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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon

RANK #172025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF42025-26 9-CAT #188-CAT #24F · Denver NuggetsAge 316' 8"2026-27 season
13.5
Points / game
5.5
Rebounds
2.5
Assists
33.0
Minutes
44.4%
FG%
29.9
FPTS / game
+16.3
vs F median
TIER 6 · #17 OVERALLDepth piece — #4 among forwards

Aaron Gordon is ranked #4 among 28 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 4.4 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (30.6/game vs 27.9 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile89%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated October 27
VALUE PICK

Aaron Gordon 2026-27 fantasy outlook

28.1Proj FPTS/G · ~1405 / 50 games
22.2–36Typical game · middle 50%
#15Projected rank
131.7ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #15 versus an ADP of 131.7 — the market drafts him 121 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (30.6 minutes/gm late vs 27.9 season), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 27 · ESPN ADP updated October 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

DEN 2026-27 opening schedule

80 GAMES SCHEDULED
Oct 23
@OKC
Oct 25
NO
Oct 27
GS
Oct 29
@NO
Oct 31
@PHX
Nov 3
POR
Nov 5
TOR
Nov 7
@IND
Nov 10
@HOU
Nov 12
@MEM
Nov 15
@NO
Nov 17
PHX

Aaron Gordon consistency and floor

3 GAMES
15.1
Floor (p10)
29.9
Average
41.3
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered83%
Boom rate125%+ of average25%
Bust rateunder half of average8%

Gordon vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 158 RANKED
Points13.575
Rebounds5.577
Assists2.582
Steals2.094
Blocks0.575
Minutes33.094
Fantasy PPG29.983
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Gordon fantasy points, last 3 games

2026-27 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
40200AVG 29.935.7@OKC24NO16.8GS
SEASON HIGH 35.7SEASON LOW 16.8LAST 5 AVG 25.5

Aaron Gordon game log — 2026-27

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Oct 27GSL 134-114257421012-100-216.8
Oct 25NOW 141-135 OT377542012-91-624
Oct 23@OKCL 96-842920612126-93-435.7

More on Gordon and the F board

Forwards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings2026-27 draft projections
QIs Aaron Gordon a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #17 overall, #4 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Aaron Gordon be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 131.7 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #15, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Aaron Gordon score in 2026-27?

We project 28.1 points per game across an expected 50 games — approximately 1405 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 22.2 and 36 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #15 in projected scoring.

QHow does Aaron Gordon rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Aaron Gordon finished #18 in 9-cat and #24 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #17 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Aaron Gordon for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 83% of games, with a floor of 15.1 and a ceiling of 41.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 25% of games and busted (under half his average) in 8%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.