NBA / Rankings / Dru Smith

Dru Smith

RANK #2602025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG1232025-26 9-CAT #218 8-CAT #228G · Miami HeatAge 286' 2"2025-26 season

5.6

Points / game

2.5

Rebounds

2.6

Assists

16.3

Minutes

41.5%

FG%

16.8

FPTS / game

-14.7

vs G median

TIER 6 · #260 OVERALLDepth piece — #123 among guards

Dru Smith is ranked #123 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 9.7 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 8.4 minutes/game over that stretch vs 16.4 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile38%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

AVOID AT COST

Dru Smith 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

15.7Proj FPTS/G · ~1162 / 74 games

10.4–22.2Typical game · middle 50%

#288Projected rank

140ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #140; we rank him #288. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (8.4 minutes/gm late vs 16.4 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Dru Smith consistency and floor

70 GAMES

7.3

Floor (p10)

16.8

Average

29.6

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered67%

Boom rate125%+ of average31%

Bust rateunder half of average21%

16.9

Season avg FPTS

13.6

Last 10 FPTS

7.1

Last 5 FPTS

Smith vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points5.622

Rebounds2.542

Assists2.653

Steals1.491

Blocks0.371

Minutes16.321

Fantasy PPG16.839

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Smith fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 43.5SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 7.1

Dru Smith game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 4	WSH	W 152-136	12	6	0	1	2	0	0	2-5	0-3	13.5
Apr 1	BOS	L 147-129	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	2.7
Mar 30	PHI	W 119-109	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	1
Mar 22	@HOU	L 123-122	7	2	0	2	0	1	0	1-2	0-1	8
Mar 20	LAL	L 134-126	16	2	2	4	0	0	0	1-3	0-0	10.4
Mar 17	@CHA	L 136-106	8	4	3	2	0	0	1	2-3	0-1	9.6
Mar 12	MIL	W 112-105	21	9	4	2	0	0	2	4-7	0-1	14.8
Mar 10	WSH	W 150-129	23	5	3	5	4	0	3	2-4	1-2	25.1
Mar 8	DET	W 121-110	22	7	4	4	3	1	1	3-6	0-1	28.8
Mar 7	@CHA	W 128-120	18	4	4	1	4	0	0	1-5	0-1	22.3
Mar 6	BKN	W 126-110	21	9	2	2	1	0	0	4-6	1-1	17.4
Feb 28	HOU	W 115-105	7	4	1	0	1	0	0	1-1	1-1	8.2
Feb 25	@MIL	L 128-117	6	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-2	0-2	12
Feb 22	MEM	W 136-120	22	4	6	2	1	2	1	1-4	0-0	22.2
Feb 21	@ATL	W 128-97	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0
Feb 12	@NO	W 123-111	20	6	3	4	0	0	0	2-4	0-0	15.6
Feb 10	UTAH	L 115-111	17	4	3	3	2	0	1	1-1	0-0	17.1
Feb 8	@WSH	W 132-101	6	0	1	2	1	0	0	0-1	0-1	7.2
Feb 7	@BOS	L 98-96	19	2	4	1	0	0	1	1-4	0-1	7.3
Feb 4	ATL	L 127-115	19	2	1	2	1	0	1	1-5	0-2	8.2
Feb 1	CHI	W 134-91	21	10	4	6	3	0	0	3-7	1-4	32.8
Feb 1	CHI	L 125-118	20	8	3	6	2	1	0	2-4	1-3	29.6
Jan 30	@CHI	W 116-113	23	11	5	5	3	0	1	4-8	2-4	32.5
Jan 29	ORL	L 133-124	22	13	3	7	0	0	1	3-5	1-2	26.1
Jan 26	@PHX	W 111-102	23	11	2	0	1	0	1	5-8	1-3	15.4
Jan 25	@UTAH	W 147-116	26	6	10	5	5	1	0	2-10	0-2	43.5
Jan 23	@POR	L 127-110	20	4	4	2	2	2	2	1-8	0-4	21.8
Jan 20	@GS	L 135-112	8	5	2	1	0	0	0	1-2	1-2	8.9
Jan 18	OKC	W 122-120	21	5	2	2	0	1	0	1-8	0-2	13.4
Jan 16	BOS	L 119-114	12	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-4	0-2	7.7
Jan 14	PHX	W 127-121	9	2	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	0-0	2.2
Jan 12	@OKC	L 124-112	17	6	3	6	1	0	1	2-3	0-0	20.6
Jan 11	@IND	L 123-99	12	8	1	4	0	1	1	2-2	1-1	17.2
Jan 7	@MIN	L 122-94	6	3	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	1-1	3
Jan 4	NO	W 125-106	19	2	4	1	3	0	3	1-1	0-0	14.3
Jan 3	MIN	L 125-115	14	6	0	1	0	0	0	2-6	0-1	7.5
Jan 2	@DET	W 118-112	15	9	0	1	3	1	1	3-4	1-2	21.5
Dec 30	DEN	W 147-123	21	11	4	1	2	0	1	4-6	2-4	22.3
Dec 28	IND	W 142-116	23	5	5	3	1	1	2	2-6	1-2	19.5
Dec 27	@ATL	W 126-111	19	6	3	1	3	0	0	2-8	0-3	20.1
Dec 24	TOR	L 112-91	17	10	2	2	2	0	1	3-4	1-2	20.4
Dec 21	@NY	L 132-125	18	9	0	3	1	0	0	2-4	1-1	16.5
Dec 20	@BOS	L 129-116	21	7	1	4	3	0	3	2-10	0-4	20.2
Dec 19	@BKN	W 106-95	24	3	3	6	2	1	0	1-8	0-6	24.6
Dec 16	TOR	L 106-96	20	11	3	2	2	0	0	4-8	1-2	23.6
Dec 9	@ORL	L 117-108	8	2	2	1	2	1	0	1-1	0-0	14.9
Dec 7	SAC	L 127-111	19	4	1	2	1	1	1	1-6	0-1	13.2
Dec 6	@ORL	L 106-105	17	5	4	2	0	0	1	1-3	0-1	11.8
Dec 4	@DAL	L 118-108	18	8	4	4	1	1	0	2-4	1-2	24.8
Dec 2	LAC	W 140-123	16	7	0	2	1	1	1	3-6	1-4	15
Nov 30	DET	L 138-135	16	9	5	4	1	0	1	3-5	1-2	23
Nov 27	MIL	W 106-103	19	5	3	1	3	1	1	2-6	1-3	21.1
Nov 25	DAL	W 106-102	16	0	3	1	1	0	1	0-6	0-3	7.1
Nov 23	@PHI	W 127-117	17	9	4	1	0	1	2	4-7	1-2	16.3
Nov 22	@CHI	W 143-107	18	12	7	2	3	0	2	4-7	2-2	30.4
Nov 20	GS	W 110-96	24	4	4	4	2	0	2	1-5	0-2	18.8
Nov 18	NY	W 115-113	16	11	3	3	1	0	0	3-5	3-4	22.1
Nov 15	@NY	L 140-132	15	4	2	2	1	0	1	1-1	0-0	11.4
Nov 13	CLE	L 130-116	14	6	6	2	1	0	1	3-8	0-2	18.2
Nov 11	CLE	W 140-138 OT	15	6	0	1	0	0	0	1-4	1-2	7.5
Nov 9	POR	W 136-131	22	13	5	6	4	0	1	4-6	0-2	39
Nov 8	CHA	W 126-108	16	5	0	3	1	0	0	2-5	1-2	12.5
Nov 6	@DEN	L 122-112	17	5	2	2	3	1	0	2-6	1-4	22.4
Nov 4	@LAC	W 120-119	14	2	1	4	0	0	1	1-2	0-0	8.2
Nov 3	@LAL	L 130-120	16	7	1	3	2	0	2	3-5	1-3	16.7
Oct 31	@SA	L 107-101	20	6	2	5	1	0	2	3-4	0-1	16.9
Oct 28	CHA	W 144-117	16	5	0	5	2	0	1	2-3	1-2	17.5
Oct 26	NY	W 115-107	18	6	2	0	1	0	1	2-6	2-5	10.4
Oct 25	@MEM	W 146-114	21	10	3	5	3	1	1	4-8	2-3	32.1
Oct 22	@ORL	L 125-121	13	2	1	5	1	0	1	1-4	0-1	12.7

More on Smith and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs Dru Smith a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #260 overall, #123 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Dru Smith be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #288, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will Dru Smith score in 2026-27?

We project 15.7 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 1162 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 10.4 and 22.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #288 in projected scoring.

QHow does Dru Smith rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Dru Smith finished #218 in 9-cat and #228 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #260 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Dru Smith for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 67% of games, with a floor of 7.3 and a ceiling of 29.6 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 31% of games and busted (under half his average) in 21%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.