NBA / Rankings / Branden Carlson

Branden Carlson

RANK #412025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEC92025-26 9-CAT #35 8-CAT #40C · Portland Trail BlazersAge 277' 0"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

5.8

Points / game

3.0

Rebounds

0.7

Assists

11.6

Minutes

52.7%

FG%

12.4

FPTS / game

-9.8

vs C median

TIER 6 · #41 OVERALLDepth piece — #9 among centers

Branden Carlson is ranked #9 among 12 eligible NBA centers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 17.6 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 21.2 minutes/game vs 11.7 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile33%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27

LATE FLIER

Branden Carlson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

14.5Proj FPTS/G · ~783 / 54 games

3–16.5Typical game · middle 50%

#37Projected rank

—ADP (ESPN drafts)

No live market price for him yet — we rank him #37. Projection drivers: growing workload (21.2 minutes/gm late vs 11.7 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

POR 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED

Oct 22

PHX

Oct 24

@SAC

Oct 28

@LAL

Oct 30

MEM

Oct 31

@UTAH

Nov 3

@DEN

Nov 5

@PHX

Nov 7

@LAL

Nov 8

Nov 11

OKC

Nov 12

OKC

Nov 14

@SAC

Branden Carlson consistency and floor

42 GAMES

1.2

Floor (p10)

12.4

Average

22.2

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered57%

Boom rate125%+ of average33%

Bust rateunder half of average38%

12.5

Season avg FPTS

18.3

Last 10 FPTS

30.0

Last 5 FPTS

Carlson vs other centers

PERCENTILE · 64 RANKED

Points5.841

Rebounds3.031

Assists0.738

Steals0.238

Blocks0.634

Minutes11.620

Fantasy PPG12.433

Percentile among all ranked NBA centers · 99 = best

Carlson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 59.5SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 30.0

Branden Carlson game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 13	PHX	L 135-103	42	26	10	1	2	5	1	10-20	5-10	59.5
Apr 11	@DEN	L 127-107	37	23	12	5	0	1	0	8-18	3-10	47.9
Apr 8	@LAL	W 123-87	7	8	2	1	0	0	0	3-4	1-2	11.9
Apr 5	UTAH	W 146-111	8	11	2	0	0	1	0	5-6	1-2	16.4
Apr 3	LAL	W 139-96	12	4	4	1	0	2	2	2-3	0-0	14.3
Mar 28	CHI	W 131-113	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	1.2
Mar 23	@PHI	W 123-103	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	1.2
Feb 26	@DET	L 124-116	4	4	4	2	0	0	1	2-4	0-2	10.8
Feb 5	@SA	L 116-106	16	3	7	0	0	2	0	1-2	1-1	17.4
Jan 28	NO	W 104-95	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-1	2
Jan 24	IND	L 117-114	7	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-3	0-0	1
Jan 22	@MIL	W 122-102	16	9	6	1	0	1	0	4-8	1-3	20.7
Jan 12	MIA	W 124-112	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0
Jan 10	@MEM	W 117-116	16	5	1	0	1	1	0	2-5	1-3	12.2
Jan 8	UTAH	W 129-125 OT	11	3	5	1	0	2	1	1-4	0-1	15.5
Jan 6	CHA	L 124-97	18	3	4	0	0	0	0	1-5	0-2	7.8
Jan 5	@PHX	L 108-105	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	1.2
Jan 3	@GS	W 131-94	22	15	11	2	2	0	1	6-9	1-2	36.2
Jan 1	POR	W 124-95	20	12	7	1	0	1	2	5-9	2-6	22.9
Dec 30	ATL	W 140-129	11	6	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	0-1	6
Dec 28	PHI	W 129-104	6	4	2	0	1	0	0	2-3	0-0	9.4
Dec 25	SA	L 117-102	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-1	2
Dec 24	@SA	L 130-110	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	1.5
Dec 23	MEM	W 119-103	25	11	3	2	0	0	2	4-7	3-6	15.6
Dec 19	LAC	W 122-101	16	4	4	0	0	1	1	2-3	0-0	10.8
Dec 11	PHX	W 138-89	12	11	2	0	0	1	0	5-5	1-1	16.4
Dec 8	@UTAH	W 131-101	24	13	6	0	0	1	1	5-9	3-6	22.2
Dec 6	DAL	W 132-111	22	9	6	3	0	0	0	4-6	1-2	20.7
Dec 3	@GS	W 124-112	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	1-1	3
Nov 24	POR	W 122-95	9	8	1	2	0	1	0	3-4	2-3	15.2
Nov 22	@UTAH	W 144-112	9	7	0	1	0	1	0	3-4	0-1	11.5
Nov 20	SAC	W 113-99	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-3	0-1	3.2
Nov 18	@NO	W 126-109	11	7	4	2	0	2	0	2-5	1-3	20.8
Nov 16	@CHA	W 109-96	17	7	2	0	0	2	1	3-5	1-3	14.4
Nov 13	LAL	W 121-92	17	0	5	1	2	1	0	0-4	0-2	16.5
Nov 6	@POR	L 121-119	8	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-4	0-1	4.2
Nov 5	@LAC	W 126-107	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-1	3.2
Nov 2	NO	W 137-106	20	11	5	1	0	0	2	5-8	1-4	16.5
Oct 31	WSH	W 127-108	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	1-1	1-1	6.9
Oct 29	SAC	W 107-101	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	3.2
Oct 25	@ATL	W 117-100	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Oct 23	@IND	W 141-135 2OT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0

More on Carlson and the C board

Bryant vs Carlson Carlson vs Niederhauser Centers rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Carlson player props

QIs Branden Carlson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #41 overall, #9 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Branden Carlson be drafted in?

Middle rounds: his #41 finish makes him a solid value pick once the elite tiers are gone.

QHow many fantasy points will Branden Carlson score in 2026-27?

We project 14.5 points per game across an expected 54 games — approximately 783 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 3 and 16.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #37 in projected scoring.

QHow does Branden Carlson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Branden Carlson finished #35 in 9-cat and #40 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #41 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Branden Carlson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 57% of games, with a floor of 1.2 and a ceiling of 22.2 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 33% of games and busted (under half his average) in 38%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.