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AJ Johnson

AJ Johnson

RANK #612025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG262025-26 9-CAT #678-CAT #64G · New Orleans PelicansAge 216' 5"2025-26 season
3.3
Points / game
1.1
Rebounds
1.0
Assists
9.4
Minutes
32.4%
FG%
6.4
FPTS / game
-10.4
vs G median
TIER 6 · #61 OVERALLDepth piece — #26 among guards

AJ Johnson is ranked #26 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.8 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 13.8 minutes/game vs 9.7 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile11%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
LATE FLIER

AJ Johnson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

7.8Proj FPTS/G · ~452 / 58 games
0–12.7Typical game · middle 50%
#59Projected rank
—ADP (ESPN drafts)

No live market price for him yet — we rank him #59. Projection drivers: growing workload (13.8 minutes/gm late vs 9.7 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

NO 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
IND
Oct 24
@UTAH
Oct 25
@DEN
Oct 29
DEN
Oct 30
SAC
Oct 31
ATL
Nov 3
@MEM
Nov 5
UTAH
Nov 7
MIN
Nov 9
@LAC
Nov 10
@GS
Nov 12
BKN

AJ Johnson consistency and floor

47 GAMES
0
Floor (p10)
6.4
Average
18.8
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered38%
Boom rate125%+ of average34%
Bust rateunder half of average53%
6.6
Season avg FPTS
10.0
Last 10 FPTS
11.2
Last 5 FPTS

Johnson vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points3.322
Rebounds1.115
Assists1.028
Steals0.217
Blocks0.150
Minutes9.417
Fantasy PPG6.414
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Johnson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
30150AVG 6.43.4@CHA0@BOS0@TOR0@MEM4.7CLE9.9@NO12ATL1.5@POR2.7MIN17.9@MIL3.2ORL3.4@LAC12.7@PHX19.2@SA17.7CHI
SEASON HIGH 27.8SEASON LOW -1LAST 5 AVG 11.2

AJ Johnson game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 13CHIW 149-1282520110056-120-317.7
Apr 11@SAL 139-1202013120114-91-219.2
Apr 9@PHXL 112-107174131001-110-312.7
Apr 8@LACL 116-10351200000-20-13.4
Apr 4ORLL 138-12722100001-10-03.2
Apr 1@MILL 123-99168231003-82-317.9
Mar 31MINL 124-9450110000-20-12.7
Mar 28@PORW 100-93100010000-20-01.5
Mar 19ATLL 135-120103021101-30-112
Mar 17@NOL 129-111124210112-50-19.9
Mar 13CLEL 138-10562110001-10-04.7
Mar 13@MEMW 120-11220000000-00-00
Mar 8@TORL 122-9250000000-30-10
Mar 7@BOSL 120-10040000000-00-00
Mar 4@CHAL 117-90132200010-10-13.4
Mar 2OKCL 100-87226441013-90-418.8
Feb 28MEML 124-1053412340023-131-819.6
Feb 27SACL 130-1211511210004-41-114.9
Feb 25@BKNW 123-11410000000-00-00
Feb 21@MINL 122-11152000011-20-01
Feb 13@LALL 124-10430100000-10-01.2
Feb 7@SAL 138-12570010000-40-21.5
Feb 4NYL 132-1012414441004-81-127.8
Feb 1SACW 116-1122717141077-132-520.2
Jan 17@SACL 128-115114301012-60-29.6
Jan 15@LACL 119-10530000000-20-20
Jan 12@PHXL 112-93100300020-60-11.6
Jan 10NOL 128-107166611013-60-116.7
Jan 8@PHIL 131-110206420013-90-212.8
Jan 7ORLW 120-11260100000-10-01.2
Jan 4MINL 141-115135231012-51-213.9
Jan 3BKNW 119-99143011001-61-37.5
Jan 1@MILW 114-113168021023-52-312
Dec 30PHXL 115-10110000000-00-00
Dec 27TORW 138-11730000010-00-0-1
Dec 24@CHAL 126-10920000000-10-00
Dec 19@SAL 119-9440110000-20-02.7
Dec 7ATLL 131-11620000000-10-00
Nov 29@INDL 119-8660100010-10-10.2
Nov 16BKNL 129-10630100000-10-01.2
Nov 8CLEL 148-11594020011-40-26
Nov 6@BOSL 136-10761210000-00-04.9
Nov 4@NYL 119-10240000000-10-00
Nov 1ORLL 125-9462100001-30-03.2
Oct 31@OKCL 127-10840000000-10-00
Oct 26CHAL 139-11340000000-10-00
Oct 23@MILL 133-12020110000-00-02.7
QIs AJ Johnson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #61 overall, #26 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should AJ Johnson be drafted in?

Middle rounds: his #61 finish makes him a solid value pick once the elite tiers are gone.

QHow many fantasy points will AJ Johnson score in 2026-27?

We project 7.8 points per game across an expected 58 games — approximately 452 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 0 and 12.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #59 in projected scoring.

QHow does AJ Johnson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, AJ Johnson finished #67 in 9-cat and #64 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #61 in points formats.

QHow consistent is AJ Johnson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 38% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 18.8 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 34% of games and busted (under half his average) in 53%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.