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Ajay Mitchell

Ajay Mitchell

RANK #1332025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG652025-26 9-CAT #988-CAT #110G · Oklahoma City ThunderAge 246' 4"2026-27 season
11.3
Points / game
3.7
Rebounds
3.3
Assists
24.7
Minutes
45.5%
FG%
27.7
FPTS / game
+10.9
vs G median
TIER 6 · #133 OVERALLDepth piece — #65 among guards

Ajay Mitchell is ranked #65 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 3.6 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile-129%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Ajay Mitchell 2026-27 fantasy outlook

24.5Proj FPTS/G · ~1593 / 65 games
20.9–30.2Typical game · middle 50%
#150Projected rank
139.4ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #150 versus an ADP of 139.4 — the market drafts him 76 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (23.2 minutes/gm late vs 25.8 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

OKC 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 21
@SA
Oct 23
DEN
Oct 25
LAC
Oct 27
PHX
Oct 29
@DAL
Nov 1
@HOU
Nov 3
@CLE
Nov 5
CLE
Nov 7
@MEM
Nov 8
WSH
Nov 11
@POR
Nov 12
@POR

Ajay Mitchell consistency and floor

4 GAMES
16.6
Floor (p10)
27.7
Average
36.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered86%
Boom rate125%+ of average14%
Bust rateunder half of average4%

Mitchell vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points11.371
Rebounds3.775
Assists3.374
Steals2.798
Blocks0.375
Minutes24.766
Fantasy PPG27.779
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Mitchell fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 27.718@SA27DEN38.2LAC41.9PHX
SEASON HIGH 41.9SEASON LOW 18LAST 5 AVG 31.3

Ajay Mitchell game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27PHXW 125-11425302501110-161-341.9
Oct 25LACW 108-1012818643028-141-238.2
Oct 23DENW 96-842312005135-110-427
Oct 21@SAW 116-104234560012-80-118

More on Mitchell and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Ajay Mitchell a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #133 overall, #65 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Ajay Mitchell be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.4 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #150, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Ajay Mitchell score in 2026-27?

We project 24.5 points per game across an expected 65 games — approximately 1593 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 20.9 and 30.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #150 in projected scoring.

QHow does Ajay Mitchell rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Ajay Mitchell finished #98 in 9-cat and #110 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #133 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Ajay Mitchell for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 86% of games, with a floor of 16.6 and a ceiling of 36.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 14% of games and busted (under half his average) in 4%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.