NBA / Rankings / AJ Johnson

AJ Johnson

RANK #3872025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG1902025-26 9-CAT #404 8-CAT #400G · Memphis GrizzliesAge 216' 5"2025-26 season

3.3

Points / game

1.1

Rebounds

1.0

Assists

9.4

Minutes

32.4%

FG%

6.4

FPTS / game

-25.1

vs G median

TIER 6 · #387 OVERALLDepth piece — #190 among guards

AJ Johnson is ranked #190 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.8 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 13.8 minutes/game vs 9.7 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile5%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

AVOID AT COST

AJ Johnson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

7.8Proj FPTS/G · ~452 / 58 games

0–12.7Typical game · middle 50%

#382Projected rank

140ADP (ESPN drafts)

The market drafts him around #140; we rank him #382. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: growing workload (13.8 minutes/gm late vs 9.7 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

AJ Johnson consistency and floor

47 GAMES

Floor (p10)

6.4

Average

18.8

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered38%

Boom rate125%+ of average34%

Bust rateunder half of average53%

6.6

Season avg FPTS

10.0

Last 10 FPTS

11.2

Last 5 FPTS

Johnson vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points3.37

Rebounds1.17

Assists1.013

Steals0.24

Blocks0.132

Minutes9.46

Fantasy PPG6.45

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Johnson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 27.8SEASON LOW -1LAST 5 AVG 11.2

AJ Johnson game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 13	CHI	W 149-128	25	20	1	1	0	0	5	6-12	0-3	17.7
Apr 11	@SA	L 139-120	20	13	1	2	0	1	1	4-9	1-2	19.2
Apr 9	@PHX	L 112-107	17	4	1	3	1	0	0	1-11	0-3	12.7
Apr 8	@LAC	L 116-103	5	1	2	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	3.4
Apr 4	ORL	L 138-127	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	3.2
Apr 1	@MIL	L 123-99	16	8	2	3	1	0	0	3-8	2-3	17.9
Mar 31	MIN	L 124-94	5	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	2.7
Mar 28	@POR	W 100-93	10	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-2	0-0	1.5
Mar 19	ATL	L 135-120	10	3	0	2	1	1	0	1-3	0-1	12
Mar 17	@NO	L 129-111	12	4	2	1	0	1	1	2-5	0-1	9.9
Mar 13	CLE	L 138-105	6	2	1	1	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	4.7
Mar 13	@MEM	W 120-112	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Mar 8	@TOR	L 122-92	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-3	0-1	0
Mar 7	@BOS	L 120-100	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Mar 4	@CHA	L 117-90	13	2	2	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-1	3.4
Mar 2	OKC	L 100-87	22	6	4	4	1	0	1	3-9	0-4	18.8
Feb 28	MEM	L 124-105	34	12	3	4	0	0	2	3-13	1-8	19.6
Feb 27	SAC	L 130-121	15	11	2	1	0	0	0	4-4	1-1	14.9
Feb 25	@BKN	W 123-114	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Feb 21	@MIN	L 122-111	5	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	0-0	1
Feb 13	@LAL	L 124-104	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	1.2
Feb 7	@SA	L 138-125	7	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-4	0-2	1.5
Feb 4	NY	L 132-101	24	14	4	4	1	0	0	4-8	1-1	27.8
Feb 1	SAC	W 116-112	27	17	1	4	1	0	7	7-13	2-5	20.2
Jan 17	@SAC	L 128-115	11	4	3	0	1	0	1	2-6	0-2	9.6
Jan 15	@LAC	L 119-105	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-2	0
Jan 12	@PHX	L 112-93	10	0	3	0	0	0	2	0-6	0-1	1.6
Jan 10	NO	L 128-107	16	6	6	1	1	0	1	3-6	0-1	16.7
Jan 8	@PHI	L 131-110	20	6	4	2	0	0	1	3-9	0-2	12.8
Jan 7	ORL	W 120-112	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	1.2
Jan 4	MIN	L 141-115	13	5	2	3	1	0	1	2-5	1-2	13.9
Jan 3	BKN	W 119-99	14	3	0	1	1	0	0	1-6	1-3	7.5
Jan 1	@MIL	W 114-113	16	8	0	2	1	0	2	3-5	2-3	12
Dec 30	PHX	L 115-101	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0
Dec 27	TOR	W 138-117	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	-1
Dec 24	@CHA	L 126-109	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0
Dec 19	@SA	L 119-94	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-2	0-0	2.7
Dec 7	ATL	L 131-116	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0
Nov 29	@IND	L 119-86	6	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-1	0.2
Nov 16	BKN	L 129-106	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	1.2
Nov 8	CLE	L 148-115	9	4	0	2	0	0	1	1-4	0-2	6
Nov 6	@BOS	L 136-107	6	1	2	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	4.9
Nov 4	@NY	L 119-102	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0
Nov 1	ORL	L 125-94	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-3	0-0	3.2
Oct 31	@OKC	L 127-108	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0
Oct 26	CHA	L 139-113	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0
Oct 23	@MIL	L 133-120	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	2.7

More on Johnson and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs AJ Johnson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #387 overall, #190 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should AJ Johnson be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 140 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #382, so he is priced above our projection.

QHow many fantasy points will AJ Johnson score in 2026-27?

We project 7.8 points per game across an expected 58 games — approximately 452 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 0 and 12.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #382 in projected scoring.

QHow does AJ Johnson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, AJ Johnson finished #404 in 9-cat and #400 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #387 in points formats.

QHow consistent is AJ Johnson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 38% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 18.8 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 34% of games and busted (under half his average) in 53%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.