NBA / Rankings / Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

RANK #182025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG92025-26 9-CAT #12 8-CAT #10G · Portland Trail BlazersAge 366' 2"2024-25 seasonPROP GUIDE →

24.9

Points / game

4.7

Rebounds

7.1

Assists

36.1

Minutes

44.8%

FG%

42.6

FPTS / game

+11.1

vs G median

TIER 4 · #18 OVERALLDepth piece — #9 among guards

Damian Lillard is ranked #9 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 5.8 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (35/game vs 35.1 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile96%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

VALUE PICK

Damian Lillard 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

40.8Proj FPTS/G · ~2734 / 67 games

34.5–49.3Typical game · middle 50%

#24Projected rank

80.1ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #24 versus an ADP of 80.1 — the market drafts him 42 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.1 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High^?ROLE SECURITY Contested^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Damian Lillard consistency and floor

61 GAMES

27.8

Floor (p10)

42.6

Average

59.9

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered84%

Boom rate125%+ of average16%

Bust rateunder half of average5%

41.3

Season avg FPTS

39.8

Last 10 FPTS

36.8

Last 5 FPTS

Lillard vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points24.995

Rebounds4.787

Assists7.195

Steals1.282

Blocks0.254

Minutes36.199

Fantasy PPG42.696

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Lillard fantasy points, last 15 games

2024-25 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 65.4SEASON LOW 1.5LAST 5 AVG 36.8

Damian Lillard game log — 2024-25

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Mar 19	@GS	L 104-93	38	16	3	4	1	1	2	6-18	2-9	29.6
Mar 17	OKC	L 121-105	29	19	1	2	1	0	1	3-9	2-4	25.2
Mar 16	IND	W 126-119	37	25	10	8	0	0	2	7-15	6-12	47
Mar 13	LAL	W 126-106	34	22	6	10	2	0	0	6-14	2-8	50.2
Mar 11	@IND	L 115-114	37	15	3	11	0	0	3	4-14	2-7	32.1
Mar 10	CLE	L 112-100	35	22	5	4	2	0	2	8-19	1-7	38
Mar 9	ORL	L 111-109	36	26	7	4	1	0	4	9-18	4-9	39.4
Mar 6	DAL	W 137-107	27	34	3	5	2	0	2	11-15	5-8	49.1
Mar 5	@ATL	W 127-121	36	23	5	4	2	0	1	9-18	2-10	40
Mar 2	@DAL	W 132-117	36	28	6	6	2	0	3	8-17	4-12	47.2
Feb 28	DEN	W 121-112	35	19	4	4	2	0	4	5-9	3-6	31.8
Feb 26	@HOU	L 100-97	37	22	1	3	1	0	3	7-22	4-11	27.7
Feb 23	MIA	W 120-113	38	28	3	8	0	0	1	9-17	5-12	42.6
Feb 21	LAC	W 116-110	33	15	7	7	2	0	2	2-12	2-8	37.9
Feb 17	@CHK	W 41-25	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	1.5
Feb 17	CAN	W 42-35	9	9	3	2	1	0	1	3-5	3-4	17.6
Feb 11	GS	L 125-111	39	38	5	7	1	0	10	12-20	3-9	47.5
Feb 9	PHI	W 135-127	44	43	7	8	2	0	4	14-27	8-15	65.4
Feb 8	@ATL	L 115-110	35	23	9	10	0	0	3	7-19	4-13	45.8
Feb 6	@CHA	W 112-102	31	29	4	12	2	0	2	9-18	3-9	55.8
Feb 3	MEM	L 132-119	37	15	3	9	0	0	3	4-15	2-8	29.1
Feb 1	@SA	L 144-118	37	22	3	7	0	1	1	6-17	3-7	38.1
Jan 29	@POR	L 125-112	38	20	3	6	1	0	0	7-17	2-6	35.6
Jan 28	@UTAH	W 125-110	41	35	5	8	0	1	6	14-22	4-10	50
Jan 26	@LAC	L 127-117	40	29	10	10	1	1	4	6-16	1-9	58
Jan 24	MIA	W 125-96	36	29	10	11	2	0	1	9-21	5-14	62.5
Jan 20	PHI	W 123-109	40	25	5	4	1	0	4	7-17	4-11	36
Jan 18	TOR	W 130-112	36	26	3	8	2	1	0	6-14	4-7	50.6
Jan 16	ORL	W 122-93	30	30	5	4	4	0	3	13-19	3-3	51
Jan 15	SAC	W 130-115	35	24	5	7	0	1	2	8-15	5-8	41.5
Jan 12	@NY	L 140-106	37	22	3	5	1	0	6	8-17	2-7	30.1
Jan 11	@ORL	W 109-106	40	29	4	7	3	0	4	9-21	3-7	49.3
Jan 9	SA	W 121-105	35	26	5	8	0	0	2	8-13	4-7	42
Jan 7	@TOR	W 128-104	26	25	5	3	0	0	1	7-12	5-8	34.5
Jan 5	POR	L 105-102	37	16	2	6	4	0	3	5-15	2-7	36.4
Jan 3	BKN	L 113-110	40	23	3	7	1	0	3	6-20	4-13	37.1
Dec 31	@IND	W 120-112	36	9	4	5	2	0	4	3-14	3-9	23.3
Dec 29	@CHI	L 116-111	35	29	6	12	2	0	0	8-19	3-9	60.2
Dec 18	OKC	W 97-81	35	23	4	4	1	0	4	6-12	5-10	32.8
Dec 14	ATL	W 110-102	37	25	6	7	3	0	2	8-21	5-14	49.7
Dec 11	ORL	W 114-109	39	28	2	9	1	0	4	8-15	2-5	42.9
Dec 8	@BKN	W 118-113	39	15	6	11	1	0	7	2-7	2-7	34.7
Dec 7	@BOS	L 111-105	40	31	5	4	1	0	1	12-25	4-12	45
Dec 5	ATL	L 119-104	34	25	4	5	1	0	5	8-14	5-9	35.3
Dec 4	@DET	W 128-107	32	27	4	5	0	0	3	9-17	5-11	36.3
Dec 1	WSH	W 124-114	40	25	5	10	3	1	2	8-18	5-9	56
Nov 27	@MIA	W 106-103	38	37	3	12	1	1	4	10-17	8-13	60.6
Nov 24	CHA	W 125-119	35	31	4	4	1	0	1	9-21	3-9	43.8
Nov 23	IND	W 129-117	37	24	5	13	1	0	4	8-19	3-8	48.5
Nov 21	CHI	W 122-106	36	20	5	10	0	0	4	7-17	2-10	37
Nov 19	HOU	W 101-100	36	18	4	10	0	0	2	6-18	0-6	35.8
Nov 10	BOS	L 113-107	36	14	4	6	3	0	3	4-15	1-8	33.8
Nov 9	@NY	L 116-94	34	19	6	6	0	0	1	6-15	0-4	34.2
Nov 8	UTAH	W 123-100	37	34	4	7	4	0	0	12-22	4-11	61.3
Nov 5	@CLE	L 116-114	37	36	2	7	0	0	8	11-22	5-9	40.9
Nov 3	CLE	L 114-113	39	41	4	9	0	1	1	13-24	10-15	61.3
Nov 1	@MEM	L 122-99	33	4	2	6	1	0	1	1-12	0-6	17.4
Oct 28	@BOS	L 119-108	36	33	7	7	2	1	1	7-15	2-8	59.9
Oct 27	@BKN	L 115-102	32	21	4	4	0	0	4	5-13	1-7	27.8
Oct 26	CHI	L 133-122	36	28	4	8	0	0	5	11-21	3-12	39.8
Oct 23	@PHI	W 124-109	38	30	9	6	0	0	3	9-19	6-12	46.8

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QIs Damian Lillard a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #18 overall, #9 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Damian Lillard be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 80.1 (roughly round 9 in a 10-team league). We rank him #24, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Damian Lillard score in 2026-27?

We project 40.8 points per game across an expected 67 games — approximately 2734 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 34.5 and 49.3 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #24 in projected scoring.

QHow does Damian Lillard rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Damian Lillard finished #12 in 9-cat and #10 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #18 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #10 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Damian Lillard for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 27.8 and a ceiling of 59.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 5%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.