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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

RANK #22025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG12025-26 9-CAT #28-CAT #2G · Cleveland CavaliersAge 306' 2"2026-27 season
27.0
Points / game
7.5
Rebounds
3.5
Assists
35.5
Minutes
52.9%
FG%
44.3
FPTS / game
+27.5
vs G median
TIER 4 · #2 OVERALLDepth piece — #1 among guards

Donovan Mitchell is ranked #1 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 1.4 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile99%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Donovan Mitchell 2026-27 fantasy outlook

42.9Proj FPTS/G · ~3175 / 74 games
37.7–52.4Typical game · middle 50%
#3Projected rank
11.5ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #3 versus an ADP of 11.5 — the market drafts him 7 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (33.4 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

CLE 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
@PHI
Oct 24
BKN
Oct 26
MIN
Oct 28
WSH
Oct 30
@ATL
Nov 1
@MIL
Nov 3
OKC
Nov 5
@OKC
Nov 7
PHI
Nov 8
NY
Nov 10
@CHA
Nov 12
@NY

Donovan Mitchell consistency and floor

3 GAMES
30.6
Floor (p10)
44.3
Average
58.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered84%
Boom rate125%+ of average16%
Bust rateunder half of average1%

Mitchell vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points27.097
Rebounds7.598
Assists3.575
Steals1.584
Blocks1.098
Minutes35.597
Fantasy PPG44.398
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Mitchell fantasy points, last 3 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 44.352.5@PHI36BKN48.5MIN
SEASON HIGH 52.5SEASON LOW 36LAST 5 AVG 45.7

Donovan Mitchell game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 26MINW 127-125 OT38265721310-215-948.5
Oct 24BKNW 125-1213522541147-152-636
Oct 22@PHIL 114-106353210321511-192-452.5

More on Mitchell and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Donovan Mitchell a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #2 overall, #1 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Donovan Mitchell be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 11.5 (roughly round 2 in a 10-team league). We rank him #3, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Donovan Mitchell score in 2026-27?

We project 42.9 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 3175 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 37.7 and 52.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #3 in projected scoring.

QHow does Donovan Mitchell rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Donovan Mitchell finished #2 in 9-cat and #2 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #2 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Donovan Mitchell for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 30.6 and a ceiling of 58.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 1%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.