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Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

RANK #3002025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG1402025-26 9-CAT #2858-CAT #281G · Atlanta HawksAge 336' 4"2025-26 season
7.6
Points / game
2.3
Rebounds
1.4
Assists
16.1
Minutes
43.7%
FG%
14.6
FPTS / game
-16.9
vs G median
TIER 6 · #300 OVERALLDepth piece — #140 among guards

Buddy Hield is ranked #140 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 3.7 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 8.8 minutes/game over that stretch vs 16.1 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile30%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
AVOID AT COST

Buddy Hield 2026-27 fantasy outlook

13.4Proj FPTS/G · ~804 / 60 games
5.620.9Typical game · middle 50%
#324Projected rank
139.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #148; we rank him #324. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (8.8 minutes/gm late vs 16.1 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK High?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Buddy Hield consistency and floor

51 GAMES
1.6
Floor (p10)
14.6
Average
31.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered57%
Boom rate125%+ of average37%
Bust rateunder half of average35%
14.3
Season avg FPTS
11.6
Last 10 FPTS
10.8
Last 5 FPTS

Hield vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points7.637
Rebounds2.335
Assists1.425
Steals0.854
Blocks0.254
Minutes16.121
Fantasy PPG14.630
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Hield fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
60300AVG 14.626.8MIA32.2TOR14.7@DAL8.4@MIN16.9@MIN21.6@UTAH16.8DET24.1PHI-1@MIN0@DAL4.5@HOU1.6GS6.9MEM0@BKN41.1@MIA
SEASON HIGH 41.1SEASON LOW -1LAST 5 AVG 10.9

Buddy Hield game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 12@MIAL 143-11721313310112-187-1141.1
Apr 3@BKNW 141-10740000000-20-00
Mar 23MEMW 146-10773210000-10-16.9
Mar 22GSW 126-11040300020-30-31.6
Mar 21@HOUL 117-9582011021-20-14.5
Mar 19@DALW 135-12020000000-00-00
Feb 10@MINL 138-11650000010-10-1-1
Feb 4PHIL 113-94289333024-110-424.1
Jan 31DETL 131-1241710420014-102-716.8
Jan 29@UTAHW 140-1241713340015-83-621.6
Jan 27@MINL 108-83295231112-101-416.9
Jan 25@MINW 111-85174200112-50-38.4
Jan 23@DALL 123-115156111102-71-514.7
Jan 21TORL 145-1271925121007-86-632.2
Jan 20MIAW 135-1122316421006-94-726.8
Jan 18CHAW 136-1161814312305-82-534.1
Jan 14PORW 119-9763101011-40-16.2
Jan 12ATLL 124-11170110000-10-12.7
Jan 10SACW 137-10346310002-42-411.1
Jan 3OKCL 131-942411212024-113-918.9
Dec 30@BKNW 120-107116302103-50-218.6
Dec 28@TORL 141-127 OT143310011-21-27.1
Dec 23ORLW 120-9733300011-11-15.6
Dec 19@PHXL 99-98103000021-21-11
Dec 15@PORL 136-1311610110014-72-511.7
Dec 13MINL 127-120196220022-42-49.4
Dec 8@CHIW 123-91229711014-101-520.9
Dec 7@CLEW 99-942613730114-93-627.9
Dec 5@PHIL 99-982614822106-122-735.6
Dec 3OKCL 124-1122813142004-152-926.2
Nov 30NOW 104-96178401013-92-714.8
Nov 27HOUL 104-100150300000-40-33.6
Nov 25UTAHW 134-1172320541028-134-833
Nov 22PORL 127-123160101010-10-13.2
Nov 20@MIAL 110-963118632047-204-1531.7
Nov 19@ORLL 121-113152000011-30-11
Nov 17@NOW 124-1062011223014-83-624.4
Nov 15@SAW 109-108140410010-10-05.3
Nov 13@SAW 125-120164101011-40-27.2
Nov 12@OKCL 126-102124042021-30-214
Nov 10INDW 114-83208421003-70-318.8
Nov 8@DENL 129-104208000023-72-36
Nov 6@SACL 121-116149121013-51-315.2
Nov 5PHXW 118-1072012221014-73-519.4
Nov 1@INDL 114-109153140021-41-48.2
Oct 31@MILL 120-110178101003-62-412.2
Oct 29LACW 98-79102300001-20-15.6
Oct 28MEMW 131-118185221002-70-513.4
Oct 25@PORL 139-119122030010-20-15.5
Oct 24DENW 137-131 OT2311221015-131-718.4
Oct 22@LALW 119-1092217101026-115-1019.2
QIs Buddy Hield a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #300 overall, #140 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Buddy Hield be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.8 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #324, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will Buddy Hield score in 2026-27?

We project 13.4 points per game across an expected 60 games — approximately 804 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 5.6 and 20.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #324 in projected scoring.

QHow does Buddy Hield rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Buddy Hield finished #285 in 9-cat and #281 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #300 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Buddy Hield for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 57% of games, with a floor of 1.6 and a ceiling of 31.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 37% of games and busted (under half his average) in 35%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.