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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr.

RANK #702025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF262025-26 9-CAT #628-CAT #72F · Houston RocketsAge 236' 11"2026-27 seasonPROP GUIDE →
19.0
Points / game
5.9
Rebounds
2.7
Assists
34.3
Minutes
48.9%
FG%
34.7
FPTS / game
+21.1
vs F median
TIER 6 · #70 OVERALLDepth piece — #26 among forwards

Jabari Smith Jr. is ranked #26 among 20 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.

Percentile-25%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated November 3
VALUE PICK

Jabari Smith Jr. 2026-27 fantasy outlook

30.9Proj FPTS/G · ~2441 / 79 games
25–35Typical game · middle 50%
#61Projected rank
113.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #61 versus an ADP of 113.9 — the market drafts him 41 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.1 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated November 3 · ESPN ADP updated November 3 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

HOU 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
DAL
Oct 24
@SA
Oct 25
@ATL
Oct 27
ATL
Oct 29
@MIL
Oct 31
@DAL
Nov 1
OKC
Nov 3
BOS
Nov 5
MIN
Nov 8
@PHX
Nov 10
DEN
Nov 12
GS

Jabari Smith Jr. consistency and floor

8 GAMES
20.4
Floor (p10)
34.7
Average
40.8
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered83%
Boom rate125%+ of average16%
Bust rateunder half of average1%
33.5
Season avg FPTS
33.5
Last 10 FPTS
34.6
Last 5 FPTS

Smith vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 159 RANKED
Points19.088
Rebounds5.974
Assists2.783
Steals1.078
Blocks0.986
Minutes34.399
Fantasy PPG34.787
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Smith fantasy points, last 8 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 34.742.5DAL24.5@SA27.5@ATL42.9ATL25.4@MIL28.6@DAL50.3OKC26BOS
SEASON HIGH 50.3SEASON LOW 24.5LAST 5 AVG 34.6

Jabari Smith Jr. game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Nov 3BOSW 109-9336141000005-104-526
Nov 1OKCW 119-9833309501110-186-1250.3
Oct 31@DALL 116-1113522321037-153-728.6
Oct 29@MILW 132-1003014221104-123-625.4
Oct 27ATLW 120-11039161251116-132-642.9
Oct 25@ATLW 121-1143314530105-122-627.5
Oct 24@SAW 114-110347512222-51-224.5
Oct 22DALW 128-11036305120111-174-842.5
QIs Jabari Smith Jr. a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #70 overall, #26 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Jabari Smith Jr. be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 113.9 (roughly round 12 in a 10-team league). We rank him #61, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Jabari Smith Jr. score in 2026-27?

We project 30.9 points per game across an expected 79 games — approximately 2441 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 25 and 35 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #61 in projected scoring.

QHow does Jabari Smith Jr. rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Jabari Smith Jr. finished #62 in 9-cat and #72 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #70 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Jabari Smith Jr. for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 83% of games, with a floor of 20.4 and a ceiling of 40.8 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 1%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.