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Ace Bailey

Ace Bailey

RANK #1202025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG542025-26 9-CAT #1388-CAT #135G · Utah JazzAge 206' 9"2026-27 season
11.7
Points / game
8.0
Rebounds
3.0
Assists
25.0
Minutes
50.0%
FG%
28.4
FPTS / game
+11.6
vs G median
TIER 6 · #120 OVERALLDepth piece — #54 among guards

Ace Bailey is ranked #54 among 28 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 3.3 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 31.4 minutes/game vs 27.6 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile-89%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Ace Bailey 2026-27 fantasy outlook

26.9Proj FPTS/G · ~2018 / 75 games
17.7–31.6Typical game · middle 50%
#99Projected rank
131.5ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #99 versus an ADP of 131.5 — the market drafts him 34 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (31.4 minutes/gm late vs 27.6 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

UTAH 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 22
@MEM
Oct 24
NO
Oct 25
LAL
Oct 27
MEM
Oct 29
SA
Oct 31
POR
Nov 3
@SA
Nov 5
@NO
Nov 7
@DAL
Nov 9
@MIN
Nov 11
MIA
Nov 12
ORL

Ace Bailey consistency and floor

4 GAMES
9.2
Floor (p10)
28.4
Average
37.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered71%
Boom rate125%+ of average28%
Bust rateunder half of average13%

Bailey vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 214 RANKED
Points11.773
Rebounds8.099
Assists3.069
Steals0.014
Blocks1.399
Minutes25.067
Fantasy PPG28.481
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Bailey fantasy points, last 4 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
60300AVG 28.430.5@MEM16.4NO38.4LAL41.5MEM
SEASON HIGH 41.5SEASON LOW 16.4LAST 5 AVG 31.7

Ace Bailey game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27MEML 110-10534171030316-103-641.5
Oct 25LALL 132-12329171240128-111-238.4
Oct 24NOW 120-119226720012-81-616.4
Oct 22@MEML 123-1032412530315-112-530.5

More on Bailey and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Ace Bailey a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #120 overall, #54 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Ace Bailey be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 131.5 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #99, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Ace Bailey score in 2026-27?

We project 26.9 points per game across an expected 75 games — approximately 2018 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 17.7 and 31.6 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #99 in projected scoring.

QHow does Ace Bailey rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Ace Bailey finished #138 in 9-cat and #135 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #120 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Ace Bailey for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 71% of games, with a floor of 9.2 and a ceiling of 37.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 28% of games and busted (under half his average) in 13%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.