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Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

RANK #1212025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG552025-26 9-CAT #1358-CAT #128G · Miami HeatAge 286' 0"2026-27 seasonPROP GUIDE →
16.0
Points / game
1.4
Rebounds
8.0
Assists
33.4
Minutes
51.8%
FG%
31.9
FPTS / game
+12.9
vs G median
TIER 6 · #121 OVERALLDepth piece — #55 among guards

Davion Mitchell is ranked #55 among 14 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 1.7 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 32 minutes/game vs 28.8 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile-286%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated November 5
LATE FLIER

Davion Mitchell 2026-27 fantasy outlook

25.0Proj FPTS/G · ~1850 / 74 games
18.7–29.7Typical game · middle 50%
#118Projected rank
128ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 128) lines up with our rank (#118). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: growing workload (32 minutes/gm late vs 28.8 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated November 5 · ESPN ADP updated November 5 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

MIA 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
MIN
Oct 24
DET
Oct 24
@CHA
Oct 26
DAL
Oct 28
@ATL
Oct 31
IND
Nov 3
@LAL
Nov 5
@LAC
Nov 6
@GS
Nov 9
@SAC
Nov 11
@UTAH
Nov 14
CLE

Davion Mitchell consistency and floor

8 GAMES
14.1
Floor (p10)
31.9
Average
33.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered76%
Boom rate125%+ of average21%
Bust rateunder half of average8%
33.2
Season avg FPTS
33.2
Last 10 FPTS
33.6
Last 5 FPTS

Mitchell vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 213 RANKED
Points16.085
Rebounds1.423
Assists8.099
Steals1.072
Blocks0.690
Minutes33.494
Fantasy PPG31.987
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Mitchell fantasy points, last 8 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 31.925.5MIN32.9DET39.2@CHA29DAL30.2@ATL38.7IND27.5@LAL42.4@LAC
SEASON HIGH 42.4SEASON LOW 25.5LAST 5 AVG 33.6

Davion Mitchell game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Nov 5@LACW 117-116 OT43112104115-130-542.4
Nov 3@LALL 138-1172915070115-54-427.5
Oct 31INDW 145-12535156111036-163-838.7
Oct 28@ATLW 129-11734101102025-120-330.2
Oct 26DALL 113-1093321023049-152-529
Oct 24@CHAL 115-11037221101028-133-439.2
Oct 24DETL 128-1113318250216-143-932.9
Oct 21MINL 131-10633110110154-81-225.5
QIs Davion Mitchell a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #121 overall, #55 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Davion Mitchell be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 128 (roughly round 13 in a 10-team league). We rank him #118, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Davion Mitchell score in 2026-27?

We project 25 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 1850 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 18.7 and 29.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #118 in projected scoring.

QHow does Davion Mitchell rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Davion Mitchell finished #135 in 9-cat and #128 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #121 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Davion Mitchell for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 76% of games, with a floor of 14.1 and a ceiling of 33.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 21% of games and busted (under half his average) in 8%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.