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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet

RANK #622025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG292025-26 9-CAT #618-CAT #68G · Houston RocketsAge 326' 0"2026-27 season
10.0
Points / game
2.5
Rebounds
8.0
Assists
30.5
Minutes
33.3%
FG%
35.5
FPTS / game
+18.7
vs G median
TIER 6 · #62 OVERALLDepth piece — #29 among guards

Fred VanVleet is ranked #29 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 6.7 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (33.6/game vs 35.2 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile0%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
LATE FLIER

Fred VanVleet 2026-27 fantasy outlook

29.6Proj FPTS/G · ~1983 / 67 games
24.1–38.5Typical game · middle 50%
#72Projected rank
105.2ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 105.2) lines up with our rank (#72). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.2 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

HOU 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
DAL
Oct 24
@SA
Oct 25
@ATL
Oct 27
ATL
Oct 29
@MIL
Oct 31
@DAL
Nov 1
OKC
Nov 3
BOS
Nov 5
MIN
Nov 8
@PHX
Nov 10
DEN
Nov 12
GS

Fred VanVleet consistency and floor

3 GAMES
18.2
Floor (p10)
35.5
Average
46.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered77%
Boom rate125%+ of average22%
Bust rateunder half of average3%

VanVleet vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points10.066
Rebounds2.553
Assists8.097
Steals3.099
Blocks0.583
Minutes30.583
Fantasy PPG35.590
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

VanVleet fantasy points, last 3 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
50250AVG 35.536.9DAL34.1@SA15.3ATL
SEASON HIGH 36.9SEASON LOW 15.3LAST 5 AVG 28.8

Fred VanVleet game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27ATLW 120-110295450022-70-315.3
Oct 24@SAW 114-1103214353004-103-834.1
Oct 22DALW 128-1103062113102-82-636.9

More on VanVleet and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Fred VanVleet a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #62 overall, #29 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Fred VanVleet be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 105.2 (roughly round 11 in a 10-team league). We rank him #72, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Fred VanVleet score in 2026-27?

We project 29.6 points per game across an expected 67 games — approximately 1983 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 24.1 and 38.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #72 in projected scoring.

QHow does Fred VanVleet rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Fred VanVleet finished #61 in 9-cat and #68 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #62 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Fred VanVleet for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 77% of games, with a floor of 18.2 and a ceiling of 46.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 22% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.