NBA / Rankings / A.J. Lawson

A.J. Lawson

RANK #3772025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG1842025-26 9-CAT #346 8-CAT #361G · Toronto RaptorsAge 266' 6"2025-26 season

4.2

Points / game

1.8

Rebounds

0.3

Assists

9.4

Minutes

43.6%

FG%

8.6

FPTS / game

-22.9

vs G median

TIER 6 · #377 OVERALLDepth piece — #184 among guards

A.J. Lawson is ranked #184 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.9 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 9 minutes/game over that stretch vs 9.8 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile8%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

AVOID AT COST

A.J. Lawson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

9.5Proj FPTS/G · ~390 / 41 games

2.4–16Typical game · middle 50%

#366Projected rank

140.1ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #140; we rank him #366. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (9 minutes/gm late vs 9.8 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

A.J. Lawson consistency and floor

23 GAMES

1.2

Floor (p10)

8.6

Average

18.6

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered52%

Boom rate125%+ of average30%

Bust rateunder half of average35%

8.9

Season avg FPTS

10.7

Last 10 FPTS

6.7

Last 5 FPTS

Lawson vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points4.29

Rebounds1.820

Assists0.31

Steals0.522

Blocks0.254

Minutes9.46

Fantasy PPG8.68

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Lawson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 28.4SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 6.7

A.J. Lawson game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 12	BKN	W 136-101	11	10	0	0	0	0	0	4-6	2-4	10
Apr 10	@NY	L 112-95	22	5	6	1	1	0	0	1-5	1-4	16.7
Apr 9	MIA	W 128-114	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	1.2
Apr 7	MIA	W 121-95	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-2	0-0	4.2
Apr 5	@BOS	L 115-101	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	1.2
Apr 4	@MEM	W 128-96	13	8	3	0	2	1	1	3-6	1-2	19.6
Apr 2	SAC	L 123-115	16	2	1	1	0	0	0	1-3	0-2	4.7
Apr 1	@DET	L 127-116	19	13	3	0	1	0	1	4-5	3-3	18.6
Mar 29	ORL	W 139-87	19	14	2	2	3	0	0	5-7	4-6	28.4
Mar 28	NO	W 119-106	5	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	2.4
Mar 4	NY	L 111-95	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Feb 8	IND	W 122-104	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	1.2
Jan 22	@SAC	W 122-109	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	0.2
Jan 21	@GS	W 145-127	11	6	1	0	0	0	0	2-3	0-1	7.2
Jan 19	@LAL	L 110-93	6	5	1	0	0	0	0	1-3	1-2	6.2
Jan 17	LAC	L 121-117 OT	13	0	3	2	1	0	2	0-2	0-1	7.6
Jan 15	@IND	W 115-101	17	5	6	0	0	1	0	2-5	1-3	15.2
Jan 13	PHI	L 115-102	17	14	1	1	0	0	0	5-9	3-6	16.7
Jan 11	PHI	W 116-115 OT	10	2	2	0	2	0	1	1-4	0-2	9.4
Jan 10	@BOS	L 125-117	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-4	1-3	4.2
Dec 27	@WSH	L 138-117	7	2	1	0	1	0	0	0-1	0-0	6.2
Dec 10	NY	L 117-101	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	0-2	0-1	8
Dec 7	BOS	L 121-113	13	10	5	0	0	0	0	4-8	2-3	16

More on Lawson and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs A.J. Lawson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #377 overall, #184 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should A.J. Lawson be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140.1 (roughly round 15 in a 10-team league). We rank him #366, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will A.J. Lawson score in 2026-27?

We project 9.5 points per game across an expected 41 games — approximately 390 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 2.4 and 16 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #366 in projected scoring.

QHow does A.J. Lawson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, A.J. Lawson finished #346 in 9-cat and #361 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #377 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is A.J. Lawson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 52% of games, with a floor of 1.2 and a ceiling of 18.6 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 30% of games and busted (under half his average) in 35%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.