NBA / Rankings / Ace Bailey

Ace Bailey

RANK #1472025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG702025-26 9-CAT #170 8-CAT #164G · Utah JazzAge 196' 9"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

13.8

Points / game

4.2

Rebounds

1.8

Assists

27.6

Minutes

44.3%

FG%

24.5

FPTS / game

-7.0

vs G median

TIER 6 · #147 OVERALLDepth piece — #70 among guards

Ace Bailey is ranked #70 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 3.6 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 31.4 minutes/game vs 27.6 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile65%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Ace Bailey 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

26.9Proj FPTS/G · ~2018 / 75 games

17.7–31.6Typical game · middle 50%

#123Projected rank

131.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 131.9) lines up with our rank (#123). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: growing workload (31.4 minutes/gm late vs 27.6 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Ace Bailey consistency and floor

72 GAMES

9.2

Floor (p10)

24.5

Average

37.7

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered71%

Boom rate125%+ of average28%

Bust rateunder half of average13%

24.6

Season avg FPTS

31.1

Last 10 FPTS

28.2

Last 5 FPTS

Bailey vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points13.871

Rebounds4.281

Assists1.833

Steals0.854

Blocks0.795

Minutes27.668

Fantasy PPG24.565

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Bailey fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 58.8SEASON LOW 3.9LAST 5 AVG 28.1

Ace Bailey game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 13	@LAL	L 131-107	29	15	3	1	0	1	3	7-21	1-9	20.1
Apr 11	MEM	W 147-101	29	23	10	2	3	1	3	10-19	3-7	47
Apr 5	@OKC	L 146-111	33	14	4	2	1	2	3	6-14	2-6	27.8
Apr 4	@HOU	L 140-106	33	22	6	1	0	1	2	9-17	2-8	31.7
Apr 2	DEN	L 130-117	33	12	1	2	0	0	2	5-17	1-9	14.2
Mar 31	CLE	L 122-113	35	19	2	5	0	0	1	8-15	3-6	27.9
Mar 29	@PHX	L 134-109	34	13	6	2	0	3	4	5-15	1-3	28.2
Mar 28	@DEN	L 135-129	27	15	7	1	0	0	2	7-14	1-7	22.9
Mar 26	WSH	L 133-110	29	15	5	3	2	2	1	7-19	1-6	36.5
Mar 24	TOR	L 143-127	35	37	6	3	0	2	0	11-21	7-10	54.7
Mar 22	PHI	L 126-116	33	25	7	4	0	5	2	7-20	4-14	52.4
Mar 20	MIL	W 128-96	34	33	9	4	3	1	3	13-27	7-19	58.8
Mar 19	@MIN	L 147-111	25	17	2	2	0	1	3	6-13	5-10	22.4
Mar 14	@POR	L 124-114	7	8	1	1	1	1	0	3-3	2-2	16.7
Mar 12	NY	L 134-117	36	21	4	2	1	0	1	8-16	5-10	30.8
Mar 8	@MIL	L 113-99	29	9	6	3	2	0	5	4-13	1-9	21.7
Mar 6	@WSH	W 122-112	33	32	2	0	2	1	0	12-19	7-11	43.4
Mar 5	@PHI	L 106-102	31	12	2	3	1	0	3	5-16	2-7	18.9
Mar 3	DEN	L 128-125	32	18	4	0	1	0	0	6-14	2-5	25.8
Mar 1	NO	L 115-105	30	13	8	2	1	3	2	4-16	3-8	35.6
Feb 27	NO	L 129-118	29	23	4	1	1	1	1	9-17	2-6	34.3
Feb 24	@HOU	L 125-105	27	4	8	0	2	0	0	2-9	0-2	19.6
Feb 21	@MEM	L 123-114	33	20	6	3	0	1	3	8-19	2-9	31.7
Feb 13	POR	L 135-119	35	15	8	3	0	0	4	7-15	1-5	25.1
Feb 12	SAC	W 121-93	31	13	4	4	0	0	0	5-9	3-6	23.8
Feb 10	@MIA	W 115-111	37	16	8	2	1	0	0	7-14	0-3	31.6
Feb 8	@ORL	L 120-117	31	10	3	3	1	0	5	4-11	1-4	16.1
Feb 6	@ATL	L 121-119	40	20	6	1	2	1	0	9-26	2-8	37.7
Feb 4	@IND	W 131-122	40	19	4	1	3	3	1	7-10	2-4	42.3
Feb 1	@TOR	L 107-100	27	4	11	2	1	1	3	1-10	0-2	23.2
Jan 31	BKN	L 109-99	29	12	2	0	2	0	0	5-10	2-5	20.4
Jan 29	GS	L 140-124	34	19	7	4	2	1	0	8-15	3-7	42.4
Jan 28	LAC	L 115-103	29	20	1	0	0	0	1	8-16	4-9	20.2
Jan 25	MIA	L 147-116	28	12	2	2	1	2	0	6-15	0-5	26.4
Jan 23	SA	L 126-109	32	25	6	2	0	0	2	11-16	2-3	33.2
Jan 21	MIN	W 127-122	33	20	5	1	1	0	3	8-17	3-8	27.5
Jan 19	@SA	L 123-110	27	8	4	4	0	1	1	3-6	2-3	20.8
Jan 17	@DAL	L 138-120	37	18	8	1	0	0	3	8-16	2-6	26.1
Jan 16	@DAL	L 144-122	30	15	5	3	2	2	3	6-15	1-5	34.5
Jan 15	@CHI	L 128-126	31	10	3	3	0	0	0	4-9	0-3	18.1
Jan 13	@CLE	W 123-112	15	4	3	2	0	1	0	2-4	0-1	13.6
Jan 8	@OKC	L 129-125 OT	10	2	1	0	1	0	0	1-3	0-2	6.2
Dec 27	DET	W 131-129	11	0	2	0	1	1	0	0-2	0-0	8.4
Dec 24	MEM	L 137-128	29	17	4	0	1	0	2	7-12	3-5	22.8
Dec 23	@DEN	L 135-112	24	10	3	0	0	0	0	4-13	1-5	13.6
Dec 21	ORL	L 128-127 OT	34	14	4	3	0	0	0	6-14	2-7	23.3
Dec 19	LAL	L 143-135	26	19	4	0	1	0	1	7-13	3-6	25.8
Dec 16	DAL	W 140-133 OT	24	7	2	3	0	0	1	3-9	1-4	12.9
Dec 13	@MEM	W 130-126	31	8	4	0	0	2	1	4-12	0-3	17.8
Dec 8	OKC	L 131-101	32	13	1	4	1	1	3	5-14	3-8	23.2
Dec 6	@NY	L 146-112	34	13	5	1	1	1	3	5-13	2-6	23.5
Dec 5	@BKN	W 123-110	25	5	2	0	0	0	0	2-6	1-1	7.4
Dec 2	HOU	W 133-125	28	13	3	3	2	3	1	5-11	3-8	35.1
Nov 30	HOU	L 129-101	31	19	2	1	0	0	2	8-12	3-5	20.9
Nov 29	SAC	W 128-119	17	5	4	2	1	0	0	2-5	1-2	15.8
Nov 25	@GS	L 134-117	29	21	3	2	1	1	2	8-15	3-8	31.6
Nov 24	LAL	L 108-106	32	10	5	3	1	0	0	4-10	2-7	23.5
Nov 22	OKC	L 144-112	21	15	2	3	3	0	2	6-9	3-5	28.9
Nov 19	@LAL	L 140-126	23	13	1	1	1	0	1	6-12	1-6	17.7
Nov 17	CHI	W 150-147 2OT	10	5	1	0	0	1	0	2-5	1-3	9.2
Nov 14	ATL	L 132-122	32	21	5	3	2	0	3	8-13	4-7	34.5
Nov 12	IND	W 152-128	26	20	4	1	0	0	1	7-13	4-8	25.3
Nov 11	MIN	L 120-113	28	10	7	2	3	0	2	4-9	0-3	28.4
Nov 8	@MIN	L 137-97	24	12	6	3	1	0	3	4-9	2-4	23.7
Nov 6	@DET	L 114-103	19	9	4	1	0	0	1	3-6	0-0	14.3
Nov 4	@BOS	W 105-103	18	4	2	0	0	0	2	2-4	0-0	4.4
Nov 2	@CHA	L 126-103	19	6	0	1	1	0	1	3-8	0-3	9.5
Nov 1	@PHX	L 118-96	23	6	8	3	1	0	3	2-8	0-3	20.1
Oct 30	POR	L 136-134	15	8	3	2	0	1	1	3-5	0-2	16.6
Oct 28	PHX	W 138-134 OT	14	6	1	1	0	0	0	2-9	2-5	8.7
Oct 25	@SAC	L 105-104	13	0	2	1	0	0	0	0-5	0-0	3.9
Oct 23	LAC	W 129-108	20	2	4	2	0	0	1	1-5	0-2	8.8

More on Bailey and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Bailey player props

QIs Ace Bailey a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #147 overall, #70 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Ace Bailey be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 131.9 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #123, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Ace Bailey score in 2026-27?

We project 26.9 points per game across an expected 75 games — approximately 2018 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 17.7 and 31.6 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #123 in projected scoring.

QHow does Ace Bailey rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Ace Bailey finished #170 in 9-cat and #164 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #147 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Ace Bailey for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 71% of games, with a floor of 9.2 and a ceiling of 37.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 28% of games and busted (under half his average) in 13%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.