Damian Lillard
Damian Lillard is ranked #5 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.
Damian Lillard 2026-27 fantasy outlook
We rank him #17 versus an ADP of 69.4 — the market drafts him 44 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.1 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.
POR 2026-27 opening schedule
80 GAMES SCHEDULEDDamian Lillard consistency and floor
2 GAMESLillard vs other guards
PERCENTILE · 214 RANKEDLillard fantasy points, last 2 games
2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUSTDamian Lillard game log — 2026-27
■ BOOM · ■ BUST| DATE | OPP | RESULT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | @SAC | W 128-120 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 32 |
| Oct 22 | PHX | W 124-83 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 39.6 |
More on Lillard and the G board
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #12 overall, #5 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 69.4 (roughly round 7 in a 10-team league). We rank him #17, so he is a value at that price.
We project 40.8 points per game across an expected 67 games — approximately 2734 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 34.5 and 49.3 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #17 in projected scoring.
Based on 2025-26 production, Damian Lillard finished #9 in 9-cat and #7 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #12 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #7 when turnovers are excluded.
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 27.8 and a ceiling of 59.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 5%.
Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.