	5-5	2-2	19.1
Mar 10	@MIA	L 150-129	23	17	1	0	0	1	3	5-12	3-8	18.2
Mar 8	@NO	L 138-118	21	10	3	3	0	0	1	4-10	0-4	17.1
Mar 6	UTAH	L 122-112	11	4	1	1	0	0	0	1-7	1-4	6.7
Mar 4	@ORL	L 126-109	22	18	2	1	0	0	3	7-13	1-6	18.9
Mar 3	HOU	L 123-118	18	14	4	1	0	0	2	6-9	1-2	18.3
Mar 1	TOR	L 134-125	20	11	0	0	0	0	2	4-9	2-5	9
Feb 27	@ATL	L 126-96	28	14	2	0	1	0	3	5-19	2-8	16.4
Feb 22	CHA	L 129-112	22	16	4	1	0	1	0	5-10	4-8	25.3
Feb 20	IND	W 112-105	18	13	1	0	1	0	1	5-13	3-6	16.2
Feb 12	@CLE	L 138-113	15	11	2	1	0	0	1	3-7	3-5	13.9
Feb 4	BOS	L 110-100	18	7	2	0	1	0	1	2-4	1-3	11.4
Jan 30	CHA	L 123-121	6	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	2.7
Jan 29	MIN	L 118-105	24	11	2	3	1	0	0	4-8	2-4	20.9
Jan 19	@NY	W 114-97	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	1-1	3
Jan 17	UTAH	W 138-120	17	12	1	3	0	0	3	5-13	2-6	14.7
Jan 16	UTAH	W 144-122	25	19	1	5	0	0	0	5-15	4-13	27.7
Jan 15	DEN	L 118-109	28	8	4	1	1	0	0	3-11	1-6	17.3
Jan 13	BKN	W 113-105	22	14	2	0	0	0	0	5-14	4-10	16.4
Jan 11	@CHI	L 125-107	13	14	1	0	0	0	2	5-8	4-7	13.2
Jan 2	PHI	L 123-108	7	5	1	1	0	0	2	1-4	1-4	5.7
Dec 27	@SAC	L 113-107	7	5	3	2	1	0	1	2-3	1-1	13.6
Dec 24	DEN	W 131-130	28	10	2	2	1	0	1	5-9	0-3	17.4
Dec 23	@NO	L 119-113	11	4	2	1	0	0	0	1-5	0-4	7.9
Dec 16	@UTAH	L 140-133 OT	11	2	2	1	0	0	2	1-3	0-1	3.9
Dec 7	HOU	W 122-109	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	0
Dec 6	@OKC	L 132-111	20	23	2	2	0	0	1	8-13	5-9	27.4
Nov 30	@LAC	W 114-110	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-0	0
Nov 29	@LAL	L 129-119	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Nov 25	@MIA	L 106-102	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	1-3	1-2	6.9
Nov 23	MEM	L 102-96	12	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-5	0-4	1.5
Nov 22	NO	W 118-115	14	11	2	0	0	0	1	4-7	3-5	12.4
Nov 20	NY	L 113-111	16	11	1	1	0	1	0	3-9	1-6	16.7
Nov 18	@MIN	L 120-96	14	17	3	0	0	0	4	4-9	4-5	16.6
Nov 13	PHX	L 123-114	12	8	1	0	0	0	2	3-4	2-3	7.2
Nov 11	MIL	L 116-114	5	2	1	0	0	0	2	1-3	0-2	1.2
Nov 9	@WSH	W 111-105	14	8	1	0	0	0	1	3-5	1-1	8.2
Nov 8	@MEM	L 118-104	17	8	3	2	1	1	2	2-5	2-5	18.6
Nov 6	NO	L 101-99	10	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-4	0-3	1.2
Nov 4	@HOU	L 110-102	8	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-1	0-1	5.7
Oct 30	IND	W 107-105	8	3	1	0	0	0	1	1-3	1-2	3.2
Oct 28	OKC	L 101-94	21	11	1	1	2	0	1	4-9	2-4	18.7
Oct 26	TOR	W 139-129	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	3.2
Oct 25	WSH	L 117-107	11	9	1	0	0	0	0	3-7	2-5	10.2
Oct 23	SA	L 125-92	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-3	1-2	4.2

More on Hardy and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs Jaden Hardy a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #325 overall, #156 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Jaden Hardy be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.9 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #312, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Jaden Hardy score in 2026-27?

We project 14.2 points per game across an expected 65 games — approximately 923 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 5.7 and 17.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #312 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jaden Hardy rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jaden Hardy finished #362 in 9-cat and #342 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #325 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Jaden Hardy for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 63% of games, with a floor of 1.2 and a ceiling of 25.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 42% of games and busted (under half his average) in 26%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.