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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

RANK #32025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF12025-26 9-CAT #408-CAT #28F · Miami HeatAge 316' 11"2026-27 season
28.3
Points / game
8.0
Rebounds
3.0
Assists
29.3
Minutes
57.1%
FG%
44.2
FPTS / game
+30.6
vs F median
TIER 3 · #3 OVERALLCore starter — #1 among forwards

Giannis Antetokounmpo is ranked #1 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. He closed the season hot — 4.2 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile99%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
SOLID PICK

Giannis Antetokounmpo 2026-27 fantasy outlook

47.5Proj FPTS/G · ~2375 / 50 games
41.4–59.3Typical game · middle 50%
#3Projected rank
5.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 5.8) lines up with our rank (#3). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (27.4 minutes/gm late vs 28.9 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

MIA 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
MIN
Oct 24
DET
Oct 24
@CHA
Oct 26
DAL
Oct 28
@ATL
Oct 31
IND
Nov 3
@LAL
Nov 5
@LAC
Nov 6
@GS
Nov 9
@SAC
Nov 11
@UTAH
Nov 14
CLE

Giannis Antetokounmpo consistency and floor

4 GAMES
32.7
Floor (p10)
44.2
Average
63.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered86%
Boom rate125%+ of average17%
Bust rateunder half of average3%

Antetokounmpo vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED
Points28.399
Rebounds8.094
Assists3.088
Steals1.385
Blocks0.362
Minutes29.377
Fantasy PPG44.298
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Antetokounmpo fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
80400AVG 44.243.7MIN63.9DET25.7@CHA60.3DAL
SEASON HIGH 63.9SEASON LOW 25.7LAST 5 AVG 48.4

Giannis Antetokounmpo game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 26DALL 113-1093929141101512-232-460.3
Oct 24@CHAL 115-1102514631034-110-125.7
Oct 24DETL 128-111333612521315-261-363.9
Oct 21MINL 131-10630356110313-190-243.7

More on Antetokounmpo and the F board

Forwards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Giannis Antetokounmpo a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks #3 overall and #1 among forwards at 44.2 fantasy points per game. Core starter — #1 among forwards.

QWhat round should Giannis Antetokounmpo be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 5.8 (roughly round 1 in a 10-team league). We rank him #3, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Giannis Antetokounmpo score in 2026-27?

We project 47.5 points per game across an expected 50 games — approximately 2375 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 41.4 and 59.3 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #3 in projected scoring.

QHow does Giannis Antetokounmpo rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Giannis Antetokounmpo finished #40 in 9-cat and #28 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #3 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #28 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Giannis Antetokounmpo for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 86% of games, with a floor of 32.7 and a ceiling of 63.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 17% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.